Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions February 12th 2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors February 12th 2025

At 9:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-193) will travel to Dallas to take on the Mavericks (+161) in a Western Conference matchup. The Warriors (27-26) are favored by 5 points over the Mavs (28-26).

Golden State is currently 10th in the West, while Dallas is 8th. The over/under line for this game is set at 233.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Key Information

The Warriors improved to 27-26 on the season with a 125-111 road win over the Bucks on Monday. Golden State entered the game as 7-point favorites and covered the spread, while the total score of 236 points went over the pre-game line of 230.

Golden State took control with an 11-0 run, turning a 102-94 deficit into a 105-102 lead. They outscored the Bucks 36-28 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.

Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a win over the Bucks with 38 points, hitting 6 threes at 37.5% shooting. Despite shooting just 28.9% from deep as a team, the Warriors made 13 threes overall.

Jimmy Butler added 20 points, while Buddy Hield contributed 16. Quinten Post scored 11 of his 13 points in the 4th quarter.

Despite allowing 111 points on 50% shooting, the Warriors’ defense held strong from beyond the arc, limiting the Bucks to just 10 threes on 30% shooting. Golden State gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter and 32 in the 3rd but kept Milwaukee to 27 points in the 2nd and 28 in the 4th.

The Warriors sent the Bucks to the free-throw line 34 times, where they converted 25 attempts. Golden State controlled the boards, allowing just 5 offensive rebounds, while also racking up 16 steals in the game.

The Mavericks fell to 28-26 on the season after a 129-128 home loss to the Kings on Monday. Dallas entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and covered the spread with the one-point loss. The total score of 257 points exceeded the pre-game over/under line of 239.5 by 17.5 points.

Dallas went on a 10-0 run early, extending their lead from 28-27 to 38-27. However, the Kings responded by outscoring the Mavericks 34-26 in the 2nd quarter. Dallas regained control in the 3rd, taking a 93-87 lead into the 4th, but Sacramento finished strong, outscoring the Mavericks 29-23 in the final period.

Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks with 30 points and 9 rebounds in their 129-128 loss to the Kings, scoring 11 points in the 4th quarter and 4 more in overtime. Spencer Dinwiddie added 20 points, with 12 of those coming in the 1st quarter, while Klay Thompson contributed 19 points, hitting 5 threes at a 50% rate.

Dallas shot 51.6% from the field and 40.5% from three, connecting on 15 triples. Olivier-Maxence Prosper scored 9 of his 16 points in the 2nd quarter, and Max Christie added 8 of his 15 points in the 3rd, also chipping in 3 points in overtime.

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled against the Kings, giving up 129 points on 55% shooting. Dallas allowed 34 points in the 2nd quarter but held Sacramento to 26 in the 3rd. The Kings also scored 29 in the 4th quarter.

Dallas did well defending the three, limiting the Kings to 9 made threes on 34% shooting. The Mavericks sent Sacramento to the line 19 times, where they made 14 free throws. Dallas finished with 11 steals and 4 blocks.

For a point-spread bet in this Warriors vs. Mavericks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Mavericks at +5. Although our projections show the Warriors winning 102-100, we suggest placing your bet on the Mavericks for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 233.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 202 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

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Jimmy Butler, Warriors Look to Keep Foot on Gas vs. Depleted Mavs

The Golden State Warriors are thriving with Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and they’ll look to extend their success when they visit the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night.

Butler Boosting Golden State’s Resurgence

Golden State has won two straight with Butler, including a 125-111 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Butler contributed 20 points, nine rebounds, six assists, and four steals, while Stephen Curry exploded for a season-high-tying 38 points.

“I haven’t played basketball in a month,” Butler admitted. “My wind is nowhere close to where it needs to be. I can’t wait until I’m back in basketball shape.”

Butler’s arrival has helped ease the burden on Curry, who has scored at least 30 points in four consecutive games and drained 14 three-pointers in his last two outings.

“Every possession just doesn’t feel as hard,” Curry said. “Opponents have to worry about something else.”

The Warriors had a season-high 16 steals against Milwaukee, showing renewed defensive intensity.

Injury-Ravaged Mavs Struggling to Stay Afloat

The Mavericks have been in turmoil since trading Luka Doncic to the Lakers for a package that included Anthony Davis. Davis suffered a left adductor strain in his first game with Dallas and is expected to miss multiple weeks, adding to the team’s growing injury list.

Dallas also lost center Daniel Gafford to a sprained right knee in Monday’s 129-128 overtime loss to the Sacramento Kings. Gafford will be re-evaluated in two weeks.

“The games keep coming,” Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said. “No one feels sorry for us. We just have to keep fighting.”

Kyrie Irving scored 30 points in Monday’s loss, but Dallas was without key contributors P.J. Washington (ankle) and Caleb Martin (hip). Spencer Dinwiddie and rookie Olivier-Maxence Prosper are being forced into larger roles.

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Can the Warriors Keep Rolling, or Will Dallas Respond?

With Butler energizing the Warriors and the Mavericks shorthanded, Golden State has a prime opportunity to grab another win before the All-Star break. Will Curry and Butler keep the momentum going?