Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Picks and Predictions September 10th 2024

The Rangers and Diamondbacks are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 9:40 PM ET at Chase Field in Phoenix. Texas has won two straight and is 70-74, while the Diamondbacks are 80-64 overall and 3rd in the NL West. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West.

Arizona is the money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -142 compared to the Rangers at +120. Tuesday’s over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Nathan Eovaldi is starting for the Rangers, while the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen.

Texas vs. Arizona Key Information

• Teams: Rangers at Diamondbacks
• Where: Chase Field Phoenix
• Date: Tuesday, September 10th
• Betting Odds ARI -142 | TEX +120 O/U 8

The Rangers Can Win If…

Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is starting for the Rangers today as he takes on the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 11-7 with a 3.55 ERA. Eovaldi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 8.82 strikeouts per nine innings. Eovaldi has been pitching well recently, as he has won his last three starts. In his most recent outing, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs and picking up the win. Before that, he had back-to-back scoreless outings.

Corey Seager has been a bright spot for the Rangers this season, as he is batting .278 with 30 homers and 74 RBIs. Seager’s 30 homers are 11th in the league and is the top mark on the Texas roster. Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .240 for the season.

Josh Jung and Wyatt Langford have been swinging the bat well of late, with Jung going 12/30 in his last eight games and Langford going 10/32. Both players have two homers during this stretch. Marcus Semien and Ezequiel Duran are both on five-game hitting streaks.

• The Rangers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Rangers are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• Texas has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
• The Rangers have an average of 5.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Rangers are 5-5
• Looking back across the Rangers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Texas has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Rangers have averaged 4.5 runs per game on offense

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Rangers at home. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.69 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his most recent outing, Gallen didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .234 off Gallen this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.93 strikeouts and 3.33 walks.

Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the MLB. Not only do they have the best on-base percentage, but they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Ketel Marte has been a big power threat for the Diamondbacks this season, as his 30 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big run producer, as his 90 RBIs are 8th in the MLB. Over his last eight games, Suarez has gone 14/31 with five homers.

• The Diamondbacks are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Arizona has an over/under record of 9-1 in their last ten games.
• The Diamondbacks have an average of 5.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Diamondbacks are 7-3
• Looking back across the Diamondbacks last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Arizona has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 6.6 runs per game on offense

World Series Rewind: Eovaldi vs. Gallen, Round 3

The Texas Rangers are back in Phoenix for the first time since they clinched their World Series title last November. They’re squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a highly anticipated rematch. After Texas won the 2023 World Series in just five games and followed up by sweeping a two-game home series earlier this year, these two teams are ready to face off again.

This time, it’s another quick, two-game showdown at Chase Field, starting Tuesday night. The biggest highlight? It’s a rematch of last year’s Game 5 pitching duel, with Nathan Eovaldi and Zac Gallen taking the mound once more. In that critical game, Eovaldi tossed six shutout innings to help secure Texas’ championship win. Gallen, despite putting in 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball, ended up with the loss. Now, they’re meeting for the third time since that iconic World Series game.

Both pitchers are in top form heading into the rematch. Eovaldi (11-7, 3.55 ERA) has won three straight starts, most recently putting up a seven-inning, two-run gem against the New York Yankees. Gallen (11-6, 3.69 ERA) is coming off a stellar six-inning no-hit performance in a 6-4 win over the San Francisco Giants.

Rangers: Clinging to Slim Playoff Hopes

The Texas Rangers (70-74) have been on a hot streak lately, winning 10 of their last 13 games. But let’s be real—their postseason hopes are still hanging by a thread. They’ve got to jump over five teams to grab the last American League wild-card spot. As of Monday, they’re 6 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins for that position.

Still, Texas isn’t playing like a team that’s ready to give up. “I think our guys are doing the exact same thing they’ve been all year,” said left-hander Andrew Heaney. “It just feels different because we’re winning more games, and naturally, you’re going to have guys that are happier and looser.”

In their 7-4 win against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, the Rangers showcased their recent offensive firepower. Marcus Semien, Nathaniel Lowe, and Ezequiel Duran all went deep, continuing their trend of solid hitting over the last few weeks. Texas is playing with a newfound sense of freedom, and while the odds are against them, they’re showing no signs of backing down.

Diamondbacks: Holding Strong in the NL Wild-Card Race

For the Arizona Diamondbacks (80-64), the stakes are just as high—but their playoff hopes are far more realistic. They’re battling the San Diego Padres for the top National League wild-card spot, trailing by just half a game. They also hold a 1 1/2-game lead over the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves for the third and final NL playoff berth.

The Diamondbacks snapped out of a recent slump in a big way on Sunday, dominating the Houston Astros 12-6. The star of the night? Pavin Smith. He went absolutely nuclear with three home runs and eight RBIs—just one shy of the Diamondbacks’ single-game RBI record.

Eovaldi vs. Gallen: The Key Matchup

All eyes are going to be on the pitching matchup when these two teams hit the field. Nathan Eovaldi has been lights-out against the Diamondbacks over the course of his career. He’s 3-0 with a solid 3.06 ERA in nine regular-season appearances (six starts). His last start against Arizona was back in May, where he allowed just two runs and five hits over three innings in a short, planned outing as he returned from injury.

On the other hand, Zac Gallen has been solid against the Rangers in his three regular-season starts. He’s posted a 1-1 record with a 3.57 ERA, but Texas hitters have had their struggles against him. Jonah Heim is 0-for-8, Nathaniel Lowe is 1-for-8, and Leody Taveras is just 1-for-6. Gallen will be looking to continue his dominance against these key Texas bats.

This Eovaldi-Gallen showdown is going to be one of the most pivotal aspects of this short series. Whoever can outduel the other on the mound could very well tip the scales in their team’s favor.

What’s on the Line?

For the Rangers, this series is a do-or-die situation. If they want to keep their playoff hopes alive, they need to take both games and keep riding their recent hot streak. Eovaldi’s performance will be key—he’s the guy the Rangers will rely on to lead them to victory.

For the Diamondbacks, each game is a crucial step toward solidifying their playoff position. Arizona is deep in the wild-card race, and with Gallen on the mound and their offense firing on all cylinders, they’re looking to stay ahead of the competition and keep their postseason dreams alive.

Conclusion

As the Rangers and Diamondbacks meet once again, this time with playoff hopes on the line, it’s all about the pitching. Eovaldi and Gallen have history, but they’re not the same players they were in last year’s World Series. Texas is fighting against the odds, but they’ve been resilient. Meanwhile, Arizona is looking to keep their wild-card lead intact. It’s going to be a hard-fought series with major postseason implications for both teams. Keep your eyes on the mound—it’s going to be a showdown!

The Lean

For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over, as this is projected to be the 6th highest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Diamondbacks to pick up the win. Arizona starter Zac Gallen has the 2nd best innings pitched projection among today’s starters and the 8th best strikeout projection. On the other side, Nathan Eovaldi has the 12th best strikeout projection.