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Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers March 8th 2025
At 7:30 ET, the Pacers (-134) will travel to Atlanta to take on the Hawks (+112) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Pacers are currently favored by 2.5 points and have a record of 35-26. The Hawks are 8th in the East with a record of 29-34.
This game will be played at State Farm Arena and can be seen on FDSS.
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Pacers vs. Hawks Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks
- Where: Atlanta at State Farm Arena
- Date: Saturday, March 8th
- Betting Odds IND -2.5, IND -134 | ATL +112 O/U 243
The Pacers Can Win If…
The Pacers fell to 35-26 on the season after a 124-118 road loss to the Hawks on Thursday. Indiana entered the game as +2 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 242, just edging out the over/under line of 241.5.
Indiana jumped out to a strong start, leading 31-21 after the 1st quarter. However, a 12-0 run by the Hawks shifted momentum, and Atlanta dominated the 4th quarter, outscoring the Pacers 38-24 to seal the win.
Pascal Siakam led the Pacers with 35 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 60% in their 124-118 loss to the Hawks. Aaron Nesmith added 21 points, connecting on 4 threes at 44.4%, while Myles Turner contributed 17 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 75% from the floor.
The Pacers made 14 threes, shooting 35.9% from deep and 48.4% overall. Siakam scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, while Turner added 11 in the same period.
The Pacers had a strong defensive start, holding the Hawks to 21 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 2nd and 4th quarters, allowing 35 and 38 points, respectively, in a 124-118 loss. Indiana couldn’t contain Atlanta’s shooting, as the Hawks connected on 53% of their field goal attempts.
Indiana did well in limiting the Hawks from deep, allowing just 10 made threes on 33% shooting. The Pacers also sent Atlanta to the line 18 times, where they made 14 free throws. Defensively, Indiana recorded 5 steals and 5 blocks.
- Through their last five road games, Indiana has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 121 points per game.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
- Over their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
The Hawks Can Win If…
The Hawks improved to 29-34 on the season with a 124-118 win over the Pacers on Thursday. Atlanta, playing at home, covered the -2 point spread, and the game total of 242 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 241.5.
Atlanta turned the game around with a 12-0 run, taking the lead after trailing 38-31. They outscored the Pacers 38-24 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.
Georges Niang led the Hawks to a win over the Pacers, scoring 24 points and hitting 4 threes at a 50% clip. Atlanta shot 53.2% from the field, though they struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes at 33.3%.
Trae Young contributed 22 points and 16 assists, while Onyeka Okongwu added 20 points, shooting 87.5%. Niang and Okongwu were key in the 4th quarter, scoring 12 and 11 points, respectively.
Despite giving up 118 points, the Hawks tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 24 points to secure the win over the Pacers. Atlanta gave up 31 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters and 32 in the 2nd. The Pacers shot 48% from the field.
From beyond the arc, Indiana hit 14 threes at a 35% clip. The Pacers also went 16/17 from the free-throw line. The Hawks collected 32 defensive rebounds but allowed 10 offensive boards. They also recorded 5 steals and 4 blocks.
- Across their ten previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 120 points per game.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Hawks have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
- In their last three games, the Hawks have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Lean
We’re calling a win for the Pacers, with a final score of 133-113, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Pacers at -2.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 243, and our model projects the Pacers and Hawks to reach a combined total of 246 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
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Hawks Eye Back-to-Back Wins vs. Injury-Riddled Pacers
Meeting for the second time in three days, the Atlanta Hawks will look to sweep their two-game set with the visiting Indiana Pacers on Saturday night.
Hawks Seeking Momentum
Atlanta used a 38-point fourth quarter on Thursday to secure a 124-118 win over the Pacers, marking its first victory against Indiana since March 2023. The Hawks have now won two of their last three games following a rough 1-5 stretch.
A balanced offensive effort fueled Atlanta’s win, with Georges Niang scoring 24 points, Trae Young contributing a 22-point, 16-assist double-double, and rookie Zaccharie Risacher going 3-for-3 from beyond the arc. The No. 1 overall pick in last year’s NBA Draft has scored in double figures in 10 of his last 12 games, raising his scoring average to 11.6 points per game.
“We’ve seen Zaccharie just continue to improve,” Hawks coach Quin Snyder said. “Sometimes you see it when the box score says he makes shots. There’s other times when maybe the ball isn’t going in, but he’s doing other things that are less noticeable. He runs the floor well for us and also uses his size on the defensive glass.”
Young continues to be the driving force behind Atlanta’s offense, averaging 23.6 points and an NBA-best 11.6 assists per game. Since arriving at the trade deadline, Caris LeVert (16.0 ppg) and Niang (14.4 ppg) have also provided a spark. However, LeVert (knee) is questionable for Saturday’s game.
Pacers Looking for Answers
Indiana had its two-game winning streak snapped in Atlanta, playing without Tyrese Haliburton (hip) and Bennedict Mathurin (wrist). Despite a 35-point effort from Pascal Siakam, the Pacers struggled defensively, allowing 74 points in the paint.
“We’ve got to fight harder from start to finish,” Pacers coach Rick Carlisle said. “We had some good stretches, but too many lags. This is the NBA, and you’re in a playoff-seeding race. It’s supposed to be hard, and you’re supposed to enjoy the privilege of being involved in a period that’s really important. We’ve got to make some serious adjustments before the next game.”
Siakam, who leads Indiana with 20.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game, has been a consistent offensive presence since the All-Star break. However, if Haliburton (18.5 ppg) and Mathurin (16.2 ppg) remain sidelined, he will need to carry an even larger scoring load. Both players are listed as questionable for Saturday.
Playoff Implications
Indiana currently holds the fifth seed in the Eastern Conference, sitting one game behind the Milwaukee Bucks and one game ahead of the Detroit Pistons. Meanwhile, the eighth-seeded Hawks are battling for a play-in tournament spot, which would mark their fourth straight appearance in the NBA’s 7-10 play-in event.
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