Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Predictions September 24th 2024

From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Giants and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL West matchup. The Giants have won four straight and are 78-79 overall, while the Diamondbacks are 87-70 but have lost two in a row. Brandon Pfaadt is slated to start for the Diamondbacks, while the Giants are sending Logan Webb to the mound.

Arizona is the money line favorite for Tuesday’s matchup, with their odds sitting at -135 compared to the Giants at +116. The over/under line is currently 8 runs, and NBCS will be televising this one starting at 9:40 PM ET.

San Francisco vs. Arizona Key Information

Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 to go along with an ERA of 3.58. Webb’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his 32 appearances, he has turned in 19 quality starts and is averaging 7.66 strikeouts per nine innings. Webb’s last outing came against the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Matt Chapman has been swinging a hot bat for the Giants, going 5/15 with three homers over his last four games. This has pushed his season average to .249, and his 27 homers are 14th in the league and lead the Giants. Heliot Ramos is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 21 homers and is batting .264.

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As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are batting .238, which is 15th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .305 is also below the league average. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 16th best slugging percentage in the league.

Brandon Pfaadt will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Brewers and picked up the win. In that September 19th outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has made 30 starts and has a record of 10-9. His ERA for the season is 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Opposing batters have hit .257 off Pfaadt this season. Out of his 30 starts, he has 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.91 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team, and they are 2nd in team batting average. As a team, they are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s best OPS.

For the season, Ketel Marte is batting .295 and has gone 8/24 with four homers over his last eight games. Eugenio Suarez is also a big power threat for the Diamondbacks, as he has 29 homers this season and is batting .255. Suarez’s 98 RBIs are good for 12th in the league.

Our lean for this Giants vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks to win straight-up. We also like the over in this one, as this game is projected to have the 5th most combined runs and 10th most hits. Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt has the 2nd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.

D-backs Can’t Afford Another Slip-up vs. Giants

The San Francisco Giants are hitting their stride late in the season, though it’s a case of too little, too late. With the playoffs out of reach, the Giants (78-79) are playing some of their best baseball, posting a 6-1 record on their current nine-game road trip. They’ve outscored opponents 37-12 during this stretch, including a 6-3 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks in Monday’s series opener.

The Giants’ win on Monday not only continued their hot streak but also impacted the Diamondbacks’ playoff positioning.

Diamondbacks in a Must-Win Mode

For the Arizona Diamondbacks (87-70), the stakes are much higher. The team has dropped into third place in the National League wild-card race, just a half-game behind the New York Mets and 1 1/2 games ahead of the Atlanta Braves for the final wild-card spot. With the red-hot San Diego Padres set to visit Phoenix for the final regular-season series, the D-backs can’t afford more slip-ups if they want to secure their playoff position.

Arizona had been riding high with four straight wins before a dramatic collapse on Sunday, blowing an 8-0 lead in a 10-9 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. That loss, combined with Monday’s defeat, has left the Diamondbacks looking to regain their footing.

“I don’t think there’s any pressing,” said Diamondbacks center fielder Jake McCarthy after the loss. “We’ve had our foot on the gas pedal the whole season, so just chalk it up to baseball. We’re going to bounce back (Tuesday).”

Giants’ Chapman Makes History

San Francisco third baseman Matt Chapman led the way in Monday’s victory, driving in three runs with an inside-the-park home run and an RBI triple. Chapman’s rare feat marked the first time since 1953 that a Giants player had both an inside-the-park homer and a triple in the same game.

In the third inning, Chapman hit a deep drive to left-center that caromed off the wall. While Arizona’s Jake McCarthy missed the grab, left fielder Pavin Smith had to track down the ball, allowing Chapman to sprint around the bases.

“It was tiring. It was a lot of fun,” Chapman said. “Once I saw he missed that ball, I turned it on and I was really hoping Matty (third base coach Matt Williams) was going to wave me, and I was digging. That was a lot of fun.”

Diamondbacks’ Injury Concerns

Arizona’s lineup was missing key players on Monday. All-Star second baseman Ketel Marte (ankle, back) was limited to a pinch-hitting appearance, striking out in the eighth inning. Catcher Gabriel Moreno (adductor) sat out but is expected to return for Tuesday’s game.

The D-backs need both players at full strength as they look to stop the bleeding and avoid further damage to their playoff hopes.

Pitching Matchup: Webb vs. Pfaadt

Tuesday’s game will feature a pitching duel between San Francisco’s Logan Webb (12-10, 3.58 ERA) and Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt (10-9, 4.66 ERA).

Webb has been a consistent force for the Giants, striking out eight over five innings in a no-decision against the Baltimore Orioles last Thursday. He’s enjoyed success against the Diamondbacks this season, delivering a dominant performance on April 18 when he allowed just two hits over seven innings in a 5-0 win. Webb is 6-3 with a 2.51 ERA in 11 career starts against Arizona.

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The Diamondbacks’ hitters have had mixed results against Webb. While Corbin Carroll (5-for-14), Jake McCarthy (6-for-18), Gabriel Moreno (4-for-11), and Christian Walker (6-for-19) have fared well, Ketel Marte (4-for-22, one homer), Geraldo Perdomo (2-for-16), and Randal Grichuk (1-for-12) have struggled.

On the other side, Pfaadt is coming off one of the best outings of his career, striking out 12 and allowing just one run and two hits over seven innings in a win over the Brewers last Thursday. The 25-year-old right-hander has struck out 10 or more batters in three of his past seven starts. Pfaadt is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA in two career starts against San Francisco.

The Giants’ Michael Conforto (2-for-5) and LaMonte Wade Jr. (1-for-6) have each homered against Pfaadt.