Ny Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions September 25th 2024

Wednesday’s Orioles vs. Yankees game features Zach Eflin for Baltimore and Nestor Cortes for the Yankees. The game is set to get started at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -150 compared to the Orioles at +126. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

The Orioles are 87-70 this season, while the Yankees lead the AL East with a record of 92-65. This game can be seen on YES, and the Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 games, while the Orioles have gone 5-5.

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Baltimore vs. New York Key Information

• Teams: Orioles at Yankees
• Where: Yankee Stadium New York
• Date: Wednesday, September 25th
• Betting Odds NYY -150 | BAL +126 O/U 7.5

The Orioles Can Win If…

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with an ERA of 3.53. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13, and he has turned in 13 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Eflin finished with a no-decision against the Giants. In that start, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that outing, he had lost two straight starts. Eflin has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 2.77 compared to 4.4 on the road.

Anthony Santander has been the Orioles’ best power threat this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league and leads the Orioles. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .120 over his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak, and for the season, he is batting .282 with 37 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 4th best OPS and are 3rd in slugging percentage.

• The Orioles are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Orioles are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Baltimore has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
• The Orioles have an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Orioles are 5-5
• Looking back across the Orioles last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• Baltimore has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Orioles have averaged 3.8 runs per game on offense

The Yankees Can Win If…

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with an ERA of 3.77. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Cortes went six innings vs. the Mariners, giving up zero earned runs on four hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .249 as a team, which is 8th in the league, and have the top on-base percentage in the league.

Both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been swinging the bat well for the Yankees, with Judge hitting .323 for the season with a league-leading 56 home runs and 139 RBIs. Soto is also among the league leaders in home runs, as he has 40 long balls this season while batting .286.

• The Yankees are 7-3 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Yankees are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 3-6-1 in their last ten games.
• The Yankees have an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Yankees are 7-3
• Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• New York has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 4.8 runs per game on offense

Yankees Aim to Clinch AL East in Showdown with Orioles

The New York Yankees will take another shot at clinching the American League East title on Wednesday night when they face the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. After a 5-3 loss on Tuesday, the Yankees’ magic number remains at one, meaning a win in the series finale would secure their second division crown in three seasons.

Yankees Push for AL East Title

The Yankees (92-65) have been strong down the stretch, posting a 12-5 record in their last 17 games. Aaron Judge continued his MVP-caliber season by smashing his major league-leading 56th home run on Tuesday, and Gleyber Torres chipped in with three hits, including an RBI double. Despite the offensive firepower, New York’s rally fell short.

Along with trying to lock up the division, the Yankees are vying for the top seed in the American League playoffs. They hold a 1 1/2-game lead over the Cleveland Guardians in the race for home-field advantage.

Orioles Clinch Playoff Spot

On the other side, the Baltimore Orioles (87-70) celebrated clinching a playoff berth on Tuesday. Anthony Santander, Ramon Urias, and rookie Colton Cowser all launched solo home runs in the victory. The Orioles’ bullpen combined to shut down the Yankees’ offense in the late innings, preserving the win.

Baltimore, currently holding a four-game lead over the Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals for the top AL wild-card spot, is also fighting to secure home-field advantage in the postseason. Despite securing their postseason berth, the Orioles have struggled with consistency, going 5-10 in their last 15 games.

Manager Brandon Hyde acknowledged the challenges of the season. “Last year, everything went a lot smoother, it felt like, and this year it’s just been a nightly grind,” Hyde said. “We’ve had a lot of injuries. We’re pretty young, and the games haven’t been easy, but we continue to battle.”

Pitching Matchup: Cortes vs. Eflin

On the mound for the Yankees will be left-hander Nestor Cortes (9-10, 3.77 ERA), who has been in top form recently. Over his last three starts, Cortes has allowed just one run in 15 1/3 innings. In his most recent outing, he pitched six scoreless innings against the Seattle Mariners in a 2-1, 10-inning victory. Cortes has enjoyed success against the Orioles, holding a 5-1 record with a 2.20 ERA in 11 career appearances (nine starts) against them. Earlier this season, Cortes threw six scoreless innings against Baltimore.

The Orioles will counter with right-hander Zach Eflin (10-9, 3.53 ERA), who is looking to end a three-start winless streak. While Eflin has pitched well with a 2.95 ERA over those outings, the Orioles have struggled offensively, scoring just four runs in total. Eflin has a strong track record against the Yankees, with a 2.11 ERA in eight career starts. He faced New York twice earlier this season while with the Tampa Bay Rays.

High Stakes for Both Teams

Wednesday’s matchup holds high stakes for both teams. The Yankees are looking to clinch the division and maintain their momentum heading into the postseason, while the Orioles hope to solidify their wild-card standing and continue their push for a strong playoff position.

The Lean

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards the over, as this is our 2nd lowest projected scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have the Yankees picking up the win. Looking at today’s starters, Nestor Cortes is our 15th ranked starting pitcher in terms of strikeouts, while Zach Eflin is 19th. We have the Yankees offense finishing with the 9th most home runs in today’s slate of games.