Ny Yankees Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions September 14th 2024

Both the Red Sox and Yankees will send their starting pitchers to the mound on Saturday at 1:05 PM ET. This AL East matchup is taking place at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -188. The money line odds for a Red Sox win are at +158, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.

MLBN will be televising Saturday’s game, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Boston is 74-74 this season, while the Yankees lead the AL East with an overall record of 86-62. Gerrit Cole is starting for the Yankees, and he will be facing off against Brayan Bello.

Boston vs. New York Key Information

• Teams: Red Sox at Yankees
• Where: Yankee Stadium New York
• Date: Saturday, September 14th
• Betting Odds NYY -188 | BOS +158 O/U 8.5

The Red Sox Can Win If…

Brayan Bello is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Orioles. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 13-7. His ERA for the season is 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.39. Opponents have a batting average of .251 vs. Bello this season. Out of his 27 starts, Bello has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.55 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 7th in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP at .32. They are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage, OPS, and batting average. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Boston has been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the top power hitters for the Red Sox this season, with Devers leading the team with 81 RBIs and O’Neill’s 30 homers pacing the club. O’Neill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/36 in his last 10 games with five homers and nine RBIs. Jarren Duran is also having a strong season, batting .288 with 21 homers.

• The Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Red Sox are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• Boston has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
• The Red Sox have an average of 5.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Red Sox are 3-7
• Looking back across the Red Sox last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Boston has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Red Sox have averaged 3.0 runs per game on offense

The Yankees Can Win If…

New York is sending right-hander Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. Cole has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 6-4. His ERA for the season is 3.36, along with a WHIP of 1.24. In his 14 starts, Cole has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Cole’s last outing came on September 8th vs. the Cubs, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. At home, Cole is 2-1 with a 4.1 ERA.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs this season, but they also have the top offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This is also the best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s team batting average is .250, which is 8th in the league.

Aaron Judge is not only the league’s top home run hitter, but he also leads the MLB in RBIs. Judge is batting .321 for the season and has gone 7/24 in his last seven games, including one home run. Juan Soto is 2nd on the team in homers and has 101 RBIs this season. However, Soto has struggled of late, going just 3/24 in his last seven games.

• The Yankees are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Yankees are 1-4 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 3-6-1 in their last ten games.
• The Yankees have an average of 4.2 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Yankees are 4-6
• Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 3.5 runs per game on offense

You can always refer to the current MLB Odds to stay up to date with the latest betting lines.

The Lean

For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over. This game is projected to have the 8th most combined runs and 8th most hits. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Red Sox to pick up the win. Boston’s offense is our 4th highest-rated home run-hitting team in today’s slate of games, and between the two starters, we have Gerrit Cole as the 4th best strikeout pitcher in today’s games.

Aaron Judge’s Grand Slam Fuels Yankees as They Prepare to Face Red Sox Again

The New York Yankees are building momentum in their push for the American League East title, thanks in large part to a clutch performance from Aaron Judge. After hitting a dramatic go-ahead grand slam in Friday’s 5-4 victory over the Boston Red Sox, the Yankees are now looking to widen their division lead as they host their rivals again on Saturday.

With their sixth win in eight games, the Yankees (86-62) hold a three-game lead over the Baltimore Orioles, the largest advantage they’ve had in the division since June 14. Judge’s 52nd home run of the season came at the perfect time, ending his 16-game homerless streak and giving New York its third straight late-inning win.

Aaron Judge Ends Homer Drought with Grand Slam

Aaron Judge’s seventh-inning grand slam on Friday broke open a 4-4 tie and propelled the Yankees to victory. The reigning AL MVP hadn’t homered since August 25, enduring the longest homerless stretch of his career. The blast not only gave the Yankees a much-needed win but also sent a jolt through the team as they look to secure the division.

“Kind of felt like a playoff atmosphere there in the seventh inning as we were rallying,” Judge said. “We’ve been waiting for that, that’s for sure.”

Judge’s return to form couldn’t come at a better time for the Yankees, as they aim to extend their division lead. The win also marks a continuation of the team’s late-game magic, with three consecutive victories decided in the seventh inning or later.

Yankees Gaining Momentum, Focused on the Task at Hand

Despite their recent surge, Judge emphasized the importance of staying focused. “Hopefully nobody’s looking at the standings,” Judge said, downplaying the Yankees’ lead over Baltimore. “I’m certainly not.”

