Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions September 14th 2024

At 8:10 PM ET, the Brewers and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-137). The Brewers have a record of 85-62 and they are 1st in the NL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 82-65.

Milwaukee has won two straight heading into Saturday’s matchup, while the Diamondbacks will look to extend their two-game winning streak. Tobias Myers will start for the Brewers, and he will be facing off against Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSWI.

Milwaukee vs. Arizona Key Information

• Teams: Brewers at Diamondbacks
• Where: Chase Field Phoenix
• Date: Saturday, September 14th
• Betting Odds ARI -137 | MIL +117 O/U 8.5

The Brewers Can Win If…

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. Myers has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 2.92 ERA. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers’ most recent outing came on September 7th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with 11 strikeouts in that outing. Myers has not taken a loss since August 16th.

Willy Adames has been a huge power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 30 homers are the best on the team and 12th in the league. He also comes into the game with the 5th most RBIs in the league at 102. Adames has been especially hot of late, going 8/33 in his last 10 games with three homers and eight RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat for the Brewers, as he has 24 homers but has struggled to hit for average, coming into the game at just .207.

As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the better hitting teams in the league, batting .249 (9th) and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee is also one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks.

• The Brewers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Brewers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Milwaukee has an over/under record of 3-7 in their last ten games.
• The Brewers have an average of 2.2 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Brewers are 7-3
• Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Milwaukee has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 4.9 runs per game on offense

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Astros. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, Pfaadt has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 9-8, and he has an ERA of 4.42. Opposing batters are hitting .257 this season off Pfaadt. The right-hander has made 28 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.22.

As a team, the Diamondbacks are the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Not only do they lead the MLB in runs per game, but they also have the top on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league. Arizona also has the league’s best OPS. So far, they have been a very good home team, averaging 5.7 runs per game.

Ketel Marte has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .295 with 31 homers and 85 RBIs. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big power threat for the Diamondbacks, as he has 28 homers and is batting .254. In his last six games, Suarez has gone 12/24 with four homers and 10 runs scored.

• The Diamondbacks are 5-5 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Arizona has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
• The Diamondbacks have an average of 7.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Diamondbacks are 7-3
• Looking back across the Diamondbacks last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Arizona has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 6.6 runs per game on offense

Before placing any bets, ensure you review our comprehensive MLB Betting Guide to make informed decisions.

The Lean

Look for the Diamondbacks to come out on top as they host the Brewers today, and we are also leaning towards these two teams surpassing the over/under line of 8.5 runs. This game is projected to finish with the 6th most runs in today’s slate and the 4th most home runs. Brandon Pfaadt is 3rd in our projections in starting pitcher strikeouts.

Brewers Look to Take Series Over Diamondbacks as Playoff Race Intensifies

The Milwaukee Brewers (85-62) are aiming to clinch another series win as they face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (82-65) on Saturday night in Phoenix. After edging out the Diamondbacks 2-1 in Friday’s game, the Brewers have their sights set on another victory, all while both teams prepare for a critical stretch—they’ll face each other seven times in the next 10 games.

The Brewers are sitting comfortably at the top of the NL Central, holding a 10-game lead over the Chicago Cubs. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are fighting for their postseason lives, just half a game behind the San Diego Padres for the top NL wild-card spot and barely keeping ahead of the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves in the heated playoff race.

Brewers Focused on the Series

Milwaukee secured the win in the series opener thanks to Rhys Hoskins, who belted a two-run homer—his 24th of the season—early in the game. The Brewers’ bullpen was lights-out, throwing four scoreless innings without allowing a hit to Arizona’s offense, which had been red-hot, scoring 32 runs in their previous three games.

Hoskins isn’t getting caught up in the playoff buzz just yet, staying locked in on the task at hand. “We just have to win tomorrow,” he said. “It’s easy to start looking ahead, but we’re focused on winning the series.”

The Brewers’ defense and bullpen were major factors in the win, silencing a potent Diamondbacks lineup. “We played really good defense, and the bullpen was lights out,” said Brewers manager Pat Murphy.

Diamondbacks Feeling the Pressure

The Diamondbacks came into the series riding a three-game winning streak, but their offense hit a wall on Friday, managing just six hits against Milwaukee’s pitching staff. Christian Walker was one of the few bright spots, reaching base four times on a double and three walks, though he made a costly baserunning error trying to stretch a wild pitch into an extra base, which ended a potential rally in the third inning.

Despite the missed chances, Arizona manager Torey Lovullo stayed positive. “I’m not upset with our at-bats,” he said. “The results just didn’t come our way. We’ve got to keep battling.”

With the wild-card race tightening and only a half-game gap between them and the Padres, the Diamondbacks can’t afford to let any more opportunities slip away.

Pitching Matchup: Tobias Myers vs. Brandon Pfaadt

Milwaukee will send rookie right-hander Tobias Myers (7-5, 2.93 ERA) to the mound. Myers is fresh off an outstanding start where he struck out 11 and gave up just one run over six innings against the Rockies. He’s been a rising star for the Brewers and will be making his first career start against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona will counter with Brandon Pfaadt (9-8, 4.42 ERA), who has been struggling lately. After winning five straight games, Pfaadt has dropped two of his last three starts, with a rough 7.80 ERA over that stretch. His latest outing saw him give up four runs in just under five innings against the Astros. He’ll need to bounce back in a big way to help Arizona even the series.

Pfaadt faced the Brewers before, during Game 1 of the 2023 NL wild-card series, where he allowed three runs in under three innings. If the Diamondbacks hope to avoid falling further behind in the playoff race, Pfaadt will need to be much sharper this time around.

Diamondbacks Await Key Players’ Return

Arizona is eagerly awaiting the return of two key players, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Gabriel Moreno, who could make a huge difference in their playoff push. Both players are expected to play rehab games on Saturday, and their eventual return could provide a spark to a Diamondbacks lineup that’s been inconsistent lately.

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Key Storylines for Saturday’s Game:

Brewers Staying Dominant: Milwaukee continues to lead the NL Central by a comfortable margin, but they’re using these late-season games to stay sharp. A win on Saturday would secure another series victory and keep their momentum rolling toward October.

Diamondbacks in a Wild-Card Battle: Arizona is right in the thick of a wild-card race that’s far from decided. They’re half a game behind the Padres for the top spot and just ahead of the Mets and Braves. Every game matters as they look to hold onto a playoff position.

Pitching Duel: Tobias Myers is coming off one of the best starts of his young career and will look to keep it going against a Diamondbacks team that struggled at the plate on Friday. Brandon Pfaadt, on the other hand, needs to bounce back after some tough outings if Arizona wants to avoid back-to-back losses.

Offensive Struggles: Arizona’s offense, which had been on fire earlier in the week, went cold against Milwaukee’s bullpen on Friday. They’ll need to rediscover their form quickly if they hope to stay in the playoff race.

Conclusion

The Brewers are looking to keep their foot on the gas as they close in on another series win and continue to gear up for the postseason. Rhys Hoskins and the bullpen came up big in Friday’s victory, and Tobias Myers will aim to keep things rolling when he takes the mound on Saturday.

For the Diamondbacks, Saturday’s game is crucial. With teams like the Padres, Mets, and Braves all breathing down their necks in the wild-card race, Arizona can’t afford another misstep. Brandon Pfaadt will need to find his rhythm, and the offense will have to bounce back from a quiet Friday if they want to even the series and keep their playoff hopes alive.

With everything on the line for the Diamondbacks and the Brewers looking to stay sharp for October, Saturday’s game could be a pivotal moment as the NL playoff race heats up.