From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an AL matchup between the Tigers and Mariners. First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET, and BSDET will be televising this one. The money line odds have the Mariners at -212, while the Tigers are the +178 underdog. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Detroit comes in with a record of 53-60 and is 4th in the AL Central, while the Mariners are 1st in the AL West with a record of 59-54. Tuesday’s forecast in Seattle calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Keider Montero is starting for the Tigers, and he is facing off against Luis Castillo for the Mariners.
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Detroit vs. Seattle Key Information
- Teams: Tigers at Mariners
- Where: T-Mobile Park Seattle
- Date: Tuesday, August 6th
- Betting Odds SEA -212 | DET +178 O/U 7.5
The Tigers Can Win If…
Right-hander Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Mariners on the road. Montero has made seven starts and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up four earned runs in seven innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Montero has a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 6.18. Looking at his home/road splits, Montero has gone 0-4 with a 6.97 ERA at home compared to 1-1 with a 5.64 ERA on the road.
Riley Greene has been a bright spot for the Tigers this season, as he is batting .264 with a team-high 51 RBIs and 17 home runs, which is 14th in the league. Over his last seven games, Bligh Madris is hitting .400 with one homer and two RBIs. Justyn-Henry Malloy comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, and he has gone 7/28 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. Detroit’s team isolated power of .151 is 15th in the league.
- The Tigers are 3-7 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Tigers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- Detroit has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
- The Tigers have an average of 2.2 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Tigers are 7-3
- Looking back across the Tigers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
- Detroit has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Tigers have averaged 4.7 runs per game on offense
The Mariners Can Win If…
Seattle is starting right-hander Luis Castillo today vs. the Tigers. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with a 3.43 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has a WHIP of 1.16 and has issued just 2.51 walks per nine innings. At home, he is 5-4 with a 3.01 ERA compared to 4-6 with a 4.43 ERA on the road. So far, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 8.58 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Castillo gave up three earned runs in six innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Red Sox.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners offense this season, as he comes into the game with a league-leading 67 RBIs and has also hit 23 homers. However, he is batting just .214. Julio Rodriguez has been a solid all-around hitter for Seattle, as he is batting .263 with 11 homers and 37 RBIs. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team in RBIs (39) and has 16 homers but is batting just .218.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, as they are averaging just 4 runs per game (28th) and are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts.
- The Mariners are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Mariners are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- Seattle has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
- The Mariners have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Mariners are 5-5
- Looking back across the Mariners last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
- Seattle has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Mariners have averaged 6.0 runs per game on offense
Mitch Haniger’s Predicted Turnaround
Just after the All-Star break, Seattle Mariners outfielder Mitch Haniger made a bold prediction to manager Scott Servais: “I’m about to get hot.”
Recent Performances: A Sign of Things to Come?
Haniger has been on fire, racking up two hits and homering both Friday and Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies. These games marked his first multi-hit performances since June 10 against the Chicago White Sox. Haniger’s resurgence has helped the American League West-leading Mariners secure key victories against the National League East-leading Phillies. With a three-game series against the Detroit Tigers at T-Mobile Park on the horizon, Haniger and the Mariners are eager to keep the momentum going.
Manager Scott Servais on Haniger’s Importance
“He’s had great years here where he’s hit the long ball. He’s been really consistent at the plate,” said Servais. “It’s been a little frustrating for him — like a lot of our guys early in the season — to get it going. But players that have played as long as he has in the league, they feel it. He’s starting to feel it and we need it.”
Challenges and Adjustments: Haniger’s Path to Success
The often-injured Haniger, who returned to the Mariners in an offseason trade after a year in San Francisco, had a strong spring training. The team hoped he might regain the form that made him an All-Star in 2018. Instead, he struggled in July, hitting just .159 and seeing his playing time decrease.
“My posture has been messed up the whole first half,” Haniger explained. “After the second half, I honed in on that and it’s been improving a lot. I had a great spring and instant success, but then it kind of didn’t help me. I had to throw it aside and go back to what I’ve done in the past: get back to swinging like I can, keep my head still, and stay more upright.”
Key Moments: Haniger’s Impactful Plays
On Saturday, Haniger homered to spark a comeback from a five-run deficit and drew a bases-loaded walk in the bottom of the 10th inning, bringing home the winning run in a 6-5 decision. It was Haniger’s seventh career walk-off as a Mariner, tying him with Jim Presley for the franchise record.
“A win is a win, but hitting in a walk-off feels a little better,” Haniger joked.
The Detroit Tigers: Struggles and Highlights
Recent Struggles
The Tigers have hit a rough patch, losing six of their past seven games. Sunday’s defeat to the visiting Kansas City Royals might have been the toughest, as Royals pinch-hitter MJ Melendez hit a three-run homer with two outs in the ninth inning off Shelby Miller.
“I think Shelby had given up eight hits (actually six) against lefties all year going into that inning,” Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said. “They got two, two-strike hits from (Hunter) Renfroe and (Freddy) Fermin, and then a bad splitter to a guy who can hit the ball out of the park.”
Individual Highlight
One bright spot for the Tigers has been Colt Keith, named the AL Rookie of the Month for July when he batted .322 with seven homers and 17 RBIs.
Pitching Matchup: Montero vs. Castillo
Tigers’ Keider Montero
The rookie right-hander (1-5, 6.18 ERA) will be facing the Mariners for the first time. Montero has lost his past three starts, including a 7-1 defeat against Kansas City last Thursday where he allowed four runs on six hits over seven innings.
Mariners’ Luis Castillo
Seattle’s ace (9-10, 3.43 ERA) has defeated 27 of the 28 teams he has faced in his career, with the lone exception being the Tigers. He’s 0-3 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts against them. Castillo is coming off a 10-6 victory last Tuesday in Boston, where he gave up three runs on six hits over six innings.
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The Lean
Today’s Tigers and Mariners game should feature plenty of offense, as this is projected to be the 2nd highest-scoring game of the day. For an over/under pick, we would be leaning towards the over. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have the Tigers finishing on top. Detroit comes in with our 2nd highest projected run total and 5th highest home run figure. Looking at today’s starters, we have Keider Montero as our 5th best strikeout pitcher in today’s slate compared to Luis Castillo (9th).