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The money line odds for Sunday’s Marlins vs. Giants matchup have the Giants as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -273. Miami’s money line odds are at +224, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
First pitch from Oracle Park is set for 4:05 PM ET, and Logan Webb will be starting for the Giants, while the Marlins are going with Darren McCaughan. Miami is 5th in the NL East, and the Giants are 4th in the NL West.
Miami vs. San Francisco Key Information
- Teams: Marlins at Giants
- Where: Oracle Park San Francisco
- Date: Sunday, September 1st
- Betting Odds SF -273 | MIA +224 O/U 7.5
The Marlins Can Win If…
Darren McCaughan will be making his first start of the season for the Marlins, as he has been used out of the bullpen so far. He has made 3 appearances, with his last outing coming against the Reds, where he went 1 inning and gave up 2 hits and struck out 2.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. This is a result of their poor on-base percentage (.296) and the fact that they are 25th in home runs this season. However, they do have a team batting average of .240, which is 12th best in the MLB. Jake Burger has been a bright spot for the Marlins this season, as his 25 home runs are 11th best in the league, and he is hitting .247.
Over his last seven games, Kyle Stowers has gone 10/24 with six RBIs, and Derek Hill has homered three times in his last six games while hitting .273. Hill is also on a three-game hitting streak. Bryan De La Cruz and Xavier Edwards are also on nice hitting streaks for the Marlins.
- The Marlins are 4-6 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Marlins are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- Miami has an over/under record of 5-4-1 in their last ten games.
- The Marlins have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Marlins are 4-6
- Looking back across the Marlins last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- Miami has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Marlins have averaged 4.1 runs per game on offense
The Giants Can Win If…
Giants starter Logan Webb finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings. Most recently, he faced the Brewers and gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Against the White Sox on August 21st, Webb gave up two earned runs in eight innings. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Webb has a record of 11-8 this season and an ERA of 3.24. Opponents are batting .243 off the right-hander this season. Webb has one complete game shutout and 18 quality starts this year.
So far this season, the Giants are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 12th in the MLB. Their team on-base percentage of .309 is also 13th in the league. San Francisco’s top home run hitter is Matt Chapman, who is 15th in the league with 21 homers and is also leading the team with 67 RBIs. Chapman is batting .247 for the season.
Over his last eight games, Matt Chapman has gone 8/29 with one home run and five RBIs. Heliot Ramos has also gone deep two times in his last eight games, but he is just 6/31 in that stretch. For the season, Ramos is batting .276, and he is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs.
- The Giants are 4-6 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Giants are 1-4 vs. the run line.
- San Francisco has an over/under record of 4-4-2 in their last ten games.
- The Giants have an average of 2.8 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Giants are 5-5
- Looking back across the Giants last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- San Francisco has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Giants have averaged 4.0 runs per game on offense
Griffin Conine Fuels Marlins as They Aim for Series Win Against Giants
Rookie Griffin Conine is giving the Miami Marlins a much-needed lift late in the season, and he’ll look to keep that momentum going as the Marlins face the San Francisco Giants in the final game of their three-game series on Sunday afternoon.
Conine’s Early Impact
In just his fifth game in the majors, 27-year-old Griffin Conine made a statement with a crucial home run that powered the Marlins (50-86) to a 4-3 victory over the Giants (68-69) on Saturday night. The win not only evened the series but also dealt a blow to the Giants’ playoff aspirations, leaving them 6 1/2 games out of the last National League wild-card spot.
Conine’s homer, which came in only his 14th big-league at-bat, was a memorable one. The ball rocketed off his bat and hit the foul pole in right field, staying fair and adding to the Conine family legacy. His father, Jeff Conine, who hit 214 home runs over his 17-year career, including 120 with the Marlins, took 111 at-bats across two seasons to hit his first major-league homer. Griffin’s quick success has been a bright spot in an otherwise tough season for Miami.
“The main thing with Griff is he earned it,” Marlins manager Skip Schumaker said. “I’m just really happy for him because it took him a while to get here, and I think it’s even more special when that happens. It just puts things in perspective sometimes when you’re at this part of the season and you haven’t won a ton of games. Then you see him come in, super-excited and smiling, and you realize this guy just accomplished his dream.”
Giants’ Struggles Continue
The Giants have hit a rough patch, losing three of their last four games. Saturday’s loss was particularly frustrating for manager Bob Melvin, who saw a controversial call in the seventh inning lead to the deciding run. Miami’s Otto Lopez was ruled safe at second base on what appeared to be a routine tag by Giants shortstop Tyler Fitzgerald. The umpire ruled that Fitzgerald obstructed Lopez’s slide, allowing him to advance and eventually score.
“I don’t know how that affects the play,” Melvin said. “He’s sliding to the back part of the bag. Yeah, (Fitzgerald’s) foot’s in front of part of the bag. But when he’s sliding to the back of the bag, you’re trying to make a tag and it doesn’t affect the play. There should be some feel with that (call).”
Pitching Matchup
On Sunday, the Marlins are expected to lean on their bullpen for the series finale, with right-hander Darren McCaughan (0-0, 8.62 ERA) likely getting the start. McCaughan has made five relief appearances this season, including two with the Cleveland Guardians, and will be making his first career start against the Giants.
The Giants will counter with their ace, right-hander Logan Webb (11-8, 3.24 ERA), who has been in top form lately. Webb is unbeaten in his last seven starts, posting a 4-0 record with a 2.28 ERA during that stretch. He has faced the Marlins five times in his career, compiling a 1-1 record with a 2.67 ERA.
Game Outlook
With the series on the line, the Marlins are counting on their young talent, like Conine, to continue delivering clutch performances. Meanwhile, the Giants are turning to Logan Webb to help them bounce back from Saturday’s tough loss and keep their playoff hopes alive. Sunday’s game could be pivotal for both teams as they look to finish the season strong.
The Lean
Today’s matchup between the Marlins and Giants has the 2nd highest combined runs projection and 3rd highest hits total projection. Our lean would be to the over, and we are also leaning towards the Marlins to pick up the win. Looking at today’s starters, Logan Webb has the 12th best strikeout projection compared to Darren McCaughan, who has the lowest among today’s starters.
