Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Predictions March 12th 2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves March 12th 2025

The Timberwolves come into this game on a five-game winning streak and are 37-29 on the season. They are currently 7th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest Division. Minnesota is a 3.5-point underdog and has a moneyline of +137.

Denver is 42-23 on the season and is currently 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets are favored by 3.5 points and have a moneyline of -163. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET and the game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets
• Where: Denver at Ball Arena
• Date: Wednesday, March 12th
• Betting Odds DEN -3.5, MIN +137 | DEN -163 O/U 235.5

The Timberwolves Can Win If…

With a 141-124 win over the Spurs on Sunday, the Timberwolves improved to 37-29 this season. Playing at home, Minnesota entered the game as -11 point favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 265, surpassing the O/U line of 232.5 by 32.5 points.

Minnesota took control early, leading 37-29 after the 1st quarter. The 2nd quarter was even at 31 points each, but the Timberwolves pulled away by outscoring the Spurs 41-34 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th with a 109-94 lead, they closed out the game by edging San Antonio 32-30 in the final period.

The Timberwolves put up 141 points in their win over the Spurs, shooting 55.8% from the field and hitting 21 threes at a 50% clip. Anthony Edwards led the way with 25 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter.

Naz Reid added 20 points, with 11 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Donte DiVincenzo hit 4 threes and scored 10 of his 17 points in the 4th. Rudy Gobert also added 8 of his 16 points in the final period.

Even with a shaky defensive performance, the Timberwolves managed to pull off a win against the Spurs, giving up 124 points on 55% shooting. Minnesota allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter, 31 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 30 in the 4th.

The Timberwolves did well in limiting San Antonio’s three-point shooting, allowing just 11 made threes on 36% shooting. The Spurs went to the line 24 times, hitting 19 free throws. Minnesota finished the game with 7 steals and 4 blocks.

• In their last three road games, Minnesota has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 104. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
• Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
• Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Nuggets Can Win If…

Denver improved to 42-23 this season with a 140-127 road win over the Thunder on Monday. The Nuggets, who were +9.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total score of 267 points went over the pre-game line of 240.5.

After trailing 73-67 at halftime, Denver turned things around by outscoring the Thunder 34-26 in the 3rd quarter. They then went on a decisive 13-0 run in the 4th, stretching the score from 99-96 to 112-96, and closed out the game by outscoring the Thunder 39-28 in the final period.

The Nuggets put up 140 points in their win over the Thunder, shooting 60.5% from the field and hitting 18 threes at a 56.2% clip. Nikola Jokić led the way with 35 points, 18 rebounds, and 8 assists, shooting 75% from the floor.

Jamal Murray added 34 points, scoring 11 in the 3rd quarter. Michael Porter Jr. contributed 17 points, with 7 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Christian Braun scored 9 of his 14 points in the 3rd.

The Nuggets gave up 127 points to the Thunder on Monday, including a tough 2nd quarter where they allowed 41 points. However, they tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 26 points, and allowed 28 in the 4th.

Denver allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 47% from the field and 40% from three, with the Thunder hitting 19 threes. The Nuggets sent the Thunder to the line 16 times, where they made 14 free throws. Denver also recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks.

• Through their last five home contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 118 points per game while allowing an average of 120. Denver posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have put together 0-3 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.
• In their last three games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Coming in as the underdogs at +3.5, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 235.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Nuggets to score a combined 254 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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Timberwolves Look to Stay Hot as They Visit Nuggets

The Minnesota Timberwolves reached the Western Conference finals last season, but this year, they are battling just to secure a playoff spot.

Timberwolves Riding Winning Streak

Minnesota has boosted its postseason hopes with five straight wins and will look to extend that streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night.

The Timberwolves won the first two matchups against Denver, but those games were in Minneapolis. Now, they face a Nuggets team that has won 14 of its last 18 games and will host the final two games of the season series.

Minnesota carries a three-game road winning streak into the matchup and will have center Rudy Gobert in the lineup for the second consecutive game.

Gobert, who missed 10 games with back spasms, returned Sunday against San Antonio, contributing 16 points and eight rebounds in just 19 minutes. He will be key in containing Denver’s Nikola Jokic, who is averaging a triple-double this season.

“I feel like I’m strong. I feel like I’m balanced and I can move almost how I need to move to be myself. So it was a good time for me to come back, and I’m happy that (Sunday) went great.” – Rudy Gobert

Gobert leads Minnesota in rebounds (10.4) and blocks (1.5) per game while contributing 11.1 points per contest. The team’s top scorer, Anthony Edwards, averages 27.2 points, followed by Julius Randle (18.7), Naz Reid (14.9), and Jaden McDaniels (12.6).

Since acquiring Randle and Donte DiVincenzo in a trade that sent Karl-Anthony Towns to New York, the Timberwolves are starting to click.

“There’s just a chemistry, a rhythm, and a pace to how we’re playing,” Randle said. “Everybody’s buying in. It’s just making it easy for all of us.”

Nuggets Continuing Strong Play

Denver is coming off a split in two games at Oklahoma City, losing Sunday before bouncing back to win 140-127 on Monday. The Nuggets improved to 12-1 in the second game of back-to-backs this season, even without Aaron Gordon, who left Sunday’s game with right calf tightness.

Gordon, who has already missed 25 games due to the injury this season, will be a game-time decision on Wednesday but is unlikely to play.

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Russell Westbrook has stepped up in Gordon’s absence, including a strong performance Monday with 16 points and seven assists. He is averaging 12.8 points, 6.1 assists, and 5 rebounds per game.

Denver remains led by MVP contender Nikola Jokic, who is among the league’s top three in points (28.9), rebounds (13.0), and assists (10.5) per game. However, the MVP favorite remains Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

“I will say that I think I’m playing the best basketball of my life, so if that’s enough, that’s enough. If not, the guy [Gilgeous-Alexander] deserves it. He’s really amazing.” – Nikola Jokic

Jamal Murray is enjoying a career-best season, averaging 21.5 points per game, while Michael Porter Jr. adds 18.5. Christian Braun has stepped up as well, posting a career-high 15.3 points per contest.

What’s Next?

With both teams looking to improve their playoff positioning, this late-season matchup could have major implications in the Western Conference standings.

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