Ny Mets Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions August 19th 2024

NY Mets Mets vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Mon, Aug 19, 19:10 pm.
NY Mets Mets
ML: -135
0
0
Baltimore Orioles
ML: 115
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

From Citi Field in New York, we have the Orioles and Mets facing off in an interleague matchup. Monday’s forecast in New York calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. The first pitch is at 7:10 PM ET.

David Peterson will be starting for the Mets, and he is facing an Orioles club that is 73-52 and is currently 1st in the AL East. Baltimore is the slight money line underdog (+108), while the Mets are favored at -128. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and MLBN will be televising this one.

Baltimore vs. New York Key Information

  • Teams: Orioles at Mets
  • Where: Citi Field New York
  • Date: Monday, August 19th
  • Betting Odds NYM -128 | BAL +108 O/U 8.5

The Orioles Can Win If…

Trevor Rogers is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, where he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had made three straight starts and had given up three earned runs in each of those outings. Rogers’ record for the season is 2-11, and he has an ERA of 4.89. Opponents are batting .281 off the left-hander this season. Looking back, his last quality start came on July 26th vs. the Brewers. He has just three quality starts this year.

So far this season, the Orioles offense has been one of the best in the league, as they are 3rd in runs per game (5) and have the top home run total in the majors. Not only are they the top home run hitting team in the league, but they also lead the MLB in slugging percentage and have the top isolated power (ISO) figure in the league. As a team, they are batting a collective .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

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Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles top two power threats this season, with Santander leading the team with 36 homers and Henderson right behind him at 33. Henderson has been hot of late, hitting .324 over his last nine games, with four homers. During this stretch, he has also driven in eight runs. Santander is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 80 runs batted in is 13th in the MLB.

  • The Orioles are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Orioles are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • Baltimore has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
  • The Orioles have an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Orioles are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Orioles last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Baltimore has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Orioles have averaged 5.0 runs per game on offense

The Mets Can Win If…

David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 6 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he only gave up four hits and issued three walks. Peterson has been pitching well lately, as he has a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 3.04. Looking at his WHIP, it currently sits at 1.39. This year, opponents are batting .238 off the left-hander. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

Francisco Lindor has been one of the hottest hitters in the league of late, as he has gone 14/38 in his last nine games, including two home runs. Lindor’s 72 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is also 2nd on the Mets with 24 homers. Pete Alonso has also been a solid power threat for the Mets, as he is 10th in the league with 27 homers. However, he is batting just .243 for the season and has gone 7/34 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 8th ranked offense in terms of batting average and have the league’s 8th best on-base percentage.

  • The Mets are 4-6 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Mets are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • New York has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • The Mets have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Mets are 4-6
  • Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • New York has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 3.5 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Our lean for this Orioles vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets to win straight-up. We are also leaning towards taking the over, as this is projected to be the 7th highest-scoring game of today’s slate. This game is 3rd lowest in terms of hits, and we have the Mets offense finishing with the 6th most team strikeouts. David Peterson is our 4th ranked starter in terms of projected strikeouts.

Mets Brace for Challenging Stretch, Starting with Series Against Orioles

The New York Mets are going to set out on a basic and testing stretch of games that could decide their destiny in the National League wild-card race. As they plan to have the Baltimore Orioles for a three-game interleague series beginning Monday night, the strain is on to perform against top-level rivalry.

Mets Confronting Extreme Timetable Ahead

After a frustrating 3-2 misfortune to the Miami Marlins on Sunday, the Mets botched the valuable chance to clear the series and presently end up following the Atlanta Overcomes by two games for the last NL wild-card spot. The forthcoming series against the Orioles denotes the start of a 10-game stretch where the Mets will confront groups as of now standing firm on season finisher situations. Following the Orioles series, the Mets will raise a ruckus around town for four games against the San Diego Padres and three against the Arizona Diamondbacks, both of whom are likewise in the wild-card chase.

Mets outfielder Brandon Nimmo featured the expanded power that accompanies confronting season finisher bound groups.

“When you play teams that are in it, every pitch matters. So it’s going to be more like playoff baseball here,” Nimmo said. Unfortunately, Nimmo is undergoing an MRI on Monday after exiting Sunday’s game with a sore right shoulder, adding to the Mets’ concerns as they head into this crucial stretch.

Orioles Also Entering Key Series

The Baltimore Orioles are in a similar situation as they begin their own tough stretch of games. Currently tied with the New York Yankees atop the American League East, the Orioles are gearing up for a series against the Mets before hosting the AL West-leading Houston Astros and then visiting the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers.

Since July 1, the Orioles have only played 10 games against teams currently in playoff spots, with mixed results. They dropped series to the Yankees and Padres before splitting a four-game set with the AL Central-leading Cleveland Guardians. The Orioles will need to bring their best as they face a string of playoff contenders in the coming days.

On Sunday, the Orioles managed to salvage a split in their four-game series against the Boston Red Sox with a 4-2 victory. All-Star catcher Adley Rutschman played a crucial role, hitting a home run to break a scoreless tie in the fifth inning. It was his first home run since July 19, providing a much-needed boost to the Orioles’ offense, which had struggled in the previous games.

“It’s nice to be able to play—it sucks not to play,” Rutschman said, referring to his recent absence due to lower back discomfort. “Nice to get runs on the board and nice to see a ball leave the park.”

Pitching Matchup: Peterson vs. Rogers

The series opener will feature a battle of left-handers, with David Peterson taking the mound for the Mets and Trevor Rogers starting for the Orioles.

Peterson has been reliable for the Mets this season, boasting a 7-1 record with a 3.04 ERA. He’s coming off a strong outing last Wednesday, where he allowed just one unearned run over 6 1/3 innings in a 9-1 victory against the Oakland Athletics. In three career appearances against the Orioles, Peterson has a 1-1 record with a 3.72 ERA.

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On the opposite side, Trevor Rogers has battled since joining the Orioles from the Miami Marlins on July 30. He stays winless in three beginnings with Baltimore, holding a 7.53 ERA over that range. His latest beginning was a harsh excursion against the Washington Nationals, where he surrendered five runs north of five or more innings in a 9-3 misfortune. In nine vocation begins against the Mets, Rogers has a 2-3 record with a 3.35 ERA.

High Stakes for Both Teams

As the Mets and Orioles go head to head, the two groups are keenly conscious about the stakes. The Mets are battling to remain inside striking distance of a wild-card spot in the National League, while the Orioles are engaging to keep up with their situation at the highest point of the AL East. With the two groups entering this series subsequent to confronting their own difficulties, this matchup vows to be a crucial one as they explore the last stretch of the time.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sun, Aug 18, 14:46 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
NY Mets Mets
-1.5
155
-135
O 9
100
Baltimore Orioles
+1.5
-185
115
U 9
-120
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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