La Dodgers Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Predictions August 11th 2024

LA Dodgers Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Sun, Aug 11, 16:10 pm.
LA Dodgers Dodgers
ML: -270
0
0
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML: 220
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From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, the Pirates and Dodgers face off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 4:10 PM ET. Tyler Glasnow is starting for the Dodgers, while the Pirates are going with Bailey Falter. Los Angeles is the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -266, and they are 68-49 overall. The Pirates are 4th in the NL Central with an overall record of 56-60. Pittsburgh comes into the game on a six-game losing streak. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 77 degrees with a clear sky.

SN PT will be televising this game, and the money line odds have the Pirates at +217 compared to the Dodgers at -266. Los Angeles is currently on a two-game winning streak.

Pittsburgh vs. Los Angeles Key Information

  • Teams: Pirates at Dodgers
  • Where: Dodger Stadium Los Angeles
  • Date: Sunday, August 11th
  • Betting Odds LAD -266 | PIT +217 O/U 8.5

The Pirates Can Win If…

Pittsburgh is sending Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. The left-hander has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.87 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 2 innings and not giving up a run vs. the Padres. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Falter has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 5.99 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their team batting average of .235 is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and on-base percentage. The Pirates have been a little better on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game.

Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the Pirates this season, as he is batting .288 with a team-high 68 RBIs and 19 home runs. Reynolds is also on a four-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Oneil Cruz is batting .444 with a home run and five RBIs. During this stretch, Cruz has gone 12/27.

  • The Pirates are 2-8 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Pirates are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • The Pirates have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Pirates are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Pirates last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
  • Pittsburgh has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Pirates have averaged 5.0 runs per game on offense

The Dodgers Can Win If…

Through 21 starts, Tyler Glasnow has a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.54. This season, he has made 13 quality starts and is averaging 11.62 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Glasnow picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on nine hits. He did give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .179 off Glasnow this season. At home, he is 7-4 with a 4.07 ERA.

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge power threat for the Dodgers this season, as his 35 homers are 2nd in the league and leads the team. Ohtani is also 7th in the league with 83 RBIs. He comes into the game with a strong batting average of .300. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power threat for the Dodgers, as his 26 homers are 8th in the league. Hernandez has been even hotter of late, going 8/20 with three homers over his last five games.

Overall, the Dodgers are 3rd in the league in home runs and are 5th in scoring at 4.9 runs per contest. They have been a good home and road team offensively this season. As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in walks and have a team on-base percentage of .332, which is 3rd in the MLB.

  • The Dodgers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Dodgers are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • Los Angeles has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
  • The Dodgers have an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Dodgers are 3-7
  • Looking back across the Dodgers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • Los Angeles has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Dodgers have averaged 4.8 runs per game on offense

The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to wrap up their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, with Tyler Glasnow taking the mound as they aim for a sweep. Glasnow, who’s been shining in his first season with his hometown Dodgers, will be making his 22nd start of the year—a personal best for the right-hander.

Tyler Glasnow’s Breakout Season

Glasnow has had his share of injuries over the years, but this season, he’s managed to stay healthier and surpass his previous highs in both starts and innings pitched. With 127 innings already logged, he’s been a key piece of the Dodgers’ rotation. Sunday’s game will be his second time facing his former team, the Pirates, this season. The last time they met in June, he pitched six strong innings, giving up just one run, but took a tough 1-0 loss.

Just this past Monday, Glasnow made his 21st start of the season, allowing three runs on five hits over six innings in a 5-3 win against the Phillies. Despite missing out on his first All-Star Game due to a back injury, Glasnow has been delivering solid outings for the Dodgers.

Dodgers’ Offense Firing on All Cylinders

The Dodgers are coming off a 4-1 victory over the Pirates on Saturday, which extended Pittsburgh’s losing streak to six games. Gavin Lux, stepping into the cleanup spot for the first time this season, drove in three runs, while Teoscar Hernandez crushed his 26th homer of the year. Lux, who usually doesn’t bat in the heart of the order, made the most of his chance.

“I don’t get to hit third or fourth too much,” Lux said. “Just trying to take advantage of the opportunities with guys on base.”

The Dodgers’ offense has been rolling, and they’ll look to keep it going in the series finale.

Pirates Trying to End Their Skid

The Pirates are in a rough patch, dropping six straight games, which ties their longest losing streak of the season. In Saturday’s game, they managed just one run, a ninth-inning homer by Ke’Bryan Hayes, to avoid the shutout.

Despite their struggles, the Pirates have managed to reset their bullpen thanks to some long outings from Domingo German and Ben Heller over the past two games, which could be a factor in Sunday’s matchup.

Pitching Matchup: Tyler Glasnow vs. Bailey Falter

The Dodgers will look to Glasnow to continue his strong season and help them secure the sweep. His ability to keep damage to a minimum and go deep into games has been a big part of the Dodgers’ success.

The Pirates will counter with left-hander Bailey Falter, who’s making his first career start at Dodger Stadium. Falter has had an up-and-down season and recently returned from the injured list after dealing with triceps tendinitis. His last start was cut short by a rain delay after just two innings, but he picked up a win in his previous outing against the Astros, allowing two runs over 5 1/3 innings. Falter will need to bring his best game to contain the Dodgers’ powerful lineup.

Wrapping It Up

As the Dodgers aim to finish off the sweep and extend the Pirates’ losing streak, Tyler Glasnow’s performance will be key. For the Pirates, Bailey Falter will need to step up to give his team a shot at snapping their skid. With both teams having something to prove, Sunday’s game is shaping up to be an important showdown in the series.

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The Lean

Today’s matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers has the 3rd highest combined runs projection and 3rd highest total hits projection. Our lean would be towards taking the over. As for a winner, we like the Dodgers to come out on top. Tyler Glasnow is our 3rd ranked starting pitcher in terms of strikeouts, and Bailey Falter is 2nd worst.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sat, Aug 10, 14:59 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
LA Dodgers Dodgers
-1.5
-130
-270
O 8.5
-110
Pittsburgh Pirates
+1.5
110
220
U 8.5
-110
Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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