Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors March 3rd 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-632) will travel to Charlotte to take on the Hornets (+455). The Warriors are favored by 12 points and the over/under line is set at 224.

Golden State is currently 7th in the Western Conference with a record of 32-28, while Charlotte is 14th in the East at 14-45. The Hornets have lost six straight games.

Warriors vs. Hornets Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Golden State Warriors at Charlotte Hornets
• Where: Charlotte at Spectrum Center
• Date: Monday, March 3rd
• Betting Odds GS -12, GS -632 | CHA +455 O/U 224

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors dropped to 32-28 on the season after a 126-119 road loss to the 76ers on Saturday. Golden State, who were favored by 6.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 245 points exceeded the 228.5-point line by 16.5 points.

After a 30-30 tie in the 1st quarter, the 76ers pulled ahead by winning the 2nd quarter 37-25. Golden State responded by outscoring Philadelphia 35-29 in the 3rd, but they couldn’t complete the comeback, as the 76ers edged them 30-29 in the final quarter.

Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 29 points and 13 assists in their loss to the 76ers, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 5 threes at 41.7%. As a team, Golden State struggled from beyond the arc, making just 12 threes at a 28.6% clip, while shooting 46% overall.

Quinten Post added 16 points, knocking down 4 threes, and Gary Payton II contributed 15 points on 63.6% shooting. Curry scored 12 points in the 1st quarter, but managed just 2 in the 4th, while Gui Santos and Draymond Green each added 9 points in the final period.

The Warriors struggled defensively against the 76ers, giving up 126 points on 52% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed 37 points. Golden State also gave up 30 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters.

Philadelphia hit 19 threes at a 57% clip. The Warriors sent them to the line 28 times, with the 76ers converting 17 free throws. Golden State finished with 31 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 4 blocks.

• Across the Warriors last ten road games, the team averaged 119 points per game while allowing 115. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
• Through their last five games as the favorite, the Warriors have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
• Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Hornets Can Win If…

The Hornets fell to 14-45 on the season after a 113-100 home loss to the Wizards on Saturday. Charlotte, who were -4 point favorites, failed to cover the spread, and the game’s total of 213 points came in well under the 224.5-point line.

Charlotte went on a 10-0 run to take the lead from 43-38 to 48-43, but they couldn’t maintain momentum. After leading 59-54 at halftime, the Hornets were outscored 30-16 in the 3rd quarter, and despite a 25-29 4th quarter, they couldn’t close the gap.

Mark Williams led the Hornets with 24 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 78.6% from the field in their 113-100 loss to the Wizards. LaMelo Ball added 20 points, hitting 5 threes at a 38.5% clip, while Miles Bridges contributed 18 points, making 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

Williams scored 8 points in each of the final three quarters, and Bridges added 11 of his points in the 2nd quarter. The Hornets made 14 threes as a team, shooting 33.3% from deep and 44.1% overall.

Defensively, the Hornets gave up 113 points to the Wizards, allowing 30 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Washington shot 45% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Wizards hit 17 threes at a 34% clip. The Hornets also sent them to the line 17 times, where they made 16 free throws. Charlotte recorded 9 steals and 5 blocks.

• Across their ten previous home games, Charlotte has an ATS mark of 4-5-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-9 while averaging 97 points per game.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hornets have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
• In their last three games, the Hornets have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

As the underdogs with a spread of +12, we recommend going with the Hornets on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 224, and our model projects the Warriors and Hornets to reach a combined total of 221 points. Our bet is on taking the under..

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Warriors Look to Regain Momentum in Curry’s Hometown

The Golden State Warriors continue their five-game road trip Monday night as they visit the Charlotte Hornets, with Stephen Curry returning to his hometown for a marquee matchup.

Golden State had a strong February, but March started with a setback as their five-game winning streak ended Saturday in a 126-119 loss to Philadelphia.

Warriors coach Steve Kerr isn’t looking too far ahead, keeping his focus solely on the team’s playoff push.

“We would like to make the playoffs,” Kerr said. “The playoffs. You’re talking about the Finals? We just want to make the playoffs.”

One major factor in that playoff push? Managing Curry’s minutes.

“I can’t play him 40 minutes,” Kerr said. “I don’t really want to play him much more than 34, 35. … He’ll get his rest (Sunday) and be ready to go in Charlotte.”

Curry has been on fire recently, dropping 56 and 29 points in the first two games of Golden State’s road trip. However, he had a quiet night last week against the Hornets, finishing with 15 points on 2-for-9 shooting from deep in a 128-92 Warriors win.

On Saturday, Curry delivered a rare highlight—a dunk, his first since 2019.

“You have to cherry-pick opportunities,” Curry said. “That will probably be the last one (of my career).”

Hornets Struggling to Find Answers Amid Six-Game Losing Streak

The Charlotte Hornets have dropped six straight games, with five of those coming by double-digit margins.

Their most recent loss—a 113-100 defeat to the Washington Wizards—was a battle of the two worst teams in the Eastern Conference.

One major issue? Poor shot selection leading to easy transition baskets for opponents.

“We need to clean that up,” coach Charles Lee said.

Last week’s blowout loss to the Warriors was part of a historically bad stretch for Charlotte. During a three-game span, they were outscored by a combined 131 points—the worst point differential over three games in NBA history.

Mark Williams Emerging as a Bright Spot

One of the few positives for Charlotte has been center Mark Williams, who posted a 24-point, 12-rebound effort against Washington.

It marked his second straight game of strong production, and his first home game since his rescinded trade to the Lakers.

“Just more reps, more time on the court,” Lee said. “He continues to get better, find his way and his rhythm. We just need him to be able to do it for 48 minutes.”

Williams also recorded 12 points and 12 rebounds in last week’s loss to Golden State and could be a key factor in keeping the Hornets competitive.

LaMelo Ball’s Availability Remains Uncertain

LaMelo Ball returned to the court Saturday after missing time with a lingering foot injury, but his status remains game-to-game as the team monitors his health.

“Looking forward to just being mindful and smart with how we continue to finish the season with him,” Lee said.

Key Matchups to Watch

Stephen Curry vs. Hornets Defense
Curry had an off-night against Charlotte last week but has since found his shooting touch. If he gets hot early, the Hornets may not have an answer.

Mark Williams vs. Golden State’s Frontcourt
Williams has been one of the Hornets’ best players lately, and if he continues to dominate inside, it could keep Charlotte in the game longer.

Jordan Poole vs. Charlotte’s Perimeter Defense
Poole, playing against his former team, could have a big role off the bench in exploiting Charlotte’s defensive struggles.

What’s at Stake?

For Golden State, a win would:

• Help them bounce back from their loss to the 76ers.
• Keep them firmly in the Western Conference playoff hunt.
• Continue their dominance over struggling teams.

For Charlotte, a win would:

• Snap their six-game losing streak.
• Give them something to build on in an otherwise lost season.
• Provide a morale boost in front of their home crowd.

💡 Looking to apply expert strategies? Head to the NBA Pick Page for top betting predictions!

Will Curry Shine in His Hometown, or Can the Hornets Stun the Warriors?

The Warriors are heavy favorites, but the Hornets will be eager to show fight at home.

Will Curry put on a show in front of Charlotte fans, or can Mark Williams and the Hornets pull off a shocker? The answer comes Monday night in Spectrum Center.