The Yankees’ recent string of wins has created separation in the AL East, but the team remains locked in on each game, knowing the division title is within reach. The Yankees have thrived in high-pressure situations, and Friday’s victory was another example of their ability to perform in clutch moments.

Red Sox on the Brink of Falling Under .500

For the Boston Red Sox (74-74), the loss on Friday extended their seven-game road losing streak and brought them to the edge of falling below .500 for the first time since June 11. The Red Sox are now 4 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins for the final AL wild-card spot, and their playoff hopes are fading fast.

Despite two-run home runs from Masataka Yoshida and Trevor Story, Boston couldn’t hold off the Yankees in the later innings. Zack Kelly failed to record an out in the seventh inning, setting the stage for Cam Booser to give up the grand slam to Judge.

Manager Alex Cora remains hopeful, despite the team’s struggles. “I hate to say it, but it’s still there for us,” Cora said of the team’s playoff chances. “We’ve just got to win a few games and make it interesting next week.”

The Red Sox are facing a steep climb, and they’ll need to snap their road woes soon if they want to stay in the playoff race.

Rafael Devers Struggling, but a Threat Against Gerrit Cole

Rafael Devers, a key player for the Red Sox, has hit a cold streak. He’s batting just .175 (10-for-57) over his last 15 games and hasn’t homered since August 25. Devers’ recent struggles have been a major factor in Boston’s inability to generate consistent offense.

However, Devers has historically performed well against Yankees ace Gerrit Cole. Devers has hit eight home runs and driven in 18 RBIs in 39 at-bats against Cole, making him one of the few hitters who have consistently succeeded against the New York right-hander. Devers will need to rediscover his power stroke if the Red Sox hope to turn things around.

Pitching Matchup: Gerrit Cole vs. Brayan Bello

Saturday’s pitching matchup features two pitchers with a history against their respective opponents. Gerrit Cole (6-4, 3.36 ERA) will start for the Yankees. Cole is coming off a tough-luck loss to the Chicago Cubs, where he allowed two unearned runs over six innings. Despite the loss, Cole has been consistent, allowing two runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts.

Cole has had mixed results against the Red Sox, with a 7-5 record and a 4.84 ERA in 18 regular-season starts. His biggest challenge has been Rafael Devers, who has taken him deep eight times.

The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello (13-7, 4.70 ERA) to the mound. Bello is looking for consecutive wins after allowing just two runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles in his last start. Bello has had success against the Yankees in his young career, posting a 2.66 ERA in seven starts. However, the Yankees have gotten to him this season, scoring eight runs (seven earned) in 9 2/3 innings across two starts in Boston.

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Yankees Eye Division Title, Red Sox Desperate for Wins

As the Yankees look to extend their lead in the AL East, Saturday’s game provides a crucial opportunity to keep building momentum. With Gerrit Cole on the mound and Aaron Judge back to his home run-hitting ways, New York is well-positioned to continue their late-season surge.

For the Red Sox, time is running out. A win on Saturday is essential if they want to avoid falling below .500 and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Rafael Devers, despite his recent struggles, will need to step up against Cole, a pitcher he’s dominated in the past.

Key Themes:

• Aaron Judge’s Return to Form: After breaking a 16-game homerless streak with a game-winning grand slam, Judge is back to being the Yankees’ biggest offensive threat.
• Yankees’ Momentum: With six wins in eight games, the Yankees are hitting their stride and looking to widen their lead in the AL East.
• Red Sox Fading Fast: Boston’s playoff hopes are slipping away, and they need a win to stop their seven-game road losing streak and stay in the hunt for the final AL wild-card spot.
• Pitching Duel: Gerrit Cole vs. Brayan Bello will be a crucial matchup, with both pitchers having a history against their respective rivals. Devers will be a key player to watch, as he’s had success against Cole in the past.

Conclusion

The Yankees, powered by Aaron Judge’s grand slam and a resurgence in late-game heroics, are looking to extend their division lead with Gerrit Cole on the mound. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are fighting to stay above .500 and keep their playoff hopes alive. Rafael Devers, despite his recent struggles, has a strong track record against Cole and could play a pivotal role in Saturday’s matchup. With both teams feeling the pressure, this game could be another classic in the storied Yankees-Red Sox rivalry.