The Rockies will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they host the Mets at Coors Field in Denver. However, they are the money line underdogs, with the Mets being favored at -158. This NL matchup has a forecasted temperature of 96 degrees and clear skies.
SNY will be televising this Mets vs. Rockies matchup, and first pitch is set for 8:40 PM ET. Luis Severino is starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Kyle Freeland. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East. The over/under line is at 11.5 runs.
New York vs. Colorado Key Information
- Teams: Mets at Rockies
- Where: Coors Field Denver
- Date: Tuesday, August 6th
- Betting Odds NYM -158 | COL +133 O/U 11.5
The Mets Can Win If…
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces off against the Rockies on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.93 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has a WHIP of 1.24 and has issued 3.2 walks per nine innings compared to 6.99 strikeouts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had put together a nice stretch of starts, going unbeaten in three straight outings. Severino has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been two of the team’s top power threats, with Alonso leading the team with 23 homers and Lindor right behind him at 22.
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Over his last five games, Jeff McNeil is hitting .429 for the Mets, with one home run and five runs scored. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. As a team, the Mets are looking for Pete Alonso to get back on track, as he has gone just 3/17 in his last five games.
- The Mets are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Mets are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- New York has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
- The Mets have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Mets are 6-4
- Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 4.5 runs per game on offense
The Rockies Can Win If…
Colorado is sending left-hander Kyle Freeland to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with a 5.64 ERA. Freeland’s WHIP for the season is 1.51. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Freeland picked up the win vs. the Angels, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. His ERA on the road is 12.12 compared to 1.97 at home.
Colorado’s offense has been a lot better at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the majors. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Rockies are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of their batting average on balls in play. The team’s collective on-base percentage of .304 is just 17th in the MLB.
Brenton Doyle and Michael Toglia are tied for the team lead with 19 homers apiece, with Doyle leading the team with 55 RBIs, and Toglia is 4th on the team with 41 RBIs. Doyle has been in a bit of a slump, going just 3/21 in his last five games, but Brendan Rodgers has been hot, going 6/16 in his last four games.
- The Rockies are 3-7 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Rockies are 4-1 vs. the run line.
- Colorado has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
- The Rockies have an average of 3.2 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Rockies are 3-7
- Looking back across the Rockies last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
- Colorado has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Rockies have averaged 3.2 runs per game on offense
The Lean
We have this Mets vs. Rockies matchup as the 6th highest-scoring game of the day, but our lean would be towards the under. As for a pick on the money line, we are leaning towards the Mets to come out on top. New York starter Luis Severino is 11th among today’s starters in projected strikeouts.
Busy Mets Return West to Face Kyle Freeland, Rockies
Instead of having an off day to prepare for their next series, the New York Mets flew over Colorado Rockies to make up a game in St. Louis on Monday afternoon.
Mets’ Road Trip
New York beat the Cardinals 6-0, and presently it is made a beeline for Denver to begin a three-game set with the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday night. The Mets will send righty Luis Severino (7-4, 3.93 ERA) to the hill, while Colorado will counter with lefty Kyle Freeland (3-4, 5.64).
Mets’ Special case Race
New York is doing combating for one of the three National League special case spots, and Monday’s down was pivotal against a group that is also battling for a postseason billet. The Mets have placed themselves in conflict with areas of strength for a that started toward the beginning of June, however they are amidst an extreme stretch.
Struggles with Runners in Scoring Position
They have started their current 10-game road trip 2-2 and have struggled to produce with runners in scoring position. The Mets were 2-for-10 in those situations in a 3-2 loss against the host Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, their second straight one-run setback.
“We were always just one swing away,” New York outfielder Brandon Nimmo said.
Severino’s Preparation
Not every player made the flight from Los Angeles to St. Louis. Severino was sent to Denver early to get ready for his start, and he knows it’s important to build off Monday’s win over the Cardinals.
“This is the longest road trip I’ve ever seen,” Severino said recently. “It’s going to be tough for us, but this is what we get paid for, to go out there and play every day.”
Adjusting to Coors Field
Getting to Colorado ahead of the rest of the team will give Severino a chance to get acclimated to the thin air, which should help considering he has never pitched in Denver. Severino has never even faced the Rockies.
Freeland’s Record Against the Mets
Freeland, on the other hand, has some experience against Severino’s team. He is 2-1 with a 2.52 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Mets and can get another win if he continues to pitch like he has since coming off the injured list.
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Freeland’s Recent Form
In his seven starts since being activated from the 60-day IL on June 23, Freeland is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA and has logged six quality starts. The most recent one came in his latest outing, when he held the Angels to one run over seven innings on Wednesday in a bounce-back performance. Before that, Freeland was roughed up by the San Francisco Giants in his only poor start since coming off the IL.
Freeland acknowledged that he failed to pitch inside against San Francisco and worked on that in a bullpen session.
“It was a pretty easy correction for me,” Freeland said.
Brenton Doyle’s Impact
Tuesday marks the Rockies’ first home game since center fielder Brenton Doyle earned NL Player of the Month honors for July. In 25 games last month, Doyle hit .333 with 11 home runs, seven doubles, and 27 RBIs. His 19 extra-base hits led the majors in July, and he also played exceptional defense.
“I absolutely love his defense,” Freeland said of Doyle. “And with his offense this year, he’s turned an extreme corner, showing that he can hit for average and power.”