Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions September 25th 2024

Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins on Wednesday, and he is facing off against Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins. The game is set to get started at 7:40 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The money line odds have the Twins at -192 compared to the Marlins at +161. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

BSFL will be televising this interleague matchup, and the Twins will be looking to end a three-game losing streak. They are 81-76 this season, while the Marlins are 58-99, which has them in 5th place in the NL East.

Miami vs. Minnesota Key Information

• Teams: Marlins at Twins
• Where: Target Field Minneapolis
• Date: Wednesday, September 25th
• Betting Odds MIN -192 | MIA +161 O/U 8

The Marlins Can Win If…

Miami is sending right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 5.12. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is 1.39. In his last outing, he got hit hard, giving up seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins was a seven-inning outing in which he didn’t give up a run. So far, Cabrera has made five quality starts and is averaging 10.05 strikeouts per nine innings.

Jake Burger is the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 28 home runs are 14th in the league and the most on the team. He is also leading the team with 69 RBIs. Burger has three homers over his last nine games, but he has gone just 8/34 (.235) in that stretch. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, with 18 homers this season. Sánchez is batting .247 for the season and has gone deep in three straight games.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average of .242 is 13th in the league, and they are 24th in slugging percentage. Currently, Sánchez and Jonah Bride are both on three-game hitting streaks.

• The Marlins are 3-7 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Marlins are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Miami has an over/under record of 3-6-1 in their last ten games.
• The Marlins have an average of 3.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Marlins are 4-6
• Looking back across the Marlins last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Miami has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Marlins have averaged 3.3 runs per game on offense

The Twins Can Win If…

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA. Opposing batters have a batting average of .234 this season off Woods Richardson, and he has a total of seven quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-3 and 4.53 ERA.

Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 22 home runs are the most on the team. However, he is batting just .234 for the season. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the home run leaderboard, with 20, but is batting just .224. Willi Castro has been a bit better in terms of batting average, coming in at .250 for the season, and has gone 8/28 in his last eight games.

Minnesota’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Twins are 9th in batting average and 11th in both on-base percentage and slugging.

• The Twins are 3-7 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Twins are 1-4 vs. the run line.
• Minnesota has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
• The Twins have an average of 2.2 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Twins are 2-8
• Looking back across the Twins last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
• Minnesota has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Twins have averaged 2.3 runs per game on offense

Twins Fighting for Wild-Card Survival

The Minnesota Twins are in a do-or-die situation as they prepare to host the Miami Marlins on Wednesday night. After losing three straight and five of their last six games, the Twins find themselves two games behind both the Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers in the American League wild-card race. With only five games left in the regular season, their playoff hopes are fading fast.

Offensive Struggles at the Worst Possible Time

The Twins’ offense has gone cold at the worst moment. They’ve failed to score more than four runs in their last eight games and have been outscored 21-5 over their last three. These struggles couldn’t have come at a worse time, as they desperately need wins to stay alive in the playoff race.

Manager Rocco Baldelli acknowledged the team’s challenges at the plate, stating, “There’s no excuses to be given. We just have to keep having good, better, more positive at-bats, and then the outcomes will follow.”

However, with the clock ticking, Baldelli understands the urgency: “We’ve got to win a bunch of games right now. This is well past just us needing to play good baseball. We need to win. And we know that.”

Marlins Look to Avoid 100-Loss Season

The Miami Marlins, who hold the worst record in the National League at 58-99, are trying to avoid their first 100-loss season since 2019. They managed to snap a three-game losing streak with a 4-1 win over the Twins in the series opener on Tuesday, earning just their third victory in their last 10 games.

Xavier Edwards led the way for the Marlins with a strong 2-for-4 night that included a double and two RBIs. Rookie Jonah Bride also contributed with a solo home run, going 3-for-5.

Meanwhile, rookie third baseman Connor Norby is gaining valuable experience at third base as he transitions from second. “If I’m going to learn third, the best way is to play third, and I need some game reps,” Norby said, emphasizing his focus on defensive improvement.

Simeon Woods Richardson Takes the Mound

The Twins will rely on Simeon Woods Richardson (5-5, 4.00 ERA) to turn things around. Woods Richardson is coming off a solid outing where he allowed just one run over 4 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians last week. He has yet to face the Marlins but holds a 2-3 record in interleague play with a 4.75 ERA.

Edward Cabrera (4-8, 5.12 ERA) will start for the Marlins, looking to bounce back after a rough outing where he allowed seven runs in just 2 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. This will be Cabrera’s first start against the Twins.

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Must-Win Game for Minnesota

With their playoff hopes hanging by a thread, the Twins will need a strong outing from Woods Richardson and, perhaps more importantly, a revival of their offense to stay in the hunt. As for the Marlins, they’ll aim to play spoiler and avoid reaching 100 losses this season.

The Lean

As the Twins host the Marlins today, we are leaning towards the Twins picking up the win at home. We also have this as the 5th highest-scoring game of the day, and our lean would be towards taking the over. The Twins offense is our 4th highest projected home run-hitting team in the league today, and Simeon Woods Richardson is 13th in our projections in starting pitcher strikeouts.