Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks and Predictions March 10th 2025

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers March 10th 2025

The Golden State Warriors (-627) are currently on a four-game winning streak and are favored by 11.5 points over the Portland Trail Blazers (+450). The over/under line is currently set at 230.5 points.

This Western Conference matchup will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco, and tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET. The game will be televised on NBCS.

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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors
• Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
• Date: Monday, March 10th
• Betting Odds GS -11.5, POR +450 | GS -627 O/U 230.5

The Trail Blazers Can Win If…

The Trail Blazers fell to 28-37 on the season after a 119-112 home loss to the Pistons on Sunday. Portland entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were set at 231.5, and the teams combined for 231 points, just missing the over/under line.

A pivotal moment came when the Pistons went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 33-32 to 42-33. Portland trailed 97-86 going into the 4th quarter but managed to outscore Detroit 26-22 in the final period, though it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

In their loss to the Pistons, the Trail Blazers shot just 38.7% from the field, with a three-point percentage of 30%. They did manage to hit 15 threes, despite the below-average shooting from deep.

Anfernee Simons led the way with 34 points, scoring 15 in the 3rd quarter. Jerami Grant added 25 points, connecting on 6 threes at a 54.5% rate.

Defensively, the Trail Blazers struggled through the first three quarters against the Pistons, giving up 31 points in the 1st and 33 in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters. They tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 22 points, but it wasn’t enough to avoid the 119-112 loss.

Portland did a good job defending the three, holding Detroit to 9 made threes on 32% shooting. However, the Pistons went to the line 32 times, making 24 free throws. The Trail Blazers finished with 31 defensive rebounds, but they allowed 12 offensive boards, while also recording 7 steals and 4 blocks.

• Through their last three road games, Portland has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 108 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Portland posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
• Over their last three games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 36-28 on the season with a 115-110 win over the Pistons on Saturday. Golden State, favored by 5 points, pushed the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 225, falling short of the 236.5-point O/U line.

Golden State trailed 87-84 going into the 4th quarter but outscored Detroit 31-23 in the final period to secure the win. The Pistons took control in the 2nd quarter, winning it 34-29, but the Warriors responded by tying the 3rd quarter 33-33 before their strong finish.

Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 32 points in their 115-110 win over the Pistons, despite shooting just 36.4% from the field and 26.7% from three. The Warriors hit 12 threes at a 29.3% clip, finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 41.7%.

Jimmy Butler added 26 points, including 15 in the 3rd quarter. Curry scored 13 points in the 4th, while Gui Santos contributed 15 points overall, and Draymond Green and Moses Moody each added 4 points in the final period.

The Warriors’ defense shined in the 1st and 4th quarters, allowing just 20 and 23 points, respectively, to help secure a 115-110 win over the Pistons. Overall, they gave up 110 points on 45% shooting from the field.

Golden State was particularly effective at defending the three, holding Detroit to just 5 made threes on 21% shooting. The Warriors also tallied 12 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

• The Warriors are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-3-1.
• In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For a pick on the point-spread in this Warriors vs. Trail Blazers matchup, our bet is to grab the Trail Blazers at +11.5. Even though our projections have the Warriors winning 104-102, we see the Trail Blazers as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 230.5, and our model projects the Trail Blazers and Warriors to reach a combined total of 206 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

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Warriors, Trail Blazers Meet After Bruising Games

Two teams coming off physical battles against the Detroit Pistons will look for a more free-flowing contest when the Portland Trail Blazers visit the Golden State Warriors on Monday night in San Francisco.

Warriors Look to Build on Strong Stretch

Golden State, which dominated Portland 140-104 on Opening Night, will aim to make it two straight wins against its West Coast rival. The Warriors enter the game with two key advantages: extra rest and momentum.

Golden State is coming off a day off after a bruising 115-110 win over Detroit on Saturday. The contest featured 56 total fouls, with the Warriors converting 33 of 41 free throws. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers were in action Sunday, falling 119-112 at home to the Pistons in another foul-heavy game that saw 51 total whistles and Portland making 25 of 32 from the line.

The Warriors have won 11 of 13 games since acquiring Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat, with Butler’s aggressive style energizing the team. He went 6-for-7 at the line against Detroit, while Stephen Curry nailed all 12 of his attempts.

The win against the Pistons also kicked off a seven-game homestand, a welcome break after playing 12 of their previous 14 games on the road.

“I love the fact that we came off that long road trip, six-hour flight (from Brooklyn), 5:30 (p.m.) game against probably the most physical team in the league,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. “Thrilled with just the competitive spirit, the energy, the effort that it took to win a key game.”

Trail Blazers Dealing With Injuries, Fatigue

The Trail Blazers are returning from a grueling seven-game road trip and were without key players in Sunday’s loss to Detroit. Centers Deandre Ayton and Robert Williams, as well as forward Deni Avdija (strained quad), were all sidelined. Avdija, however, could return Monday.

With Ayton and Williams out, the game could feature a matchup between two of last year’s top collegiate centers: UConn’s Donovan Clingan and Boston College’s Quinten Post. Despite playing near each other in college, they never faced off at that level.

Portland selected Clingan with the seventh overall pick in the 2024 draft, while Post went 45 picks later. So far, Post has been the more productive scorer (8.2 PPG compared to Clingan’s 5.8 PPG), but Clingan remains focused on his defensive presence.

“You just got to block shots, rebound the ball at a high level, set great screens for your guards, roll to the rim and be active,” Clingan said. “Just be that same player for however minutes (I play).”

With Golden State looking to extend its strong stretch and Portland searching for consistency, Monday’s matchup will be a test of endurance and execution.

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