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Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix-Suns December 28th 2024
At 8:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-221) will host the Phoenix Suns (+184) in a Western Pacific Division matchup. The Warriors are 9th in the Western Conference with a 15-15 record, while the Suns are 11th in the West at 15-15.
Golden State is favored by 5.5 points and the over/under line is 219.5. The game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on NBCS.
Suns vs. Warriors Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Saturday, December 28th
- Betting Odds GS -5.5, PHO +184 | GS -221 O/U 219.5
The Suns Can Win If…
With a 98-89 loss to the Mavericks on Friday, the Suns are now 15-15 for the season. Phoenix, who were favored by 1 point, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 187 fell well short of the 224-point line.
After trailing 28-25 in the 1st quarter, the Suns struggled in the 2nd, getting outscored 27-14. They bounced back in the 3rd, winning the quarter 25-17, but couldn’t close the gap in the 4th, where they were outscored 26-25.
In their 98-89 loss to the Mavericks, the Suns struggled offensively, shooting just 38.6% from the field. Kevin Durant was a bright spot, hitting 57.9% of his shots and making 3 threes at a 75% clip, finishing with a game-high 35 points, including 15 in the 3rd quarter.
Royce O’Neale added 14 points, knocking down 4 threes, while Bradley Beal contributed 11 points despite shooting just 27.8%. The Suns made 13 threes as a team, shooting 37.1% from beyond the arc.
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Even with a strong defensive effort, the Suns couldn’t secure the win against the Mavericks on Friday, despite holding them to just 98 points. Phoenix’s defense shined in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed only 17 points. Overall, the Suns held Dallas to 43% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Suns limited the Mavericks to 12 made threes on 35% shooting. Dallas also went 16/17 from the free-throw line. Defensively, the Suns recorded 11 steals and 7 blocks.
- Although Phoenix has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 113 points per game in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
- Over their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
The Warriors Can Win If…
The Warriors fell to 15-15 on the season after a 102-92 road loss to the Clippers on Friday. Golden State, who entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 194, well below the pre-game line of 212.5.
Golden State’s 14-0 run extended their lead from 85-67 to 99-67. The Warriors started strong, leading 21-19 after the 1st quarter, but the Clippers took control in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring Golden State 62-41. The Warriors rallied in the 4th, winning the quarter 30-21, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the deficit.
In their 102-92 loss to the Clippers, the Warriors struggled offensively, shooting just 36.8% from the field and hitting only 7 threes at an 18.4% clip. Jonathan Kuminga led the way with 34 points, 10 rebounds, and 5 assists, shooting 57.9% from the floor.
Trayce Jackson-Davis added 15 points and 9 rebounds, also shooting 58.3%. Moses Moody chipped in 11 points. Kuminga scored 15 points in the 4th quarter, while Moody added 7 of his 11 in the final period.
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Even with a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 4th quarters, the Warriors couldn’t overcome a rough 2nd and 3rd, giving up 30 and 32 points, respectively, in their 102-92 loss to the Clippers. Golden State allowed Los Angeles to shoot 53% from the field.
The Warriors did a good job limiting the Clippers from deep, holding them to 31% shooting and just 10 made threes. They also sent Los Angeles to the line only 15 times, where the Clippers hit 12 free throws. Golden State finished with 14 steals and 2 blocks.
- In their last three games at home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 99 points per game in these contests.
- Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Golden State has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
- In their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Coming in as the underdogs at +5.5, we have the Suns as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 219.5, and our model projects the Suns and Warriors to reach a combined total of 210 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
Warriors, Suns Fighting for Post-Holiday Win
The Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns are set to clash on Saturday in San Francisco, with both teams seeking redemption after disappointing losses on Friday night.
Suns Struggling Without Booker
The Phoenix Suns have dropped four of their past five games, including a lackluster 98-89 home defeat to the Dallas Mavericks. Phoenix’s offense struggled mightily, scoring just 14 points in the second quarter and shooting a mere 38.6 percent from the field. Adding to their woes, center Jusuf Nurkic was ejected in the third quarter after striking Dallas’ Naji Marshall.
The Suns have been treading water without Devin Booker, who has missed four straight games due to a groin injury. Booker’s absence is a significant blow, as he averages 25.1 points per game, second only to Kevin Durant’s team-leading 27.5. Durant carried the scoring load on Friday with 35 points but expressed frustration with the team’s lack of composure, particularly Nurkic’s altercation.
“You hate to see that in this game,” Durant said. “Sometimes your temper flares, but we have to move on from it.”
Nurkic, who averages 8.8 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, may face disciplinary action from the NBA, potentially leaving the Suns even more shorthanded.
Warriors Battling a Slump
The Golden State Warriors also endured a tough night on Friday, falling 102-92 to the Los Angeles Clippers. The Warriors shot just 36.8 percent from the field, including a dismal 18.4 percent (7-for-38) from 3-point range. Despite a late rally that cut a 19-point deficit to three with 2:30 remaining, Golden State couldn’t complete the comeback.
Stephen Curry and Draymond Green missed the game due to injuries but are expected to return on Saturday. Curry, the team’s leading scorer at 22.5 points per game, and Green, a versatile playmaker, will provide a much-needed boost.
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Dennis Schroder, acquired in a trade with the Brooklyn Nets on Dec. 14, continues to adjust to his new team. The veteran point guard is averaging just 8.2 points per game with Golden State, a sharp decline from his 18.4-point average in Brooklyn.
“It’s difficult to go to a new team in the middle of the season,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. “It takes time, but we trust who he is as a player and that he’ll settle in.”
Second Meeting of the Season
This will be the second matchup between the Pacific Division rivals this season. The Suns won the first meeting 113-105 on Nov. 30 in Phoenix.
Both teams will look to right the ship and gain critical momentum. For the Warriors, a return to health could be the key, while the Suns will rely heavily on Kevin Durant to fill the void left by Devin Booker’s absence.
