Denver Nuggets vs Washington-wizards Picks and Predictions March 15th 2025

Denver Nuggets vs Washington-Wizards March 15th 2025

At 9:00 ET, the Washington Wizards will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets in a non-conference matchup. The Wizards are 14-51 and 15th in the Eastern Conference, while the Nuggets are 43-24 and 2nd in the Western Conference.

Denver is favored by 12.5 points and the over/under line is 239.5. The moneyline for the Wizards is +555, while the Nuggets are -791. ALT will have the TV coverage for this game.

Before making your final wagers, be sure to check out our latest NBA Expert Picks to find the best value on this matchup.

Wizards vs. Nuggets Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Washington Wizards at Denver Nuggets
• Where: Denver at Ball Arena
• Date: Saturday, March 15th
• Betting Odds DEN -12.5, WAS +555 | DEN -791 O/U 239.5

The Wizards Can Win If…

Washington improved to 14-51 this season with a 129-125 win over the Pistons on Thursday. The Wizards, who were +13 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The total score of 254 points exceeded the over/under line of 234.5 by 19.5 points.

Washington went on an 11-0 run to stretch their lead from 38-35 to 49-35. After the Pistons rallied in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Wizards 39-27, Washington responded by holding Detroit to 24 points in the 4th while scoring 33 points of their own.

The Wizards’ offense was firing on all cylinders in their 129-125 win over the Pistons, shooting 47.8% from the field and hitting 20 threes at a 44.4% clip. Alexandre Sarr led the way with 19 points, while Justin Champagnie and Jordan Poole each added 17, with Poole knocking down 4 threes.

Champagnie was key in the 4th quarter, scoring 7 points, while Corey Kispert added 10 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter. Khris Middleton and Carlton Carrington each contributed 16 points, with Marcus Smart adding 8 of his 15 points in the 2nd period.

Despite giving up 125 points, the Wizards managed to secure a win over the Pistons. Washington allowed 31 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, and 39 in the 3rd, but tightened up in the 4th, giving up just 24 points. Overall, the Pistons shot 45% from the field.

The Wizards did a solid job defending the three, holding Detroit to 10 made threes on 33% shooting. Washington also recorded 10 steals and 5 blocks, while giving up 37 free throws. On the boards, they allowed 9 offensive rebounds.

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• The last three games that Washington was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Wizards have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Nuggets Can Win If…

The Nuggets improved to 43-24 on the season with a 131-126 win over the Lakers on Friday. Denver was at home and entered the game as heavy favorites, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 257, well over the 229.5-point line.

Denver fell behind early, trailing 40-32 after the 1st quarter. They bounced back in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Lakers 39-27. The Nuggets held a 102-99 lead going into the 4th and edged out the Lakers 29-27 in the final period to secure the win.

The Nuggets shot 51.8% from the field and hit 13 threes at a 41.9% clip in their win over the Lakers, scoring 131 points. Nikola Jokić led the way with 28 points, including 10 in the 2nd quarter, while Jamal Murray added 26, scoring 10 in the 3rd and 8 in the 4th.

Christian Braun was nearly perfect from the field, shooting 90% and hitting 2 of 3 from deep, finishing with 22 points and 6 assists. He scored 7 points in the 3rd quarter. Murray connected on 5 threes, shooting 55.6% from beyond the arc.

Despite giving up 126 points, the Nuggets managed to hold off the Lakers on Friday. Denver’s defense struggled in the 1st quarter, allowing 40 points, but they tightened up in the 2nd and 4th quarters, giving up 27 points in each. Overall, the Nuggets allowed the Lakers to shoot 46% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Nuggets gave up 15 threes on 37% shooting. They sent the Lakers to the line 16 times, where they made 13 free throws. Denver recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

• Across their three previous home games, Denver has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have put together of 0-5 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-2 straight up.
• In their last three games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Nuggets to secure the win, with an expected final score of 124-105. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -12.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 239.5, and our model projects the Wizards and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 229 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

Nuggets Seeking Payback for December Upset

The Denver Nuggets host the Washington Wizards on Saturday night in a game that carries a little extra weight for Nikola Jokic and his teammates. Denver was stunned by Washington on December 7, when Jokic put up a career-high 56 points, yet the Nuggets still fell 122-113. That loss ended the Nuggets’ six-game winning streak against the Wizards, and Jokic will undoubtedly be looking to settle the score this time around. With Denver fighting for playoff seeding and Washington enduring a difficult season, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities for those looking at NBA Expert Picks.

Nuggets Focused on Avoiding Another Letdown

Denver (43-24) enters this game after a hard-fought 131-126 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday night. Jamal Murray came through in the clutch, drilling a go-ahead three-pointer with 5.6 seconds left to seal the win. Murray finished with 26 points, while Jokic contributed 28 points and Christian Braun added 22.

Despite securing the victory, Nuggets coach Michael Malone was frustrated with his team’s approach, particularly the shot distribution between Jokic and Murray. He stressed the need for his two stars to be more aggressive offensively, stating they should be taking at least 20 to 25 shots per game. Malone also reminded his team that Washington already pulled off one upset against them this season, warning against any sense of overconfidence.

This will be Denver’s fifth game in seven nights, which could factor into their energy levels. However, given their recent history against the Wizards, expect the Nuggets to approach this matchup with a heightened sense of urgency.

Wizards Showing Signs of Life Despite Struggles

Washington (14-51) may own the NBA’s worst record, but the team has been playing improved basketball of late, going 5-4 over its last nine games. The Wizards are coming off a 129-125 victory over the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, where they delivered a well-balanced offensive performance. Seven different players scored between 14 and 19 points, showcasing a more cohesive and unselfish approach.

Alex Sarr led the way with 19 points and four blocked shots, including a go-ahead dunk in the final minute. Jordan Poole, who torched Denver for 39 points and nine three-pointers in their December meeting, added 17 points, while Khris Middleton and Marcus Smart continued to provide veteran leadership.

While the Wizards are still a long way from playoff contention, they have demonstrated resilience, particularly in close games. Their ability to spread the scoring load and stay competitive could make them a dangerous underdog, especially against a Nuggets team that may be dealing with fatigue from a tough schedule.

Handicapper Insight

According to recent data from ScoresAndStats.com, NBA handicapper Ben Burns has been on a hot streak, hitting 8 of his last 10 NBA picks. His analysis suggests that the Nuggets’ inconsistency in covering large spreads at home makes Washington a viable option for bettors seeking value on the point spread.

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Expert Prediction and Betting Insight

This game is all about motivation for Denver. Jokic and the Nuggets will not want to suffer another embarrassing loss to the lowly Wizards, especially after what happened in December. Expect Denver to play with a sense of urgency early, trying to put the game away quickly. However, Washington’s recent form suggests they won’t go down without a fight.

Denver should win this game outright, but the question is whether they can cover a potentially large spread. Given their heavy workload this week and Washington’s improved competitiveness, bettors may want to consider taking the Wizards to cover if the spread is in double digits. For those looking at total points, the Nuggets’ recent high-scoring games and Washington’s balanced offensive approach make the over an intriguing option.