The over/under line for Sunday’s Rangers vs. Yankees matchup is at 9.5 runs, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -146 compared to the Rangers at +123. This AL matchup is set for 1:35 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s.
Andrew Heaney will start for the Rangers, and he is facing off against Marcus Stroman for the Yankees. Texas is 55-62, while the Yankees are 69-49 and are 2nd in the AL East. The over/under record for the Rangers is 3rd in the AL West.
Texas vs. New York Key Information
- Teams: Rangers at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Sunday, August 11th
- Betting Odds NYY -146 | TEX +123 O/U 9.5
The Rangers Can Win If…
Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 4-11 with a 3.98 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.22 and opponents are batting .238 this season. In his last outing, Heaney finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Heaney has made six quality starts this year.
Adolis Garcia has been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, going 7/17 in his last five games. This stretch has helped him move into 2nd on the team’s home run leaderboard. Corey Seager has struggled a bit of late, going just 4/21 in his last five games, but he does have three homers in that stretch.
For the season, the Rangers are batting just .238, which is 15th in the league. As a team, they are averaging 4.2 runs per game and have been a bit better on the road than at home. Texas comes into the game with the 14th most home runs in the league.
- The Rangers are 3-7 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Rangers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- Texas has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
- The Rangers have an average of 3.8 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Rangers are 4-6
- Looking back across the Rangers last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
- Texas has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Rangers have averaged 3.4 runs per game on offense
The Yankees Can Win If…
Through 22 starts, Marcus Stroman has a record of 7-6 and an ERA of 4.10. Looking at his overall numbers, Stroman has a WHIP of 1.40 and has issued 3.79 walks per nine innings compared to 6.65 strikeouts. The right-hander has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Stroman has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 3.38 compared to 2-5 with a 6.47 ERA at home.
So far this season, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. New York has been the league’s best team in terms of on-base percentage and OPS. They are also 2nd in home runs and have the top team slugging percentage in the league.
Heading into today’s game, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the Yankees’ top two hitters in terms of batting average. Judge is hitting .323 for the season and has gone 11/30 in his last nine games, with two homers. Soto comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has gone deep three times in his last nine games.
- The Yankees are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Yankees are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- New York has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
- The Yankees have an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Yankees are 7-3
- Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
- New York has gone 3-0 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 7.2 runs per game on offense
The New York Yankees are looking to wrap up their longest homestand of the season with a winning record as they take on the Texas Rangers in the final game of their three-game series this Sunday afternoon. After a bit of a rollercoaster ride at home, the Yankees are hoping to bounce back from some recent pitching struggles that have taken the shine off what’s otherwise been a solid two weeks.
Yankees Looking for Stability Amid Pitching Woes
It’s been an up-and-down homestand for the Yankees, who’ve gone 4-4 so far despite winning 9 of their last 13 games overall. The big issue? Pitching. The Yankees’ arms have given up 42 runs during this homestand, including a rough stretch of 26 runs over their last four games. They’ve been having trouble keeping opponents from putting up big innings, as seen in their recent losses to the Angels, where they let in six runs in two different innings.
Saturday’s doubleheader was a perfect example of their struggles. The Yankees cruised to an 8-0 win in the first game but stumbled in the second, losing 8-5 after reliever Luke Weaver gave up five runs in the sixth inning. “It hurts,” Weaver said after the game.
“You feel a little shell-shocked from it, but you just gotta keep pushing forward, knowing there’s another game tomorrow.”
Rangers Trying to Build on Offensive Spark
The Rangers haven’t had it easy either, with a 4-9 record in their last 13 games. But they showed some signs of life in the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, racking up 16 hits, including a three-run bomb from Corey Seager. Seager’s been on fire lately, hitting .328 with six homers in his last eight games and seven long balls since late July. Adolis Garcia also had a big game, reaching base four times with three hits.
“They were swinging it,” Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said after the game. “That’s what you want to see—good at-bats, guys keeping the line moving. That’s more like our kind of baseball.”
Pitching Matchup: Marcus Stroman vs. Andrew Heaney
The Yankees are hoping Marcus Stroman can turn things around on the mound. Stroman’s been struggling lately, going 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA over his last six starts. His last outing was particularly rough—he gave up seven runs in just 2 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays. Stroman has also had a tough time against the Rangers in the past, with a 2-3 record and a 6.00 ERA in five career starts against them.
The Rangers will counter with Andrew Heaney, who’s coming off one of his best performances of the season. Heaney allowed just one run on one hit over six innings against the Astros, his sixth start this year where he’s allowed one earned run or fewer. But Heaney’s been inconsistent too, as shown by his 4 1/3-inning, six-run outing against the Cardinals at the end of July. Heaney, who had a brief stint with the Yankees in 2021, hasn’t fared well against his former team, with a 5.29 ERA in six career starts.
Wrapping It Up
As the Yankees look to close out their homestand on a positive note, all eyes will be on Marcus Stroman to see if he can shake off his recent struggles and deliver a strong start. For the Rangers, Andrew Heaney’s performance will be key to keeping their offensive momentum from Saturday going. Both teams are in need of a win to find some consistency, making Sunday’s game a crucial matchup for both sides.
The Lean
Today’s Rangers vs. Yankees matchup has the 2nd lowest combined hits projection and 7th lowest home run projection. For an over/under pick, we would be leaning towards the under. As for how we would play the money line in this one, we would be leaning towards the Rangers to pick up the win. Looking at the starters for this matchup, we have Marcus Stroman as today’s 17th best strikeout option compared to Andrew Heaney (12th).