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Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat April 9th 2025
At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-128) will travel to take on the Chicago Bulls (+108) in a matchup between two teams tied for 9th in the Eastern Conference. The over/under line for the game is currently sitting at 226.5.
CHSN will have TV coverage of the game from the United Center in Chicago. The Heat are currently favored by 2 points on the road.
Heat vs. Bulls Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls
- Where: Chicago at United Center
- Date: Wednesday, April 9th
- Betting Odds MIA -2, MIA -128 | CHI +108 O/U 226.5
The Heat Can Win If…
Miami improved to 36-43 on the season with a 117-105 win over the 76ers on Monday. The Heat were favored by 12 points, and the final score matched the spread. The game’s total of 222 points went over the pre-game line of 217.
Miami went on a crucial 10-0 run, stretching the score from 32-30 to 42-30. After an even 3rd quarter, the Heat pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the 76ers 34-22.
In their win over the 76ers, the Heat shot 50.6% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 44.4% clip. Duncan Robinson led the way, making 5 threes and shooting 83.3% from deep, finishing with 21 points.
Tyler Herro added 20 points, while Kel’el Ware contributed 19 points and 17 rebounds. Robinson scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, and Herro added 7 in the final period.
The Heat put together a strong defensive performance, holding the 76ers to 105 points on 43% shooting. Miami was especially effective in the 4th quarter, where they allowed just 22 points to secure the win. The Heat also limited Philadelphia’s three-point shooting, giving up just 12 threes on 31% shooting from beyond the arc.
Miami sent the 76ers to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 17 attempts. The Heat finished with 37 defensive rebounds but allowed 14 offensive boards. They also contributed 7 steals and 6 blocks in the game.
- In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 109 points per game while allowing 106 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Miami has an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 6-4 straight up.
- Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
The Bulls Can Win If…
The Bulls dropped to 36-43 on the season after a 135-113 road loss to the Cavaliers on Tuesday. Chicago entered the game as +14.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 248 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 240.
Cleveland took control early with a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 15-13 to 25-13. The Bulls struggled in the 2nd quarter, getting outscored 43-24. Despite a 37-30 edge in the 3rd quarter, Chicago couldn’t close the gap, as the Cavaliers pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the Bulls 37-28.
In the Bulls’ 135-113 loss to the Cavaliers, Patrick Williams led the way with 21 points, hitting 5 threes at an 83.3% clip. He also added 5 assists and 3 rebounds, shooting 63.6% from the field. Matas Buzelis contributed 19 points, 5 assists, and 5 rebounds, though he struggled from deep, making just 28.6% of his threes.
As a team, the Bulls connected on 15 threes, shooting 34.9% from beyond the arc and 47.7% overall. Talen Horton-Tucker added 17 points, with 7 coming in the 3rd quarter, while Williams also scored 8 points in the 3rd.
The Bulls struggled defensively against the Cavaliers, giving up 135 points on 51% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed 43 points. Chicago also had a rough 4th quarter, giving up 37 points.
Chicago’s defense had trouble with Cleveland’s three-point shooting, as the Cavaliers hit 25 threes at a 50% clip. The Bulls also gave up 16 offensive rebounds but managed to record 9 steals in the game.
- Across the Bulls last three home games, the team averaged 120 points per game while allowing 132. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- Through their last five games as the underdog, the Bulls have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
- In their last five games, the Bulls have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Our bet is on the Heat for a win, and we project the score to be 131-117. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Heat with the spread at -2.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Heat and Bulls to reach a combined total of 248 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
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Familiar Rivals Face Off With Playoff Scenarios on the Line
The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls are no strangers to pressure—and they might be getting a preview of next week’s Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament when they face off Wednesday night at the United Center.
Each team sits at 36-43, but the Bulls currently claim the No. 9 seed thanks to holding the season series tiebreaker over the Heat.
And if this matchup feels like déjà vu, that’s because Miami eliminated Chicago in the final play-in round the last two seasons. But this time, it’s the Bulls who’ve taken the upper hand—winning both meetings this season and seven of the last 10 against the Heat.
What’s at Stake? The Play-In Format Breakdown
In the NBA Play-In Tournament, here’s how it works:
- The 7th and 8th seeds face off for a playoff spot (winner grabs the 7-seed).
- The 9th seed hosts the 10th, with the winner moving on to face the 7-8 loser.
- The loser of the 9-10 matchup? Eliminated.
That’s why Wednesday’s game matters big time—both teams are fighting to avoid slipping into a sudden-death scenario.
“It’s going to feel like a playoff game,” Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said.
“And that’s fun.”
Momentum and Motivation: Miami on the Rise
The Heat have won seven of their last nine, including a solid 117-105 win over the 76ers on Monday.
Duncan Robinson dropped 21 points in that one, while star center Bam Adebayo sat with back spasms but is expected back in action for this one.
Tyler Herro knows just how crucial this stretch is:
“You never know with these last couple of games where we can end up in the standings… Winning one at home is a big difference from trying to win two on the road.”
With the Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic just barely ahead in the standings, there’s still a chance Miami climbs into the 7-8 matchup—if they take care of business.
Bulls Hoping to Bounce Back Quickly
After getting blown out 135-113 by Cleveland on Tuesday, the Bulls will look to regroup fast.
They were missing key starters like Coby White, Nikola Vucevic, and Josh Giddey, but still got a bright spot from Patrick Williams, who scored a season-high 21.
Coach Billy Donovan admitted the performance didn’t match the Bulls’ identity but appreciated the opportunity for bench players to step up.
“I thought we played hard,” Donovan said. “But we didn’t play to our identity… this was a chance for other guys to step up.”
Expect Chicago to shrink its inactive list against Miami, knowing what’s at stake. A win would give them their first three-game win streak over the Heat since 2023 and strengthen their grip on the 9-seed.
