Ny Mets Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions August 16th 2024

From Citi Field in New York, we have the Marlins and Mets facing off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for Friday’s matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET. BSFL will be televising this one, and the Mets are the heavy favorite on the money line at -230. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Miami comes into the game with a record of 45-76, while the Mets are 62-59 overall. Roddery Munoz is starting for the Marlins, and he will be facing off against Sean Manaea for the Mets.

Miami vs. New York Key Information

Roddery Muñoz is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Padres, as he got the start and went five innings, giving up three earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. In his 14 starts, Muñoz has a record of 2-6 and an ERA of 5.67. Looking at his overall numbers, Muñoz has a WHIP of 1.43 and has issued 4.22 walks per nine innings compared to 7.47 strikeouts. Per nine innings, he has allowed 2.53 homers. Muñoz has made two quality starts this year.

One of the few bright spots in the Marlins lineup this season has been Jake Burger, who is hitting .253 for the season and is on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last six games, Burger has gone 11/24 with four homers and 10 runs scored. Burger’s 23 homers this season is 13th in the league and leads the Marlins. He also has driven in 54 runs, which is the best mark on the team.

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As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.7 runs per game. Their team batting average of .238 is 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Miami is also the league’s worst team in terms of drawing walks.

Sean Manaea will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners, as he gets the start for the Mets today. Against the Mariners, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts, not giving up a run in either outing. Manaea’s ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a record of 8-5. Out of his 23 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.15 strikeouts per nine innings.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been swinging the bat well of late for the Mets. Lindor comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak and has gone 14/35 in his last eight games, including one home run. Alonso has also been hot, going 9/32 in his last eight games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, Alonso’s 26 homers are 10th in the league and leads the Mets, while Lindor is right behind him with 23 homers.

Overall, the Mets are 9th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 9th in the MLB, and are also among the league leaders in home runs.

For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over, as this is projected to be the 3rd highest-scoring game of the day. As for who we are leaning to take this one straight up, we like the Marlins to pick up the win. Miami’s offense is our 4th highest-rated team in terms of runs scored, and Roddery Muñoz is 18th among today’s starters in projected strikeouts.

Mets Look to Reignite Season Against Marlins in Crucial Series

The New York Mets, after a recent slump, are hoping to find a spark in their upcoming series against the Miami Marlins, just as they did two months ago when a dramatic win over Miami began to turn their season around. The Mets will host the Marlins on Friday night in the opener of a three-game series, with both teams seeking to rebound from frustrating losses.

Mets’ Recent Struggles

The Mets enter this series requiring a lift after an intense loss on Thursday, where they wasted a five-run lead and fell 7-6 to the Oakland Sports. The loss was especially crippling as it cost the Mets an opportunity to make strides in the National League wild-card race, keeping them two games behind the Atlanta Overcomes, who likewise lost on Thursday.

Since June 13, the date of their pivotal win over the Marlins, the Mets have gone 33-22, the best record in the NL East over that span and the fourth-best in the majors. However, the Mets have hit a rough patch recently, losing five of their last six games and being outscored 39-20 during that stretch. Despite Thursday’s early 5-0 lead, the Mets faltered, going just 1-for-10 with runners in scoring position after the third inning.

Mets slugger J.D. Martinez, who hit a walk-off homer to lift New York over Miami on June 13, spoke about the team’s mentality during this crucial stretch.

“Something we talked about is that we got here by playing with no pressure—we were supposed to lose, so let’s just go have fun,” Martinez said. “One of those things (where it) kind of just snowballed and all of a sudden, we get to this point where we make a couple trades and we’re in it. And now it’s just a little bit more pressure, especially when you get into August.”

Marlins’ Role as Spoilers

The Marlins, who started the season 6-24 and seemingly dashed their playoff hopes early, have played the role of spoilers over the past several weeks. Despite their poor start, Miami has gone 13-18 over their last 31 games, many of which were against postseason contenders. The Marlins have shown they can compete, splitting a four-game series with the Mets in Florida immediately after the All-Star break.

Miami’s latest series against the Philadelphia Phillies displayed their true capacity and their defects. After a persuading 5-0 win in the opener, the Marlins leaped out to a 3-0 lead in the principal inning on Wednesday before the Phillies raged back, energized by Kyle Schwarber’s huge homerun. Miami oversaw only two hits from that point forward, falling 9-5.

“We scored five runs against a really good team,” Marlins manager Skip Schumaker said after Wednesday’s loss. “Their bullpen was outstanding tonight—shut us down, gave them a chance to jump back in, which they did. And that’s why they’re one of the best, if not the best, teams in the National League.”

Pitching Matchup: Manaea vs. Munoz

Friday’s game will highlight a pitching matchup between Mets left-hander Sean Manaea and Marlins right-hander Roddery Munoz. Manaea (8-5, 3.44 Period) has had a strong season however battled in his last beginning, permitting three runs over a season-low three innings in a 4-0 loss to the Seattle Sailors. Manaea has had blended results against the Marlins in his profession, with a 1-2 record and a 5.85 Period in four beginnings, remembering a 6.30 Time for two beginnings this season.

Munoz (2-6, 5.67 ERA), a rookie for the Marlins, has shown flashes of promise, particularly against the Mets. In two starts against New York, Munoz has a 0-1 record despite an impressive 0.82 ERA. He pitched six scoreless innings of one-hit ball in a no-decision on June 13 and followed that up with five innings of one-run ball in a 1-0 loss on July 20. Munoz will look to build on those performances as he faces the Mets for the third time this season.

What’s at Stake

Friday’s game will highlight a pitching matchup between Mets left-hander Sean Manaea and Marlins right-hander Roddery Munoz. Manaea (8-5, 3.44 Period) has had a strong season however battled in his last beginning, permitting three runs over a season-low three innings in a 4-0 loss to the Seattle Sailors. Manaea has had blended results against the Marlins in his profession, with a 1-2 record and a 5.85 Period in four beginnings, remembering a 6.30 Time for two beginnings this season.

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Yet again the Marlins, while not in dispute themselves, get the opportunity to play spoiler. With nothing to lose, they can pressure the Mets and disturb their season finisher desires. For Miami, proceeded with advancement and cutthroat play areas of strength for against will be key as they look forward to next prepare.

Conclusion

As the Mets have the Marlins in this critical series, the two groups will be searching for a flash. For New York, it’s an opportunity to pivot a new rut and get once more into the main part of the season finisher race. For Miami, it’s a potential chance to proceed with their job as spoilers and gain significant experience against a postseason competitor. With the two groups roused for various reasons, this series vows to be a significant and firmly challenged matchup.