Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions August 15th 2024

Thursday’s forecast in Detroit calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 1:10 PM ET. RSNW will be televising this game, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-155).

Seattle comes in with a record of 63-58, while the Tigers are 58-63. Detroit is currently on a three-game winning streak and is 4th in the AL Central, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the under is paying out at -110.

Seattle vs. Detroit Key Information

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 9-7. Miller’s ERA is 3.46, and he is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Mets on August 9th, he pitched six innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking back at his last four starts, Miller has given up zero earned runs in three of them. His WHIP for the season is 1.03, and opponents are batting .212 vs. Miller this year.

Cal Raleigh has been struggling with a batting average of just .216 this season, but he has been swinging the bat better of late, going 4/14 in his last four games, including two home runs. Overall, Raleigh leads the Mariners with 26 homers and 76 RBIs, which is 10th in the league. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers this season, but he is also batting just .222 for the season.

As a team, the Mariners are averaging only 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average and have the most strikeouts per game in the league. Seattle is 11th in home runs this season but are just 28th in home runs.

Right-hander Alex Faedo gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Mariners at home. He has made 35 appearances this season to go along with four starts. Faedo’s ERA is 3.62, and his record for the season is 5-3. In his last outing, Faedo went just one inning and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight appearances. Faedo has allowed a home run in two of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.79 walks compared to 8.73 strikeouts.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. So far, they have been a better team at home, where they are averaging 4.3 runs per game. Detroit’s offense has been led by Riley Greene and Matt Vierling, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs and RBIs. Greene has 17 homers this season, while Vierling has gone deep 14 times.

Over his last five games, Colt Keith has gone 6/21 for the Tigers, and Kerry Carpenter has gone 4/9 with three homers in his last two games. Matt Vierling is also on a three-game hitting streak.

• The Tigers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Tigers are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• Detroit has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
• The Tigers have an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Tigers are 5-5
• Looking back across the Tigers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Detroit has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Tigers have averaged 3.7 runs per game on offense

The Seattle Mariners are looking to turn things around as they prepare for the final game of their series against the Detroit Tigers. After two tough losses, the Mariners are banking on rookie right-hander Bryce Miller to help stop the Tigers’ momentum and keep Seattle’s postseason hopes alive.

Mariners Desperate for a Bounce Back After Tough Losses

Seattle’s road trip has been rough, to say the least. It started with a brutal 15-1 blowout on Tuesday, followed by a heartbreaking 3-2 extra-innings loss on Wednesday, where they let a two-run lead slip away. Adding to their woes, star outfielder Julio Rodriguez aggravated a high ankle sprain in the eighth inning on Wednesday, though he still managed to deliver a clutch bases-loaded RBI single before being replaced by a pinch runner. Mariners manager Scott Servais is hopeful Rodriguez’s injury isn’t too serious, describing it as a “scar tissue thing” and listing him as day-to-day.

Bryce Miller’s Recent Form Gives Mariners Hope

The Mariners will turn to Bryce Miller (9-7, 3.46 ERA) to get them back on track. Miller has been a standout in Seattle’s rotation, holding opponents scoreless in three of his last five starts. In his most recent outing, he dominated the New York Mets, shutting them down over six innings with just three hits and one walk while striking out six in a 6-0 win.

“It’s great to see a young pitcher like Miller still going strong at this point in the season,” Servais said, praising Miller’s stamina and effectiveness. “We’ve got a lot of big games ahead, and he’s showing he’s ready for them.”

Miller’s track record against the Tigers is promising. Last season, he faced Detroit twice, holding them scoreless over 12 innings and winning both starts. This time, he’s got an even better pitching arsenal, with a mix of sinkers, sliders, splitters, and a nasty curveball to keep hitters guessing.

Tigers Riding High with Kerry Carpenter’s Return

On the other side, the Tigers are full of confidence after three straight wins, including back-to-back victories over the Mariners. A big part of their success has been the return of Kerry Carpenter, who’s wasted no time making an impact. Carpenter has hit three home runs in the first two games of the series, including a crucial two-run shot in the eighth inning on Wednesday that tied the game and set up Detroit’s extra-innings win.

Tigers manager A.J. Hinch is thrilled to have Carpenter back in the lineup. “He’s always a threat to change the game with one swing,” Hinch said. “He got a pitch to hit, and he turned the game around.”

Alex Faedo Ready to Challenge the Mariners

The Tigers will counter with right-hander Alex Faedo (5-3, 3.62 ERA), who’s quietly having a solid season. Faedo has only faced the Mariners once before, back in May 2023, where he pitched six strong innings but ended up with a 5-0 loss. Even though he took the L, Faedo showed he can handle Seattle’s lineup, which could play a big role in Thursday’s game.

High Stakes in the Series Finale

For the Mariners, this game is a crucial chance to stop the bleeding and regain some momentum as they chase the Astros in the AL West. Bryce Miller’s performance and Julio Rodriguez’s health will be key to their success.

Meanwhile, the Tigers are eyeing a sweep and a four-game winning streak. With Kerry Carpenter back in action and Alex Faedo on the mound, Detroit is in a good spot to take advantage of the Mariners’ recent struggles.

This series finale is shaping up to be a pivotal matchup, with both teams looking to make a statement as the season heads into its final stretch.

The Lean

As the Tigers host the Mariners today, we are leaning towards the Tigers picking up the win at home. We have this as the highest projected scoring game of the day and are leaning towards taking the over. The Tigers offense has the best team hits projection in the league today, and Alex Faedo has the 2nd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.