Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions July 30th 2024

Corbin Burnes and the Orioles will host the Blue Jays today at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and they come into the game with a record of 63-44, which has them first in the AL East. Toronto will be starting Chris Bassitt and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 50-57.

Chris Bassitt and the Blue Jays are the underdog on the money line today (+169), and the Orioles are favored at -201. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature in Baltimore calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 80s.

Toronto vs. Baltimore Key Information

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .256 this season. Bassitt has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game as one of the league’s top hitters, with a batting average of .311 and a team-high 21 home runs. He has been even better of late, going 15/26 in his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. Guerrero Jr. also has a current 12 game hitting streak. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also among the team’s home run leaders but are batting just .228 and .199, respectively.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Toronto is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .240.

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.46 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and opponents are batting .202 off him this year. In his last outing, Burnes finished with a no-decision, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Burnes has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 2.10 ERA compared to 2.94 on the road.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top home run hitting team and are 2nd in the league in runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Baltimore also leads the league in isolated power.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles top home run hitters this season, with 30 and 28 home runs, respectively. Santander has gone deep three times over his last seven games, but is hitting just .250 during that stretch. Colton Cowser has been hot of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games with two homers and nine RBIs. He also has the team’s longest active hitting streak at 11 games.

The Lean

For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over, as this is projected to be the 2nd lowest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight-up, we have our lean on the Orioles to come out on top. Offensively, the Orioles have the 5th best home run projection. Looking at today’s starters, Corbin Burnes has the 3rd best chance to pick up a win.

Orioles Ace Corbin Burnes Set to Face Chris Bassitt, Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles got through a long distance race day of baseball on Monday, since they played a doubleheader as well as because of the whirlwind of off-field improvements, including several exchanges. As the groups plan to meet again in Baltimore on Tuesday, the exchange cutoff time lingers pretty much a half-hour before the primary pitch.

Monday’s Doubleheader and Exchange Movement

The groups split Monday’s doubleheader, with Baltimore taking the main game 11-5 and Toronto winning the nightcap 8-4. An hour and a half weather conditions delay added to the drawn out day at Camden Yards.

Toronto infielder Justin Turner was exchanged to the Seattle Sailors during the main game. Rookie Addison Barger stepped in and hit his most memorable vocation home run, a three-run impact in the fifth inning. The Blue Jays proceeded with their program changes at night, exchanging left-hander Yusei Kikuchi to the Houston Astros for right-hander Jake Bloss, outfielder Joey Loperfido, and small time infielder Will Wagner.

Guerrero shined with seven hits, including a home run in each game and three doubles in the nightcap. The Blue Jays have now won four of their past five games.

“Everything (is) going my way right now,” Guerrero said. “I’m going to keep going and play hard.”

Orioles’ Performance and Challenges

The Orioles are 2-3 on their seven-game homestand. Their performance in the second game of the doubleheader was marred by sloppy play, with Baltimore committing three errors and allowing three unearned runs.

“We didn’t play a very good baseball game,” manager Brandon Hyde admitted.

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Pitching Matchup: Burnes vs. Bassitt

Baltimore will start All-Star Corbin Burnes (10-4, 2.45 ERA) on Tuesday. Burnes has been consistent, allowing three or fewer runs in each of his past five starts. He has pitched 13 innings combined in two starts against the Blue Jays this year, surrendering just two runs in a no-decision and a win. Burnes’ only previous matchup with Toronto came in 2022 with the Milwaukee Brewers, where he secured a win after allowing three runs in 7 2/3 innings.

The Blue Jays will counter with right-hander Chris Bassitt (8-9, 3.78 ERA). Bassitt has lost three of his past four starts but has maintained a streak of at least five innings pitched in 15 consecutive outings. Against the Orioles, Bassitt holds a career record of 3-2 with a 4.79 ERA in six starts, striking out 39 in 35 2/3 innings.

Injury Concerns and Player Resilience

Orioles catcher James McCann supported a clear broken nose in the primary game on Monday when he was smacked in the face by a contribute the main inning. In spite of the injury, McCann remained in the game and is supposed to see an expert on Tuesday.

“Simply a super frightening scene,” Hyde said. “It simply shows you how extreme that person is. Amazingly extreme.”

Expectation for Tuesday’s Down

As the exchange cutoff time draws near and the two groups acclimate to their new programs, the Orioles and Blue Jays are ready for an interesting and serious game on Tuesday. With Baltimore’s pro Corbin Burnes on the hill and Toronto’s Chris Bassitt hoping to recover his structure, the matchup vows to be a convincing continuation of this AL East rivalry.