Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions September 22nd 2024

From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have the Mariners and Rangers facing off in an AL West matchup. This one gets started at 2:35 PM ET and is being televised by BSSW. Seattle is favored on the money line (-122), while the Rangers are the slight home underdogs (+104). The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

The Mariners will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive, as they are 80-75 and in 2nd place in the AL West. Texas, meanwhile, has lost three straight and is 3rd in the division at 73-82. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Bryan Woo for the Mariners and Andrew Heaney for the Rangers.

Seattle vs. Texas Key Information

• Teams: Mariners at Rangers
• Where: Globe Life Field Arlington
• Date: Sunday, September 22nd
• Betting Odds SEA -122 | TEX +104 O/U 8

The Mariners Can Win If…

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today as he faces the Rangers on the road. So far this season, Woo has made 20 starts and has a record of 8-3. His ERA for the season is 2.85, along with a WHIP of .88. In his last outing, Woo took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Woo is that he has issued just 0.9 walks per nine innings compared to 7.26 strikeouts.

Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear of late, hitting .474 over his last eight games with five homers and 14 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .273 with 19 homers and 63 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Cal Raleigh has the most homers on the team at 30, but he has struggled with a batting average of just .213.

Overall, the Mariners are 23rd in the league in runs scored at 4.1 per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .223 and are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. However, they do come in as one of the best teams in the league in terms of drawing walks.

• The Mariners are 7-3 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Mariners are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Seattle has an over/under record of 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
• The Mariners have an average of 4.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Mariners are 6-4
• Looking back across the Mariners last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Seattle has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Mariners have averaged 6.2 runs per game on offense

The Rangers Can Win If…

Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Mariners on September 15th, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Heaney has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 5-14 with a 3.89 ERA. Per nine innings, Heaney is averaging 9.1 strikeouts and just 2.39 walks. For the season, he has allowed 20 homers.

Adolis Garcia comes into the game as the Rangers’ top home run hitter, with 23 long balls this season. He also leads the team in RBIs, with 80. However, Garcia is batting just .221 for the season. Corey Seager has been a bright spot for the Rangers, as he is batting .278 and has 30 homers, which is 12th in the league. Marcus Semien is 3rd on the team with 72 RBIs, but he is hitting just .232.

Both Wyatt Langford and Leody Taveras have been swinging the bat well of late, with Langford going 8/27 and Taveras going 7/25 in their last eight games, respectively. Josh Smith is currently on a five-game hitting streak for the Rangers.

• The Rangers are 3-7 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Rangers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Texas has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
• The Rangers have an average of 4.2 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Rangers are 4-6
• Looking back across the Rangers last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• Texas has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Rangers have averaged 2.8 runs per game on offense

Julio Rodriguez Powers Mariners in Crucial Postseason Push Against Rangers

The Seattle Mariners, led by star outfielder Julio Rodriguez, have their sights set on a crucial series sweep against the Texas Rangers as they continue their pursuit of a postseason berth. The Mariners (82-74) gained ground in the wild-card race with an 8-4 victory on Saturday, bringing them within 1 1/2 games of the Minnesota Twins for the final American League wild-card spot.

Rodriguez has been unstoppable against the Rangers this season, and his performance on Saturday was no exception. He went 4-for-6 with a home run and four RBIs, bringing his total to seven hits, three homers, and nine RBIs in the first two games of this series. In 12 games against Texas this year, Rodriguez has posted a .400 batting average with seven homers, 19 RBIs, and a 1.286 OPS.

Mariners manager Dan Wilson echoed the praise: “He’s just swinging the bat really well, and when he comes up there, anything can happen at this point.”

Mariners’ Strong Offensive Display

The Mariners’ offense has been firing on all cylinders, recording 16 hits in Saturday’s game, matching their season high. They improved to 54-4 when scoring five or more runs in a game this season, with catcher Cal Raleigh contributing a multi-hit game. “I thought we played a really good game all around and now need to come out tomorrow and finish it up,” Raleigh said.

Seattle will look to maintain this momentum in Sunday’s series finale, knowing that every game is critical as they chase a wild-card spot with just seven games remaining in the regular season.

Bryan Woo Takes the Mound for Mariners

Right-hander Bryan Woo (8-3, 2.85 ERA) will start for the Mariners on Sunday as they aim for the sweep. Woo will be looking to bounce back after a tough outing against the New York Yankees on Tuesday, where he allowed seven runs on nine hits in 4 2/3 innings. Woo has struggled against Texas in his career, holding a 0-2 record with a 12.00 ERA in three starts against the Rangers.

Despite Woo’s recent challenges, the Mariners are confident that their offense, led by Rodriguez, can continue to provide support.

Rangers Turn to Andrew Heaney

Opposing Woo will be Rangers left-hander Andrew Heaney (5-14, 3.89 ERA), who has historically struggled against Seattle. Heaney took the loss in his last outing against the Mariners, allowing three runs on seven hits over five innings. In 23 career appearances (21 starts) against Seattle, Heaney has posted a 4-10 record and a 4.40 ERA.

The Rangers, currently out of playoff contention, will look to play spoiler in Seattle’s postseason chase. However, they have been unable to contain the Mariners’ potent offense in the series thus far.

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Playoff Implications

With the Mariners heading into their final stretch of games, including a pivotal three-game series against the AL West-leading Houston Astros starting Monday, each game holds significant weight in their postseason hopes. Following their series with Houston, the Mariners will return home to face the Oakland Athletics in their last series of the regular season.

With Rodriguez leading the charge and the Mariners hitting their stride at the right time, Seattle is focused on securing their spot in the postseason. A win on Sunday would be another step toward achieving that goal as they look to sweep the Rangers and build momentum for the final week of the season.

The Lean

Our lean for a money-line pick in this Mariners vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Rangers to come out on top. As for how we would play the over/under line, we would go with the over, as this is projected to be the 3rd lowest-scoring game of the day, and this one has the lowest total hits projection. Andrew Heaney is our 3rd highest projected starter in terms of strikeouts, and for the Mariners, Bryan Woo is 13th among today’s starters.