Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions September 11th 2024

Manny Machado aims to build on record as Padres visit Mariners

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Padres and Mariners facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET. The money line odds have the Padres at -108 compared to the Mariners at -111. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and Bryan Woo is starting for the Mariners, while the Padres are going with Michael King. San Diego is 2nd in the NL West, and the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West.

San Diego comes in with a record of 82-64, while the Mariners are 73-72 overall. Toeing the rubber for the Padres is Michael King, while the Mariners are set to start Bryan Woo.

San Diego vs. Seattle Key Information

• Teams: Padres at Mariners
• Where: T-Mobile Park Seattle
• Date: Wednesday, September 11th
• Betting Odds SEA -111 | SD -108 O/U 7

The Padres Can Win If…

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.10. King’s WHIP for the season is 1.21, and he has turned in 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, King is averaging 10.63 strikeouts, and his total for the year is 185, which ranks eighth in the majors. In his last outing, King went six innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

As a team, the Padres are the best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Both Luis Arraez and Manny Machado have been swinging a hot bat of late, with Arraez hitting .462 over his last nine games and Machado batting .341 over his last 10. Machado is the team’s top power threat, as he is 14th in the league with 26 home runs and is 10th in the league with 94 RBIs. Jackson Merrill is also having a strong season, coming in with a batting average of .287 and 23 homers.

• The Padres are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Padres are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• San Diego has an over/under record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
• The Padres have an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Padres are 6-4
• Looking back across the Padres last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• San Diego has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Padres have averaged 5.6 runs per game on offense

The Mariners Can Win If…

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with a 2.36 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Woo has a WHIP of 0.85 and has issued just 0.82 walks per nine innings. So far, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Woo picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back outings.

Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well for the Mariners, with both players going 7/20 over their last five games. Raleigh has two homers and six RBIs in that stretch, while Raley has two homers and three RBIs. Raleigh and Raley are the Mariners’ top two home run hitters this season, with Raleigh’s 30 homers being 11th in the league, and Raley and Randy Arozarena are tied for 2nd on the team with 19 homers.

Overall, the Mariners are 25th in the league in runs scored at 4.1 per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .220, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have a good team walk rate and are 14th in the league in home runs.

• The Mariners are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Mariners are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Seattle has an over/under record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
• The Mariners have an average of 5.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Mariners are 5-5
• Looking back across the Mariners last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Seattle has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Mariners have averaged 5.9 runs per game on offense

The Lean

For a money-line pick, our lean would be to take the Mariners to come out on top at home. We also are leaning towards taking the over, as this is projected to be the 8th highest-scoring game of the day, and the 4th lowest combined strikeout total. Between the two starters, we have Bryan Woo as today’s 4th best strikeout option.

The Latest MLB Bets & Odds

Manny Machado has etched his name into San Diego Padres history, hitting his 164th career home run with the franchise to break a record that had stood for 50 years. Machado’s historic achievement came during the Padres’ 7-3 victory over the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday night, underscoring his role as one of the team’s most important players.

Machado Breaks 50-Year Franchise Record

Machado’s milestone home run, a towering 429-foot blast to straightaway center field in the sixth inning, put him ahead of Nate Colbert, who set the previous record of 163 homers between 1969 and 1974. Machado, playing in his 794th game with the Padres, set the record in a high-stakes moment, giving the team a crucial 5-2 lead.

“Huge, especially in the situation of the game, give us the lead there and give us a nice little cushion,” Machado said of his two-run homer. “Definitely a special moment there for sure that I’ll never forget.”

Machado’s impact didn’t stop there. He added a two-run single in the seventh inning, sealing the Padres’ win and highlighting his critical offensive presence. His contributions not only helped San Diego secure the victory but also cemented his role as the franchise’s offensive leader.

Yu Darvish Returns with a Milestone Win

Another significant storyline from the game was the return of right-hander Yu Darvish, who earned his first win since May 19 after battling injuries and personal matters. Darvish’s six-inning performance marked his 201st career victory combined between Major League Baseball and Japan’s top league, tying him with fellow Japanese legend Hideo Nomo for second-most wins by a Japanese-born pitcher. Only Hiroki Kuroda, with 203 wins, stands ahead of him.

“Obviously he’s a legend,” Darvish said of Nomo. “I feel like I’m not close to him at this point in time. Maybe the numbers are what they are, but as far as a pitcher coming from Japan, I feel like I’m not even close to him.”

Darvish’s steadying presence helped the Padres recover from an early 2-0 deficit after home runs by Seattle’s Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley in the first and second innings. He settled in, and with the help of Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr.’s three-run homer, San Diego took control of the game.

Padres’ Power Leads to Victory

Machado wasn’t the only player flexing his offensive muscles. Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a pivotal three-run home run in the third inning to erase the Mariners’ early lead. Together with Machado’s long ball, these hits proved decisive as the Padres capitalized on multi-run homers, unlike the Mariners, whose home runs were solo shots.

“You have guys that anchor your lineup and he’s definitely that guy that anchors it, offensively, defensively,” Padres manager Mike Shildt said of Machado’s importance to the team.

Mariners’ Missed Opportunities

For the Seattle Mariners, the loss highlighted missed opportunities to convert their early momentum into a victory. Cal Raleigh’s first-inning solo shot was his 30th homer of the season, making him just the 12th catcher in MLB history to reach that milestone multiple times. However, Seattle struggled to sustain their offense, with their home runs coming in isolation rather than when runners were on base.

“Certainly a tough one,” Mariners manager Dan Wilson said. “A lot of momentum swings early in the ballgame, back and forth. It seemed like their home runs came with runners on, and ours were solos.”

The Mariners, chasing the Houston Astros in the American League West, now find themselves 4.5 games behind in the standings after the loss. With just a handful of games remaining, Seattle will need to improve their situational hitting if they hope to make a late-season playoff push.

Pitching Matchup for Series Finale

The Padres and Mariners will conclude their two-game interleague series on Wednesday night with an intriguing pitching duel. San Diego will send right-hander Michael King (12-8, 3.10 ERA) to the mound, while the Mariners counter with righty Bryan Woo (7-2, 2.36 ERA).

King, who pitched six strong innings in a 5-1 win over the San Francisco Giants last Friday, will be looking to continue his momentum. Despite a loss to the Mariners earlier this season, where he allowed just two runs (one earned) in six innings, King holds a solid 2.08 ERA in three career appearances against Seattle.

Woo, meanwhile, is coming off a win against the Oakland Athletics in which he gave up two runs over five innings. This will be his first time facing the Padres, and he’ll look to help the Mariners rebound as they continue their playoff chase.

Playoff Implications for Both Teams

For both teams, Wednesday’s game carries significant playoff implications. The Padres, now at 82-64, are trying to solidify their wild-card spot in the National League, while the Mariners, at 73-72, are in the thick of the American League West race. With the Astros pulling ahead, Seattle needs a strong finish to close the gap and keep their playoff hopes alive.