Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks February 7th 2025

At 7:30 ET, the 27-22 Milwaukee Bucks (-248) will travel to Atlanta to take on the 23-28 Hawks (+203) in a game that will be played at State Farm Arena. The over/under line for this Eastern Conference matchup is currently sitting at 241.5 points.

This game will be shown on FDSS.

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Bucks vs. Hawks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks
• Where: Atlanta at State Farm Arena
• Date: Friday, February 7th
• Betting Odds MIL -6.5, MIL -248 | ATL +203 O/U 241.5

The Bucks Can Win If…

The Bucks improved to 27-22 on the season with a 112-102 win over the Hornets on Wednesday. Milwaukee was favored by 10.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 214 points fell short of the 224.5-point over/under line.

A key moment came when Milwaukee went on a 10-0 run, turning a 42-38 deficit into a 48-42 lead. They maintained control, leading 86-77 going into the 4th quarter and narrowly outscoring Charlotte 26-25 in the final period.

The Bucks shot 50.6% from the field and hit 18 threes at a 42.9% rate in their win over the Hornets. Damian Lillard led the way with 29 points and 12 assists, while Bobby Portis added 23 points and 17 rebounds.

Brook Lopez contributed 14 points, hitting 4 threes at 57.1%. Lillard scored 11 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Lopez added 12 of his 14 points in the opening period.

The Bucks held the Hornets to 102 points on Wednesday, with their best defensive effort coming in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed just 21 points. Overall, Milwaukee gave up 26 points in the 1st, 30 in the 2nd, and 25 in the 4th. The Bucks’ defense limited Charlotte to 43% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Bucks held the Hornets to 32% shooting, with Charlotte making 11 threes. The Hornets also went 15/20 from the free-throw line. Milwaukee grabbed 38 defensive rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards, and they finished with 6 steals and 4 blocks.

• Through their last five road contests, the Bucks offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 121. Milwaukee posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 1-4 ATS.
• The last five games that Milwaukee was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.

The Hawks Can Win If…

The Hawks fell to 23-28 on the season after a 126-125 home loss to the Spurs on Wednesday. Atlanta entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs and covered the spread, losing by just one point. The total score of 251 points exceeded the O/U line of 243.5 by 7.5 points.

Atlanta struggled early, trailing 72-54 at halftime, but an 11-0 run helped them close the gap. They outscored the Spurs 43-31 in the 3rd quarter and 28-23 in the 4th, but their comeback fell just short.

In their 126-125 loss to the Spurs, the Hawks shot 52.7% from the field and connected on 16 threes at a 38.1% clip. Trae Young led the way with 32 points and 12 assists, while Onyeka Okongwu added 30 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 81.2% and hitting 3 threes at 60%.

De’Andre Hunter contributed 22 points, making 6 threes at 54.5%. Young scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Okongwu added 13 in the 3rd. Hunter also had 11 points in the 3rd, and Dyson Daniels chipped in 19 points overall.

The Hawks struggled defensively in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up 35 and 37 points, respectively, but tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 23 points. Despite their efforts, they still allowed the Spurs to shoot 50% from the field in the 126-125 loss.

Atlanta did a solid job defending the three, holding San Antonio to 32% shooting and just 12 made threes. The Spurs went 12/16 from the free-throw line. The Hawks finished with 37 defensive rebounds, while giving up 11 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 5 blocks.

• Across their last five home contests, Atlanta has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 115 points per game.
• Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
• In their last three games, the Hawks have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

We’re calling a win for the Bucks, with a final score of 120-82, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bucks at -6.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 241.5, and our model predicts the Bucks and Hawks to score a combined 202 points. We recommend betting on the under.

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Bucks Look to Welcome Back Giannis Against Struggling Hawks

The Milwaukee Bucks are hoping to have two-time NBA MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo back in the lineup on Friday as they wrap up their three-game road trip against the Atlanta Hawks. After missing the past two games with a combination of knee soreness and calf tightness, Antetokounmpo will be a game-time decision as Milwaukee looks to build on its recent win.

Giannis’ Status Remains Uncertain

Antetokounmpo was originally expected to play Wednesday against the Charlotte Hornets but was a late scratch after testing his calf during warmups. Though he was listed in the starting lineup, he ultimately decided against playing.

“Just a late scratch,” Bucks coach Doc Rivers said. “He tested it out, said he was good. Think he got on the floor and didn’t trust it, so decided to sit another game. I don’t think it’s serious.”

The Bucks managed to secure a 112-102 victory over Charlotte without their superstar, snapping a four-game losing streak.

Milwaukee’s Adjustments Without Giannis

Without Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard stepped up with 29 points and 12 assists, while Bobby Portis delivered a monster double-double with 23 points and 17 rebounds.

“I thought everyone stepped up, and I don’t think anybody necessarily tried to step out of their role,” Milwaukee’s Pat Connaughton said. “They just continued to grow in their role.”

Antetokounmpo has been a force against Atlanta in his career, averaging 23.7 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 4.6 assists in 37 matchups. He put up 31 and 32 points in the first two meetings between these teams this season.

Trade Deadline Moves Shake Up Both Rosters

Milwaukee was active at the trade deadline, adding Kyle Kuzma and Patrick Baldwin Jr. from Washington in exchange for Khris Middleton and AJ Johnson. They also acquired Jericho Sims from New York in a deal involving Delon Wright.

The Hawks made a notable move of their own, trading De’Andre Hunter to Cleveland for Caris LeVert, Georges Niang, and multiple draft assets.

Hawks Struggle to Find Consistency

Atlanta (22-29) snapped an eight-game losing streak with a win on Monday but failed to build on that momentum, falling 126-125 to San Antonio on Wednesday.

Onyeka Okongwu had a career-best performance in the loss, scoring 30 points on 13-of-16 shooting, including 3-for-5 from beyond the arc, while adding 12 rebounds and five assists. He became the first Hawk this season to post at least 30 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists in a game.

Head coach Quin Snyder praised Okongwu’s development.

“He’s always physical, but his instincts are getting better and better,” Snyder said. “He’s got a great feel around the rim, and he’s got such a good touch. I was glad with the 3s to see him be that aggressive.”

Okongwu has now started the last 10 games, replacing Clint Capela at center. During that span, he has averaged 14.3 points, nine rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1.4 steals per game.

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Season Series and Matchup Outlook

This will be the third meeting of the season between the Bucks and Hawks. Atlanta stunned Milwaukee on Dec. 4 with a 119-104 win on the road, but the Bucks evened the series 10 days later in the NBA Cup semifinal, winning 110-102 in Las Vegas.

Milwaukee has also had recent success in Atlanta, winning its last two road matchups against the Hawks.

Key Factors to Watch

• Giannis’ Availability – If Antetokounmpo plays, Milwaukee gains a major boost on both ends of the floor. If not, Lillard and Portis will need to carry the load again.
• Onyeka Okongwu’s Emergence – With Capela now coming off the bench, Okongwu’s role has expanded significantly. Can he continue his strong play against a physical Bucks frontcourt?
• New Faces, New Rotations – Both teams made trade deadline moves. How quickly can players like Kuzma and LeVert integrate into their new teams?
• Atlanta’s Late-Game Execution – The Hawks have struggled in crunch time, as seen in their one-point loss to San Antonio. Can they close out a tight game if it comes down to the wire?

With the Bucks looking to gain momentum and the Hawks hoping to turn their season around, Friday’s matchup will be a key test for both squads as they adjust to roster changes and fight for positioning in the Eastern Conference playoff race.