Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions September 16th 2024

At 7:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Brewers will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee and has the Phillies as the slight road favorite on the money line (-119). The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central and have an overall record of 86-63, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East and are 90-59.

BSWI will be televising tonight’s game, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Aaron Civale will be starting for the Brewers, while the Phillies are going with Ranger Suarez. Philadelphia has won two straight heading into the game.

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee Key Information

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 12-6. Suárez’s ERA is currently 3.05, along with a WHIP of 1.13. In his 24 starts, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Suárez finished with a no-decision against the Rays, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Philadelphia comes into the game with the 5th best scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

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Over his last six games, Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat, going 8/22 with two homers. Harper is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .289 for the season. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 35 homers but is just 3/15 in his last five games.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Giants on September 10th, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking back further, Civale has turned in seven quality starts this year and has a record of 6-8. His ERA for the season is 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.32. For the year, he has allowed 26 home runs. Per nine innings, Civale is averaging 8.4 strikeouts and 2.9 walks.

One of the Brewers’ strengths this season has been their ability to draw walks, as they are currently 2nd in the league in this category. This has helped them post a strong team on-base percentage of .329, which is 4th in the majors. Overall, they are 4th in the league in runs scored (4.9) and are 8th in batting average at a combined .250.

Willy Adames and William Contreras have been two of the Brewers’ most consistent hitters this season, with Adames leading the team with 32 homers and 109 RBIs, and Contreras is batting .280 with 22 homers. Adames has gone deep twice in his last seven games, but he is just 6/26 in that span. Rhys Hoskins has 24 homers this season but is batting just .207.

For this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup, our lean is to take the Phillies to win straight-up. We are also leaning towards taking the over, as this is projected to be the 5th highest-scoring game of today’s slate. Philadelphia’s offense is our 4th ranked team in terms of hits today, and Aaron Civale has the 3rd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.

Brewers Host Phillies in Matchup of Likely Division Winners

After a successful road trip, the Milwaukee Brewers return home with a chance to secure the National League Central title. With a 10-game lead over the second-place Chicago Cubs, the Brewers’ magic number to clinch the division is just three. They’ll aim to edge closer to that goal when they host the Philadelphia Phillies in the opener of a three-game series on Monday night.

Right-hander Aaron Civale (6-8, 4.57 ERA) will start for the Brewers, while left-hander Ranger Suarez (12-6, 3.05 ERA) gets the nod for the Phillies. Milwaukee (86-63) is coming off a competitive series in Arizona, where they won two of three games before falling 11-10 in 10 innings on Sunday.

Brewers Riding High Despite Tough Loss

Despite the Sunday loss, the Brewers have been in solid form, winning two of three against both the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants. In the series finale in Arizona, rookie Jackson Chourio led the offense with his 21st home run and five RBIs, while shortstop Willy Adames added two RBIs. Adames is now just four RBIs shy of tying Robin Yount’s franchise record of 113 RBIs by a shortstop.

“It’s been such a special year for me and the team,” Adames said in a postgame interview with Bally Sports Wisconsin. “I think we have a special group of guys, and it’s been such an amazing ride this year. We’ve had some tough moments, but we find a way to overcome those moments, just put up some runs and have some fun.”

The Brewers, who return home for a seven-game homestand, are hoping to clinch the NL Central in front of their home fans. With an impressive lead and strong recent play, Milwaukee is poised for a playoff push.

Phillies Aim to Maintain Best Record in NL

Philadelphia (90-59) enters the series after a dramatic 2-1 walk-off win over the New York Mets on Sunday, courtesy of J.T. Realmuto’s two-out, game-winning single in the ninth inning. Starting pitcher Cristopher Sanchez was stellar for the Phillies, allowing just one run—a solo home run—in seven-plus innings, while striking out seven.

The Phillies hold a two-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers for the best record in the National League. Philadelphia is also eager to secure a first-round bye in the playoffs, which is awarded to the top two teams in the league. As the Phillies sit atop the standings, their veteran-laden roster is focused on finishing strong.

“Our guys just keep moving forward,” Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Sunday. “They’re veterans, I mean the club is veteran-laden, and they know that it’s a long year and it’s a new day tomorrow, and you just strap it back and go after them.”

Civale vs. Suarez: A Crucial Matchup

Aaron Civale, who was acquired from the Tampa Bay Rays in July, has been a valuable addition to Milwaukee’s rotation. Since joining the Brewers, Civale has posted a 4-2 record with a 3.84 ERA in 11 starts. He is 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA over his last six starts and has been a steady presence for Milwaukee. In his most recent outing, Civale allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a 3-2 victory over the San Francisco Giants. Monday will mark his first career start against the Phillies.

On the other side, Ranger Suarez has been struggling in recent outings. He is 2-4 with a 5.30 ERA over his last seven starts, allowing 43 hits in just 35 2/3 innings. Suarez is looking to regain his form after returning from the injured list in late August. Despite his recent struggles, Suarez has performed well against Milwaukee in the past, posting a 2.87 ERA in three career starts against the Brewers.

Milwaukee’s Magic Number

As the Brewers gear up for the home stretch of the season, their focus is squarely on clinching the division title. Milwaukee has been riding a wave of momentum thanks to contributions from both veterans and rookies like Chourio. If the Brewers can continue their power surge and strong pitching performances, they may well secure the NL Central crown before the end of the series.

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For Philadelphia, maintaining their position as the best team in the National League remains critical. With the Dodgers nipping at their heels, the Phillies will look to capitalize on every opportunity in this series to secure home-field advantage for the playoffs.

Conclusion

This series between the Brewers and Phillies features two teams headed to the postseason, with both clubs fighting for important positioning. While Milwaukee aims to clinch the division title, Philadelphia is eyeing the top spot in the National League. With key matchups like Civale vs. Suarez and two potent offenses in play, fans can expect a competitive and exciting series at American Family Field.