Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks Picks and Predictions April 2nd 2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks April 2nd 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (+159) travel to Dallas to take on the Mavericks (-189) in a non-conference matchup. The Hawks are 8th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Southeast Division, while the Mavericks are 9th in the West and 3rd in the Southwest.

The over/under line for this game is 238 points and the Mavericks are favored by 4.5. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 ET and the game will be televised on KFAA.

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Hawks vs. Mavericks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks
• Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
• Date: Wednesday, April 2nd
• Betting Odds DAL -4.5, ATL +159 | DAL -189 O/U 238

The Hawks Can Win If…

The Hawks fell to 36-39 on the season after a 127-113 home loss to the Trail Blazers on Tuesday. Atlanta, favored by 5.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 240 narrowly exceeded the pre-game line of 236.

A key moment came when Portland went on a 10-0 run, stretching the score from 37-33 to 47-33. The Hawks trailed 97-84 entering the 4th quarter and couldn’t close the gap, as Portland outscored them 30-29 in the final period.

In Tuesday’s loss to the Trail Blazers, the Hawks struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 7 threes at a 21.9% clip. Their overall field goal percentage was 44.6%, with Trae Young shooting 35% from the field, though he did make 3 threes at 42.9%.

Young finished with 29 points and 15 assists, scoring 13 points in the 4th quarter. Dyson Daniels added 22 points on 84.6% shooting, and Vít Krejčí contributed 13 points, hitting 3 threes at 60%.

The Hawks struggled defensively in the 3rd quarter, giving up 40 points, which contributed to their 127-113 loss to the Trail Blazers. Despite the setback, they held Portland to 31% shooting from beyond the arc, allowing 13 three-pointers.

Atlanta sent the Trail Blazers to the line 27 times, where they converted 20 free throws. The Hawks recorded 33 defensive rebounds but allowed 19 offensive boards. They also added 12 steals and 8 blocks.

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• The last ten games that Atlanta was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Hawks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Mavericks Can Win If…

The Mavericks fell to 37-39 on the season after a 113-109 home loss to the Nets on Monday. Dallas, who were -10 point favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 222, just over the pre-game line of 218.5.

Dallas went on a 10-0 run early, taking the score from 22-20 to 30-22. They led 87-84 going into the 4th quarter, but the Nets outscored them 29-22 in the final period to take the win.

In their 113-109 loss to the Nets, the Mavericks shot 47.7% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 10 threes at a 33.3% clip. Daniel Gafford led the way with 17 points, shooting 77.8% from the floor.

Klay Thompson and P.J. Washington each added 13 points, with Thompson making only 25% of his threes. Max Christie contributed 8 of his 12 points in the 2nd quarter, while Gafford added 7 in the same period.

Defensively, the Mavericks gave up 113 points to the Nets, with their toughest stretch coming in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed 33 points. They held Brooklyn to 25 points in the 1st and 26 in the 3rd but couldn’t capitalize on those efforts in the 4th, giving up 29 points.

Dallas held the Nets to 43% shooting but struggled to defend the three, allowing 20 made threes at a 39% clip. They sent Brooklyn to the line 20 times, where the Nets converted 15 free throws. The Mavericks gave up 7 offensive rebounds while recording 4 steals and 3 blocks.

• Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 113 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
• In their last three games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Mavericks, with a final score of 138-110, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -4.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 238, and our model predicts the Hawks and Mavericks to score a combined 248 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Building Momentum Amidst Struggles

The Atlanta Hawks (36-39) are determined to regain their footing in the Eastern Conference play-in race despite recent setbacks. After a 127-113 home loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday, Atlanta has fallen a percentage point behind its Southeast Division rival, the Orlando Magic, and now sits just a half-game behind the Miami Heat and 2½ games ahead of the Chicago Bulls for a play-in spot.

The loss was marred by 19 turnovers and 19 offensive rebounds allowed, and the Hawks lost their last lead early in the second quarter. Head coach Quin Snyder emphasized the need for precision and physicality on both ends. “We have to be more precise with our passing, more sure with the ball. On the glass, there’s going to be a few that are hard for us to corral, but we need to be as physical as we can,” he said.

Point guard Trae Young, who continues to lead the league with 11.6 assists per game, posted 29 points and 15 assists in the loss. Young remains confident despite the setback, noting that the loss won’t define the season. “That’s part of the NBA. You can never get too high or too low at any point of the season, so right now I’m not too low after the loss.”

Mavericks on the Rise

The Dallas Mavericks (37-39) are also deep in the playoff push, currently sitting a half-game ahead of the Sacramento Kings for the No. 9 spot in the Western Conference and two games ahead of the Phoenix Suns. After a dismal 1-9 start to March, the Mavericks have rebounded by winning four of their last six games. However, they suffered a narrow 113-109 home loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Monday after squandering a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter.

The return of center Daniel Gafford from a 21-game absence due to a sprained knee has provided a much-needed spark. Gafford, who averages 12.4 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per game, recorded 17 points and seven rebounds in his first game back. Playing alongside fellow big man Anthony Davis in his first game since returning from an adductor injury, Gafford’s comeback has injected energy into the Mavericks’ frontcourt. Davis is averaging 16.6 points and 8.6 rebounds in five games since his return, adding further firepower as Dallas seeks to climb higher in the standings.

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What to Expect in the Clash

With six of the final seven opponents under .500, the Mavericks have a favorable schedule down the stretch. However, the matchup against Atlanta is crucial. The Hawks will need to clean up their ball handling and limit turnovers to capitalize on their offensive talents, while the Mavericks will aim to control the pace and make the most of their key returns.

Both teams are aware that every game in this final stretch counts. For the Hawks, a win would tighten their grip on the play-in picture in the East. For the Mavericks, a victory would not only maintain momentum but also help secure a higher seed in the West as they battle closely with the Kings and Suns.