Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder January 29th 2025

The Thunder (-447) are 9.5-point road favorites against the Warriors (+349) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 228.5 points.

This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and will tip off at 10:00 ET. ESPN will provide TV coverage for this matchup.

Thunder vs. Warriors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors
• Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
• Date: Wednesday, January 29th
• Betting Odds OKC -9.5, OKC -447 | GS +349 O/U 228.5

The Thunder Can Win If…

The Thunder improved to 37-8 on the season with a 118-108 win over the Trail Blazers on Sunday. Oklahoma City, favored by 14 points, didn’t cover the spread, but the combined score of 226 points was right on the line.

After a 27-27 tie in the 1st quarter, the Thunder took control by outscoring Portland 39-26 in the 2nd. They led 93-78 going into the 4th, but the Trail Blazers went on a 10-0 run to close the gap to 93-90. Oklahoma City held on to win, outscoring Portland 25-30 in the final quarter.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Trail Blazers with 35 points, scoring 12 in the 1st quarter and 11 in the 3rd. Jalen Williams added 24 points, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Isaiah Joe contributed 16 points, 11 of which came in the 2nd.

The Thunder shot 47.2% from the field and made 10 threes at a 33.3% rate. Joe hit 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep, while Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams each made 2 threes at 50%.

Defensively, the Thunder held the Trail Blazers to 108 points on Sunday, allowing 27 points in the 1st quarter, 26 in the 2nd, and 25 in the 3rd, before giving up 30 in the 4th. Overall, they limited Portland to 40% shooting from the field.

Oklahoma City struggled to defend the three, as the Trail Blazers hit 18 threes at a 45% clip. The Thunder also sent Portland to the line 28 times, where they made 24 free throws. On the boards, OKC gave up 13 offensive rebounds while recording 7 steals and 3 blocks.

• Through their last three road games, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of just 0-2-1. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 111 points per game.
• In their last five contests as the favorite, Oklahoma City has a poor record vs the spread going 1-4. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.
• Over their last three games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-0-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors moved to 23-23 on the season with a 114-103 win over the Jazz on Tuesday. Playing at home, Golden State entered the game as -10.5 point favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 217, just under the 219.5 O/U line.

After a 27-27 tie in the 1st quarter, the Warriors took control by outscoring the Jazz 35-24 in the 2nd quarter. Utah edged Golden State 32-30 in the 3rd, but the Warriors’ 92-83 lead going into the 4th was enough to hold on, as they outscored the Jazz 22-20 in the final period.

In their win over the Jazz, the Warriors shot just 39.1% from the field, but connected on 17 threes at a 34.7% clip. Dennis Schröder led the way with 23 points, hitting 5 threes at 38.5%, while Brandin Podziemski added 20 points and 4 made threes.

Andrew Wiggins chipped in 19 points, also making 3 threes. Schröder scored 7 points in the 2nd quarter, while Wiggins and Podziemski each added 6 points in the 3rd.

Despite allowing the Jazz to shoot 51% from the field, the Warriors’ defense held them to 103 points in their win on Tuesday. Golden State gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter and 32 in the 3rd, but they tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 20 points to secure the victory.

The Warriors did an excellent job defending the three-point line, holding Utah to just 8 made threes on 30% shooting. They also limited the Jazz’s second-chance opportunities, giving up only 5 offensive rebounds. Golden State finished with 8 steals and 4 blocks.

• Golden State has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 107 points per game while allowing 110. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Warriors have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
• In their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Thunder is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 119-93. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Thunder at -9.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 228.5, and our model predicts the Thunder and Warriors to score a combined 212 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Daily NBA Picks & Predictions

Santa Clara Showdown: Warriors Face Thunder in Crucial Western Conference Battle

SAN FRANCISCO – The Golden State Warriors are set to welcome back Stephen Curry as they take on the surging Oklahoma City Thunder in a highly anticipated Western Conference clash on Wednesday. The game also features a unique storyline, as former Santa Clara stars Jalen Williams and Brandin Podziemski go head-to-head once again.

Curry’s Return Boosts Warriors in Critical Matchup

The Warriors (currently outside the top 10 in the West) made a strategic decision to rest Curry in Tuesday’s 114-103 win over the Utah Jazz. In his absence, Dennis Schröder stepped up with 23 points, helping Golden State secure a much-needed victory.

Curry, who has been dealing with sore knees and a painful right thumb, warmed up before Tuesday’s game but was ultimately held out to ensure he is fresh for the matchup against the Thunder.

“With three games in the next four nights, it made sense to be proactive,” Warriors head coach Steve Kerr explained. “We need him at full strength for the rest of the week.”

The Warriors will be hoping Curry can replicate his last performance against the Thunder in Oklahoma City, where he dropped 36 points in a 127-116 win. However, he was absent in their most recent matchup—a 105-101 loss on November 27.

Thunder’s Red-Hot Form Makes Them a Dangerous Opponent

While the Warriors have struggled to maintain their early-season momentum, the Thunder have been one of the NBA’s hottest teams, winning 22 of their last 25 games.

Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City kicked off their two-game Western road trip with a 118-108 win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 35 points, while rising star Jalen Williams added 24.

The Thunder have established themselves as serious contenders in the West, and a victory in San Francisco would further solidify their standing.

Santa Clara Connection: Williams vs. Podziemski

One of the most intriguing subplots of this game is the battle between Jalen Williams (Thunder) and Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)—two former Santa Clara University standouts.

Williams, the 12th overall pick in 2022, has been a force in all five previous matchups against Podziemski, winning each scoring duel by an average of 19.8 to 9.0 points.

Podziemski, however, has been on a hot streak, averaging 15.7 points per game over his last three contests while knocking down nine three-pointers in that span. He delivered a 20-point, 7-rebound, 6-assist performance against Utah on Tuesday, showcasing his growing impact.

Reflecting on his journey, Podziemski credited Williams for inspiring his transfer to Santa Clara.

“Seeing what he did boosted my confidence. If he could do it, I could do it too. And here we are.”

With both players emerging as key contributors for their respective teams, this personal rivalry adds an exciting layer to an already crucial game.

Limited Time Offer!

Jalen Williams’ All-Star Case Gains Momentum

Williams has been a key piece in the Thunder’s success, making a strong case for his first-ever NBA All-Star selection. Teammate Isaiah Hartenstein recently voiced his support, calling Williams “one of the most underrated defenders in the league.”

Williams, who made the All-Rookie First Team in 2023, has continued to elevate his game this season, contributing on both ends of the floor. With the All-Star break approaching, a standout performance against the Warriors could further boost his campaign.

Final Thoughts: A High-Stakes Clash in the West

With the Warriors fighting to regain their playoff position and the Thunder looking to extend their dominance, Wednesday’s matchup promises to be an intense showdown.

Key Storylines to Watch:

✅ Can Curry shake off his injuries and lead the Warriors to a statement win?
✅ Will the Thunder continue their dominant run and cement their spot among the West’s elite?
✅ Which Santa Clara product—Jalen Williams or Brandin Podziemski—will have the bigger impact?

With high stakes on both sides, expect an electric atmosphere in San Francisco as these two teams collide.