La Dodgers Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions August 6th 2024

LA Dodgers Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tue, Aug 6, 22:10 pm.
LA Dodgers Dodgers
ML: -110
0
0
Philadelphia Phillies
ML: -110
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Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers will look to extend their three-game winning streak on Tuesday vs. the Phillies. However, Philadelphia is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -106 compared to the Dodgers at -113. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the forecast calls for temperatures in the mid 90s.

First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET, and this NL matchup can be seen on NSPPH. The Phillies are 66-46, and they are 1st in the NL East, while the Dodgers, who are 1st in the NL West, are 66-47.

Philadelphia vs. Los Angeles Key Information

  • Teams: Phillies at Dodgers
  • Where: Dodger Stadium Los Angeles
  • Date: Tuesday, August 6th
  • Betting Odds LAD -113 | PHI -106 O/U 8.5

The Phillies Can Win If…

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 3.36 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 21 appearances, he has pitched 120 2/3 innings and has one complete game shutout to go along with 11 quality starts. Sánchez has a strikeout rate of 7.31 per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Sánchez took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has lost three straight starts.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the 7th highest-scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. So far, the Phillies have been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 7th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .255 (4th).

Alec Bohm has been hot of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with a home run and six RBIs. Bohm is currently hitting .295 for the season and is on a seven-game hitting streak. Kyle Schwarber has also been swinging the bat well, going 7/19 in his last five games and is 8th in the league with 23 homers.

  • The Phillies are 2-8 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Phillies are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Philadelphia has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • The Phillies have an average of 4.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Phillies are 3-7
  • Looking back across the Phillies last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
  • Philadelphia has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Phillies have averaged 3.9 runs per game on offense

The Dodgers Can Win If…

Clayton Kershaw will be making his 3rd start of the season, and he will be at home against the Phillies. Kershaw has a loss and a no-decision so far this season. In his last outing, he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up 3 runs and 1 home run.

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge part of the Dodgers’ offense this season, as he is batting .309 with 34 home runs and 81 RBIs. Ohtani’s 81 RBIs are 4th in the league and is also 2nd in the league in homers. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he comes into the game with 24 homers and is batting .267. Hernandez has been hot of late, going 9/28 in his last seven games with three homers.

Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, as they are 3rd in home runs and are 5th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .252 and have the 2nd ranked on-base percentage in the league. Los Angeles has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks.

  • The Dodgers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Dodgers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Los Angeles has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
  • The Dodgers have an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Dodgers are 3-7
  • Looking back across the Dodgers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Los Angeles has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Dodgers have averaged 4.8 runs per game on offense

Clayton Kershaw’s Return to Form

Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw is looking to regain his dominant form as he faces the visiting Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. After coming back from offseason shoulder surgery, Kershaw has had two starts. He allowed two runs in four innings against the San Francisco Giants on July 25 and then struggled, giving up seven runs (three earned) in 3 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres last Wednesday.

One concerning sign was that Kershaw (0-1, 5.87 ERA) didn’t strike out any of the 21 San Diego batters he faced. This was the first time he failed to record a strikeout in 424 regular-season starts over his 17-season career.

“Just wasn’t executing,” Kershaw said, insisting there are no physical issues. “Wasn’t throwing really anything that I wanted to, where I wanted to. Frustrating overall.”

Kershaw’s Track Record and Manager’s Confidence

Even when battling shoulder discomfort last season, Kershaw managed a 13-5 record with a 2.46 ERA in 24 regular-season starts. The Dodgers are confident he can bounce back to that form.

“I think it’s hard to ever bet against Clayton,” said Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts. “… (His current form is) part of the process.”

Kershaw can draw confidence from his history against the Phillies. He has a 2.76 ERA and a 4-6 record in 16 career regular-season starts against them.

Dodgers’ Recent Performance

The Dodgers, aiming to catch up with the Phillies, entered the series opener on Monday with the NL’s second-best record and secured a 5-3 victory. The win featured home runs from Teoscar Hernandez and Shohei Ohtani, and marked the return of Freddie Freeman, who missed eight games while his 3-year-old son was ill and on a breathing machine. Freeman went 1-for-4 in his return and received a standing ovation before his first at-bat.

“I just can’t really thank the fans enough. I really can’t,” Freeman said.

Phillies’ Recent Struggles

The Phillies will send left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (7-7, 3.36 ERA) to the mound on Tuesday. Sanchez, a first-time All-Star this season, is coming off a rough outing where he gave up six runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees. In July, Sanchez went 1-4 with a 6.59 ERA, but his one win came against the Dodgers on July 10. In that game, his only career outing against Los Angeles, he allowed two runs on five hits over six innings.

The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games, and their NL lead has shrunk to just a half-game over the Dodgers. On Monday, the Phillies had hits against all three Dodgers relievers in the final three innings but went 1-for-5 with runners in scoring position. They are just 4-12 since the All-Star break and look nothing like the team that swept the Dodgers in a three-game home series last month.

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Nick Castellanos on Phillies’ Focus

“I think we’re grinding right now. I think we’re just in a funk,” said Phillies right fielder Nick Castellanos. “But I will say, our dugout was very good Monday. All of our attention was on the field. … We were in the competition. It was a good baseball game. A couple things here, a couple things there and it changes.”

The Lean

Our lean for this Phillies vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers to win straight-up. We also have this as the 7th highest-scoring game of the day and would lean towards the over. Clayton Kershaw is our 7th ranked starting pitcher in terms of strikeouts, while Cristopher Sánchez is 12th.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Aug 5, 18:51 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
LA Dodgers Dodgers
+1.5
-165
-110
O 8.5
-110
Philadelphia Phillies
-1.5
140
-110
U 8.5
-110
Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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