Milwaukee Brewers vs Ny Mets Mets Picks and Predictions October 3rd 2024

Thursday’s matchup between the Mets and Brewers has a first pitch of 7:08 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -121, while the Mets are at +104. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

The Brewers will be sending Tobias Myers to the mound, while the Mets are starting Jose Quintana. New York is 2nd in the NL East, with an overall record of 89-73, while the Brewers lead the NL Central at 93-69.

New York vs. Milwaukee Key Information

As the Mets head into game three of their Wild Card series against the Brewers, they find themselves needing a road win to advance. New York posted a 43-38 record away from home this season, compared to 46-35 at home. As road underdogs, they went 23-23 this year.

New York finished the regular season with an 83-81 run line record, including 45-38 on the road. As underdogs, they went 38-28 against the run line. Their games averaged a combined 9.1 runs this season, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets’ over/under record is 83-76, and the over has hit in their last two games.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Brewers. Quintana has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 10-10 with a 3.75 ERA. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.13 strikeouts per nine innings. Quintana’s most recent outing came on September 28th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 4.15 compared to 4.86 on the road.

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Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso’s 34 homers leading the team and Lindor right behind him at 33. Lindor has also been the team’s top run producer, with 91 RBIs. However, Lindor has gone just 4/19 in his last five games, although he does have two homers in that stretch. Jose Iglesias has gone 7/27 in his last six games and is currently on a 24-game hitting streak.

Overall, the Mets are 7th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and are also among the league leaders in isolated power. As a team, the Mets are batting .246 and have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts.

With their series against the Mets tied at one game apiece, the Brewers face a must-win game three in their NL Wild Card matchup. Milwaukee posted a 93-69 regular season record, going 47-34 at home and 46-35 on the road. As home favorites, they went 36-22 this year.

Milwaukee’s games have averaged 8.8 runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. Their run line record stands at 83-81 overall, including 38-45 at home. The Brewers have hit the over in two straight games.

Milwaukee is starting right-hander Tobias Myers vs. the Mets today, and he has made 25 starts this season. Myers’ overall record is 9-6, and he has an ERA of 3.00. Looking at his home/road splits, Myers is 4-1 with a 3.11 ERA at home compared to 5-5 with a 3.36 ERA on the road. In his last outing, Myers picked up the win out of the bullpen, going four innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .235 off Myers this season.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 32 homers leads the team and is 12th in the league, while Contreras is 3rd on the team with 23 homers. Adames also comes into the game with the 4th most RBIs in the league at 112. Contreras is batting .281 for the season, and Adames is hitting .251.

Over his last five games, Jackson Chourio has gone 8/21 with two homers and four RBIs, while Brice Turang has gone 9/16 in his last four games. Turang is also on a five-game hitting streak, while Chourio has a six-game streak.

Today’s Mets and Brewers matchup should feature plenty of offense, as this is our highest projected game in terms of hits and runs. However, with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs, we are still leaning towards the under. As for how we would play the money line in this one, we are leaning towards the Mets to come out on top. Between the two starters, we have Jose Quintana finishing with more strikeouts than Tobias Myers for the Brewers.

Brewers Turn to Rookie Tobias Myers in Game 3 vs. Mets

MILWAUKEE — After a thrilling comeback win, the Milwaukee Brewers are one step away from their first playoff series win in six years. The NL Central champions will look to secure the series when they face the New York Mets in the decisive Game 3 of the National League wild-card series on Thursday.

Brewers Break Postseason Curse with Game 2 Rally

The Brewers, who had lost 20 consecutive playoff games when trailing entering the seventh inning, rallied to win 5-3 on Wednesday night. The victory evened the best-of-three series at a game apiece, and Milwaukee snapped a six-game playoff losing streak.

Garrett Mitchell delivered the go-ahead runs with a two-run homer in the eighth inning, while rookie sensation Jackson Chourio homered twice in the game.

Rookie Tobias Myers Gets the Start for Milwaukee

For the crucial Game 3, the Brewers will send rookie right-hander Tobias Myers (9-6, 3.00 ERA) to the mound. Myers has been solid down the stretch, posting a 3-1 record with a 3.03 ERA in his last six appearances.

He’ll be opposed by Mets left-hander Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA), who started against Milwaukee last weekend and allowed two runs over 4 1/3 innings.

Brewers Eye First Playoff Series Win Since 2018

Milwaukee has been in the postseason six of the past seven years, but the club has lost five consecutive playoff series since sweeping the Colorado Rockies in the 2018 NL Division Series. The Brewers haven’t won a series since, despite their regular-season success.

The Mets, meanwhile, have not won a playoff series since their four-game sweep of the Chicago Cubs in the 2015 NLCS.

Jackson Chourio Makes History

Chourio, 20, became the second-youngest player in MLB history to homer twice in a postseason game. His two blasts helped propel the Brewers to victory, as the team looks to take that momentum into Game 3.

“I think I still feel the adrenaline,” Chourio said through an interpreter. “It was a very special moment for me, and it’s one I’m going to look back on and remember for the rest of my life.”

Garrett Mitchell Comes Through in the Clutch

Mitchell missed a large portion of the season due to injury, but he made a huge impact on Wednesday. After being thrown out trying to steal in the sixth inning, Mitchell stayed in the game as the designated hitter and smashed a game-changing home run in the eighth.

“I just show up every day ready to compete,” Mitchell said. “I’m just happy to be here, grateful and thankful. Now we’ve got to come back out and do it again tomorrow.”

Mets Seek Offensive Spark in Game 3

The Mets have yet to homer in the series’ first two games, and their offense will need to step up in the deciding game. Mets manager Carlos Mendoza emphasized the challenge of facing Milwaukee’s pitching staff.

“When you’re facing an elite pitching staff, it’s not going to be easy to hit balls out of the ballpark,” Mendoza said. “Today we didn’t do enough to put the ball in play.”

Myers and Quintana Set for Pivotal Pitching Duel

Tobias Myers will try to maintain his recent form after throwing four innings of one-hit ball in his final regular-season outing, which also came against the Mets. Myers did not face the Mets earlier in the season, making this just his second career appearance against New York.

Jose Quintana, a former All-Star, has been on a roll as well, posting a 0.74 ERA over his last six regular-season starts. He is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in five career postseason appearances but has struggled to beat the Brewers in recent years.

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What’s at Stake?

Both teams are fighting for a chance to advance to the NL Division Series. The winner of Game 3 will face the Los Angeles Dodgers, while the loser will see their postseason hopes come to an end. The Brewers are hoping to snap their streak of playoff disappointments, while the Mets aim to break their own series win drought, dating back to 2015.