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Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers February 12th 2025
The Nuggets (-641) are favored by 12 over the Blazers (+461) in a Western Northwest divisional matchup. Denver (35-19) has won seven straight and is 3rd in the Western Conference, while Portland (23-31) has lost two in a row and is 13th in the West.
This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and will tip-off at 9:00 ET. The Blazers are 4th in the Northwest Division, while the Nuggets are 2nd.
Want expert insight on this matchup? Find out who has the edge before tipoff!
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Wednesday, February 12th
- Betting Odds DEN -12, POR +461 | DEN -641 O/U 233
The Trail Blazers Can Win If…
The Trail Blazers fell to 23-31 on the season after a 146-117 loss to the Nuggets on Monday. Portland, who were +9 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread in the loss. The game’s total of 263 points went well over the pre-game line of 229.5.
Portland allowed at least 30 points in each quarter, including 34 in the 4th, while only scoring 25 themselves. They trailed 112-92 going into the final period.
In their loss to the Nuggets, the Trail Blazers shot 45.5% from the field and hit 15 threes at a 40.5% clip. Dalano Banton led the way with 22 points, 9 of which came in the 4th quarter, despite shooting just 37.5% overall.
Donovan Clingan added 21 points, going perfect from the field, and scored 12 in the 3rd quarter. Anfernee Simons contributed 17 points, with 8 coming in the 3rd.
The Trail Blazers struggled defensively, allowing 146 points to the Nuggets, who shot 65% from the field. Portland gave up 38 points in the 1st quarter and 42 in the 3rd, with Denver scoring at least 32 points in every quarter.
Portland did well limiting the Nuggets from three, allowing just 8 made threes on 32% shooting. The Trail Blazers also gave up 20 free throws, with Denver making 18. Portland finished with 23 defensive rebounds, 4 steals, and 4 blocks.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
- Over their last three games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Nuggets Can Win If…
Denver improved to 35-19 on the season with a dominant 146-117 win over the Trail Blazers on Monday. Playing at home, the Nuggets were favored by 9 points and covered the spread with ease, winning by 29.
Denver took control early, leading 38-27 after the 1st quarter. They continued to build their lead, outscoring Portland 32-28 in the 2nd and 42-37 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th with a 112-92 lead, the Nuggets finished strong, holding the Blazers to 25 points while scoring 34. The total points for the game were 263.5, well over the pre-game line of 229.5.
Nikola Jokić led the Nuggets to a 146-point outburst against the Trail Blazers, hitting 68.2% from the field and finishing with 40 points, 15 of which came in the 3rd quarter. Christian Braun added 26 points, including 10 in the final period, shooting 85.7% from the floor.
Denver shot 65.9% overall, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 8 threes at a 32% clip. Julian Strawther contributed 18 points, with 9 in the 3rd quarter, while Jalen Pickett added 7 of his 14 points in the 4th.
Defensively, the Nuggets gave up 117 points to the Trail Blazers on Monday, allowing 27 points in the 1st quarter and 28 in the 2nd. Their toughest stretch came in the 3rd, where they allowed 37 points, but they tightened up in the 4th, giving up just 25 points.
Denver allowed Portland to shoot 45% from the field, including 40% from beyond the arc, where the Blazers hit 15 threes. The Nuggets sent Portland to the line 26 times, with the Blazers converting 22 free throws. Denver finished with 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 12 steals.
- In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 117 points per game in this stretch.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
- In their last three games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.
The Lean
For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers matchup, our bet is to grab the Trail Blazers at +12. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 107-103, we see the Trail Blazers as the play on the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 233 and given that our model is projecting 210 points between the teams, we like the under.
Can the Nuggets Stay Hot?
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Nuggets Aim to Extend Win Streak Against Short-Handed Blazers
The Denver Nuggets boast the NBA’s longest active winning streak at seven games and will look to keep the momentum going against the depleted Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday night.
Denver’s Offense Firing on All Cylinders
Denver put on an offensive clinic in Monday’s 146-117 win over Portland, setting season highs in both points (146) and field-goal percentage (65.9). Nikola Jokic dominated with 40 points on 15-of-22 shooting, while Christian Braun added 26 points on an impressive 12-of-14 from the field.
“I think people are seeing how many easy buckets I get,” Braun said. “That’s part of our offense. That’s what unlocks a lot of our offense.”
Denver coach Michael Malone is more than happy to ride the team’s offensive groove.
“Why diversify our offense when it’s working?” Malone said. “We lead the league in fast-break points, paint points, and assists. That’s just the way our team is built.”
Michael Porter Jr. (hamstring) remains questionable, while Russell Westbrook (hamstring) is out for the seventh straight game.
Portland Short-Handed and Struggling
The Trail Blazers, who had won 10 of 11 before this road trip, have now dropped back-to-back games, including Monday’s blowout loss in Denver.
Portland will be without multiple key players, including Deandre Ayton (calf), Robert Williams III (knee), and rookie Scoot Henderson (ankle). Jerami Grant (knee) is also questionable.
Rookie big man Donovan Clingan was a bright spot on Monday, posting a career-high 21 points on a perfect 8-of-8 shooting.
“I feel like I ran the floor pretty well, rebounded well,” Clingan said. “I just wish I set better screens to get my guards open.”
Coach Chauncey Billups praised Clingan’s effort against Jokic despite the tough matchup.
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“He was aggressive, finished well, passed well. It was a really good game for him,” Billups said.
Can the Nuggets Keep Rolling, or Will Portland Surprise?
Denver has won eight of the past nine meetings, but Portland’s lone victory came in dramatic fashion on Dec. 19, when Anfernee Simons hit a game-winning layup at the buzzer. Can the shorthanded Blazers pull off another shocker, or will Denver’s offense prove too much?
