Seattle Mariners vs Ny Mets Picks and Predictions August 11th 2024

The money line odds for Sunday’s Mets vs. Mariners interleague matchup have the Mariners as the favorites, with their line sitting at -132, while the Mets are at +111. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on ESPN.

First pitch from T-Mobile Park in Seattle is set for 7:10 PM ET. Luis Severino is starting for the Mets, while the Mariners are going with Luis Castillo. Both teams are 61-56 or better, and the Mariners have won three straight, putting them 2nd in the AL West. The Mets are 3rd in the NL East.

New York vs. Seattle Key Information

• Teams: Mets at Mariners
• Where: T-Mobile Park Seattle
• Date: Sunday, August 11th
• Betting Odds SEA -132 | NYM +111 O/U 7.5

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts, and his record is 7-5 with an ERA of 4.06. In his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two home runs in three straight starts. One positive note is that he has a total of nine quality starts this year. Opposing batters are hitting .231 this season off Severino, and his WHIP is 1.25.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 25 homers is 9th in the league and Lindor’s 22 is the 12th best mark in baseball. Lindor is also leading the Mets with 67 RBIs and comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Lindor is batting .300, while Alonso has gone 6/26 with two homers over that stretch.

Overall, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game (10th). They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249 and have the league’s 8th best on-base percentage.

• The Mets are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Mets are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 1-8-1 in their last ten games.
• The Mets have an average of 3.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Mets are 5-5
• Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• New York has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 4.6 runs per game on offense

Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-11 and an ERA of 3.48. Looking back at his last outing, Castillo took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road, where he is 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA. At home, his record is 5-5 with a 3.13 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Castillo this season.

Cal Raleigh has been a big power threat for the Mariners this season, as his 24 homers are 10th in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .212 this season. Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 and has gone deep 11 times. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers but is batting just .222 for the season.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .217, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of runs per game and have the most strikeouts in the league. Seattle’s team on-base percentage of .301 is also near the bottom of the league.

• The Mariners are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Mariners are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Seattle has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
• The Mariners have an average of 3.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Mariners are 5-5
• Looking back across the Mariners last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Seattle has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Mariners have averaged 6.0 runs per game on offense

Mariners Look to Sweep Mets with Dominant Pitching

The Seattle Mariners are hosting the New York Mets on Sunday night, and they’re looking to wrap up a series sweep while keeping their pitching dominance alive. After back-to-back shutouts, the Mariners are riding high, aiming to solidify their spot at the top of the AL West and make a big statement on a national stage.

Mariners’ Pitching on Fire

Seattle’s pitching has been lights out this series, shutting out the Mets in two straight games. Bryce Miller kicked things off on Friday with six scoreless innings in a 6-0 win, followed by Logan Gilbert, who threw seven innings of three-hit ball in Saturday’s 4-0 victory. The Mariners lead the majors with 72 quality starts and 13 shutouts this season, proving they’ve got one of the best pitching staffs in baseball.

Luis Castillo Looks to Keep the Streak Alive

Next up on the mound for Seattle is their ace, Luis Castillo. With a 9-11 record and a 3.48 ERA, Castillo has been a model of consistency, even in his last outing where he logged his sixth straight quality start despite a 4-2 loss to the Tigers. Castillo will be looking for his second career win against the Mets, with a 1-1 record and a 4.44 ERA in previous matchups.

Mets Struggling to Find Their Groove

The Mets have had a tough time, getting shut out in two straight games. Manager Carlos Mendoza acknowledged the challenge of facing Seattle’s pitching, saying,

With the Mets currently half a game behind the Braves for the National League’s final wild-card spot, Sunday’s game is crucial for their playoff hopes.

Luis Severino on the Mound for Mets

The Mets are putting their hopes on Luis Severino, who comes in with a 7-5 record and a 4.06 ERA. Severino has had a rough couple of starts lately, including a five-run outing against the Rockies. Despite his recent struggles, Severino has done well against the Mariners in the past, with a 2-1 record and a 3.44 ERA in three starts. He’ll need to bring his A-game to help the Mets avoid the sweep.

Mariners’ Offense Clicking

Seattle’s offense has been doing its job too, with key midseason pickups like Victor Robles, Randy Arozarena, and Justin Turner stepping up. Their timely hitting has provided the early runs that have given the Mariners’ pitchers the breathing room to dominate.

Justin Turner highlighted the importance of scoring early, saying,

Wrapping It Up

As the Mariners aim to complete the sweep and keep their shutout streak alive, Luis Castillo’s performance will be key. For the Mets, Luis Severino needs to step up big to keep their playoff hopes alive. With so much on the line, Sunday’s game is set to be an exciting finish to the series.

For a money-line pick, we are leaning towards the Mets to come out on top as they take on the Mariners. Despite our projections pointing to this being the 3rd lowest-scoring game of the day, we are actually leaning towards taking the over. As for today’s starters, we have Luis Severino as our 8th ranked strikeout pitcher compared to Luis Castillo, who is 13th.