Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions January 4th 2025

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At 8:30 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies (23-12) will travel to take on the Golden State Warriors (17-16) at Chase Center in San Francisco. The Grizzlies (+117) are currently 2nd in the Western Conference, while the Warriors (-138) are 9th.

As of now, the over/under line is set at 234.5 points. NBCS will have TV coverage for this Western Conference matchup.

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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
  • Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
  • Date: Saturday, January 4th
  • Betting Odds GS -2.5, MEM +117 | GS -138 O/U 234.5

The Grizzlies Can Win If…

Memphis fell to 23-12 on the season after a 138-133 road loss to the Kings on Friday. The Grizzlies entered the game as +3 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points of 271 far exceeded the O/U line of 242.5.

Sacramento’s 10-0 run early in the game put Memphis in a hole, but the Grizzlies fought back, outscoring the Kings 40-32 in the 2nd quarter and 28-24 in the 3rd. However, Memphis couldn’t complete the comeback, as Sacramento edged them 36-33 in the 4th quarter.

Jaylen Wells knocked down 8 threes at an 88.9% clip, finishing with 30 points and 5 rebounds in the Grizzlies’ 138-133 loss to the Kings. Wells shot 68.8% from the field, and Jaren Jackson Jr. added 28 points and 6 rebounds, scoring 11 in the 4th quarter. Desmond Bane contributed 22 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists.

Memphis hit 17 threes, shooting 45.9% from beyond the arc and 48.3% overall. Wells scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Jackson added 11 in the 4th. Scotty Pippen also chipped in 9 of his 16 points in the opening period.

Grizzlies ScoresAndStats

The Grizzlies’ defense struggled in the 1st quarter, giving up 46 points, and they couldn’t hold the Kings in the 4th either, allowing 36 points. Despite a solid 3rd quarter where they allowed just 24 points, Memphis still gave up 138 points on 49% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Kings hit 21 threes at a 44% clip. The Grizzlies sent the Kings to the line 23 times, where they made 19 free throws. Memphis finished with 37 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, while also recording 5 steals and 4 blocks.

  • Across their last five road contests, Memphis has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 123 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Over their last three games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors cruised to a 139-105 win over the 76ers on Thursday, moving to 17-16 for the season. Playing at home, Golden State was favored by four points and covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game were 244, well over the 219.5 O/U line.

Golden State set the tone early, jumping out to a 35-19 lead in the 1st quarter. While the 2nd quarter was even at 33-33, the Warriors pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the 76ers 35-26. They entered the 4th with a 103-78 lead and finished strong, winning the final quarter 36-27.

The Warriors’ offense was firing on all cylinders in their 139-105 win over the 76ers, shooting 60.9% from the field and hitting 22 threes at a 56.4% clip. Stephen Curry led the way with 30 points and 10 assists, making all 8 of his three-point attempts.

Warriors ScoresAndStats

Jonathan Kuminga added 20 points, while Draymond Green, Dennis Schröder, and Andrew Wiggins each chipped in 15. Schröder scored 9 of his points in the 1st quarter, while Curry poured in 13 in the 3rd.

The Warriors’ defense was solid on Thursday, holding the 76ers to 105 points in their win. They started strong, allowing just 19 points in the 1st quarter, but gave up 33 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 3rd and 4th, allowing 26 and 27 points, respectively.

Golden State limited Philadelphia to 42% shooting, including just 9 made threes on 29% shooting from deep. The 76ers went to the line 34 times, making 28 free throws. The Warriors grabbed 38 defensive rebounds, allowing 6 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 8 blocks.

  • Across their last five home contests, Golden State has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 100 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Golden State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • In their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +2.5, the Grizzlies is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 234.5 and given that our model is projecting 210 points between the teams, we like the under.

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Brothers Cam and Pat Spencer Hope to Tangle in Grizzlies-Warriors Clash

Brothers Cam and Pat Spencer have their sights set on a potential family reunion on the court when the Memphis Grizzlies visit the Golden State Warriors on Saturday night in San Francisco. It’s a matchup filled with sibling pride and NBA aspirations.

Grizzlies on a Roller Coaster Road Trip

The Grizzlies will be playing the second night of a back-to-back after a narrow 138-133 loss to the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Jaylen Wells led Memphis with 30 points, while Jaren Jackson Jr. contributed 28. The Grizzlies have alternated wins and losses across the first four games of their five-game road trip.

Cam Spencer, a key player in UConn’s national championship run last season, missed Friday’s game. The rookie guard has seen limited action this season due to a sprained right ankle suffered during summer league. However, he has played in five of Memphis’ last seven games, scoring 30 points across eight appearances this season.

Warriors Riding High After Blowout Win

Golden State enters the matchup on the heels of a dominant 139-105 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Stephen Curry dazzled with eight 3-pointers en route to a 30-point performance, maintaining his team-leading average of 22.3 points per game.

Pat Spencer, now in his second season with the Warriors, has appeared in the team’s last two games but is still seeking his first points this season. A former college basketball player at Northwestern and a lacrosse standout before that, Pat has carved out a unique path to the NBA.

The Brothers’ Basketball Journey

This will mark the third meeting between the Grizzlies and Warriors this season, but the first two failed to produce an on-court reunion. Cam was sidelined with his ankle injury when the Warriors won the first matchup 123-118 on Nov. 15 during the NBA Cup. Pat was inactive for Golden State’s 144-93 loss in Memphis on Dec. 19, a game in which Cam contributed five points.

While their professional basketball careers have diverged, their bond remains strong. Both Cam and Pat grew up near the Naval base in Annapolis, Md., fostering a shared passion for helping military families. They co-founded the Spencer Brothers Foundation and partnered with Texas-based Chillshark to produce cold-plunge water tanks, which they believe help alleviate PTSD symptoms.

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A Shared Vision

Cam emphasized their close relationship and mutual support. “We grew up playing all kinds of sports, and we’re as tight as they come,” he said. “We’re the biggest competitors when we’re going against each other, but when we’re watching, we have each other’s back and we’re each other’s biggest fans.”

Pat, who transitioned from lacrosse to basketball in college, highlighted their complementary styles.

“We’re different. He’s more of a sniper,” he said. “We pride ourselves on having high basketball IQ and making other guys around us better. I would say he’s more of a scorer. I’m more of a facilitator and playmaker. I’m a bit more athletic and probably a better on-ball defender. He’s got a really good feel for the game off the ball. We complement each other pretty well.”

Looking Ahead

Whether or not both brothers take the floor on Saturday, the matchup underscores their unique journeys and mutual respect. The Spencer brothers’ story is one of family, perseverance, and a shared mission to make an impact both on and off the court.

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