Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Predictions September 6th 2024

Brewers vs Rockies MLB Fri, Sep 6, 18:10 pm.
Brewers
ML: -255
0
0
Rockies
ML: 205

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First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Rockies and Brewers is set for 6:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 81-59 and are starting Frankie Montas, while the Rockies are 52-89 and Ryan Feltner on the mound. Milwaukee is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -226, while the Rockies are at +189. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

The Rockies are 5th in the NL West, while the Brewers are leading the NL Central. However, Milwaukee is currently on a two-game losing streak. Ryan Feltner is starting for the Rockies, and he will be facing off against a Brewers team that is starting Frankie Montas. Montas has been solid for the Brewers, as he has a 3.41 ERA.

Colorado vs. Milwaukee Key Information

  • Teams: Rockies at Brewers
  • Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
  • Date: Friday, September 6th
  • Betting Odds MIL -226 | COL +189 O/U 7.5

The Rockies Can Win If…

Ryan Feltner gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 1-10 with an ERA of 5.11. Feltner’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts. Feltner’s last outing came on August 31st vs. the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

The Rockies offense has been a lot better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and have the 15th ranked slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as their team BABIP of .31 is 2nd in the league.

Both Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle have been swinging the bat well for the Rockies this season, with both players having 22 homers and batting averages over .270. Ryan McMahon is also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 17 homers. McMahon is also on a six-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last seven games.

  • The Rockies are 4-6 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Rockies are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Colorado has an over/under record of 3-7 in their last ten games.
  • The Rockies have an average of 2.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Rockies are 3-7
  • Looking back across the Rockies last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
  • Colorado has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Rockies have averaged 2.8 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Frankie Montas is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he finished with a no-decision in the outing. Against the Reds, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Montas has given up four earned runs in each of his last two outings. Before that, he had a scoreless outing vs. the Cardinals. Montas’ ERA for the season is 4.70, along with a record of 6-9. Out of his 25 starts, Montas has seven quality starts and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings.

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, and on the road, they are at 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league.

Willy Adames has been a big run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 100 RBIs are 3rd in the league. He also leads the team with 29 homers. Adames has gone deep three times in his last five games, but is just 5/21 in that stretch. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game with a batting average of .278 and has gone deep 20 times this season.

  • The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Brewers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Milwaukee has an over/under record of 5-3-2 in their last ten games.
  • The Brewers have an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
  • Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Milwaukee has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 5.9 runs per game on offense

Brewers Look to Bounce Back Against Rockies After Timely Day Off

After a much-needed day of rest following a stretch of exhausting extra-inning games, the Milwaukee Brewers are ready to regroup as they kick off a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies on Friday. The Brewers (81-59), who have dropped three of their last four games in extra innings, aim to regain their momentum and strengthen their playoff position against a struggling Rockies team (52-89).

Brewers’ Frustrations After Tough Stretch

The Brewers have battled hard but fallen short in key moments. Their latest heartbreak came in a 3-2, 10-inning loss to the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday, where they went a dismal 0-for-15 with runners in scoring position. Manager Pat Murphy didn’t hold back when expressing the team’s frustration.

“We haven’t had this kind of stretch of frustration before. Losing these close ones hurts even more, especially with such a young group,” Murphy said, reflecting on the difficult losses.

Standout Performers for Milwaukee

Despite the recent setbacks, several Brewers players have shined. Second baseman Brice Turang has been on fire, going 7-for-19 with three doubles during his current four-game hitting streak. Jackson Chourio, the talented rookie, has also impressed, extending his hitting streak to nine games, where he’s hit .351 with four homers and 12 RBIs.

Meanwhile, shortstop Willy Adames was red-hot with a 12-game hitting streak recently, during which he belted seven homers and drove in 15 runs. Although his streak ended on Wednesday, Adames remains a crucial offensive force for Milwaukee.

Pitching Matchup: Montas vs. Feltner

The Brewers will send right-hander Frankie Montas (6-9, 4.70 ERA) to the mound. Montas is coming off a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds, where he allowed four runs over six innings. Historically, Montas has had mixed results against the Rockies, holding a 2-3 record with a 4.13 ERA in five career starts. Earlier this season, while still with the Reds, Montas struggled against Colorado, giving up five runs, including two homers, in a 6-5 loss.

The Rockies will counter with right-hander Ryan Feltner (1-10, 5.11 ERA), who has had a tough season. Feltner recorded his fifth straight no-decision in his last outing against the Baltimore Orioles, allowing five runs over 4 2/3 innings. He has fared better against the Brewers, posting a 4.02 ERA in three career starts, including a solid no-decision in July where he allowed just one run over five innings.

Rockies’ Key Players

The Rockies are looking to build off a 3-1 win over the Atlanta Braves on Thursday, highlighted by home runs from Michael Toglia and Ezequiel Tovar. Both Toglia, Tovar, and Brenton Doyle are tied for the team lead with 22 home runs, with friendly competition driving their success.

“Me, Tovar, and Doyle have this footrace going in the home run department,” Toglia said. “It’s great when someone pushes the bar higher.”

Doyle, in particular, has been a major headache for the Brewers this season. In their previous series, he went 7-for-11 with three homers, five RBIs, and four runs. Milwaukee’s pitchers will need to be especially cautious of him as the series unfolds.

Series Outlook

Even with their recent struggles, the Brewers are still in a strong position for the playoffs, but they can’t afford to let opportunities slip by in this series against the Rockies. Milwaukee will be looking to their standout hitters like Chourio, Turang, and Adames to ignite the offense, while Frankie Montas will need to provide a solid outing on the mound to keep Colorado’s bats in check.

Meanwhile, the Rockies, with Feltner on the mound and sluggers like Toglia and Tovar heating up, are looking to play spoiler and build on their recent success. For Milwaukee, this series represents a chance to bounce back and tighten their grip on a playoff spot, while Colorado aims to make life difficult for the Brewers and finish the season strong.

The Lean

Our lean for an over/under pick would be to take the over, as we have this as the 5th lowest-scoring game of the day. For a money line pick, we would be leaning toward the Brewers to come out on top. Milwaukee starter Frankie Montas has the 2nd best odds to pick up a win among today’s starters.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Thu, Sep 5, 21:51 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Brewers
-1.5
-110
-255
O 7.5
-110
Rockies
+1.5
-110
205
U 7.5
-110
Bill Blatt
Bill Blatt | Handicapper

Crafting cultures where every player feels like an MVP.

Bill from Boulder, bringing a fresh perspective to HR in sports. My approach is about creating environments where talent thrives, regardless of the jersey they wear. It's about championing a supportive culture across the board.

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