Golden State Warriors vs Toronto-raptors Picks and Predictions March 20th 2025

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto-Raptors March 20th 2025

At 10:00 ET, the Toronto Raptors (24-45) will travel to take on the Golden State Warriors (40-29) in a non-conference matchup. The Raptors are currently 11th in the Eastern Conference, while the Warriors are 6th in the West.

Golden State is favored by 14.5 points and the over/under line is set at 224.5. NBCS will have coverage of the game, which will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco.

Raptors vs. Warriors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
• Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
• Date: Thursday, March 20th
• Betting Odds GS -14.5, TOR +665 | GS -1022 O/U 224.5

The Raptors Can Win If…

The Raptors fell to 24-45 on the season after a 129-89 road loss to the Suns on Monday. Toronto entered the game as +9 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 40 points. The total score of 218 points came in under the 224.5-point line.

Toronto started strong, leading 29-24 after the 1st quarter. However, a 10-0 run by Phoenix shifted the momentum, and the Suns dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Raptors 39-11. Toronto couldn’t recover, trailing 93-64 going into the 4th, where they were outscored 36-25.

The Raptors struggled offensively in their 129-89 loss to the Suns, shooting just 35.6% from the field. Their three-point shooting was also below average, hitting 28.6% with 10 made threes.

Scottie Barnes led Toronto with 16 points, while Immanuel Quickley added 15 points and 7 assists. Jamison Battle contributed 14 points, making 4 threes at 33.3% efficiency.

The Raptors struggled defensively against the Suns, giving up 129 points on 51% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed 39 points, and they also gave up 36 points in the 4th.

Toronto had a hard time defending the three, as Phoenix hit 20 threes at a 51% clip. The Raptors sent the Suns to the line 15 times, where they made all their free throws. Defensively, Toronto recorded 4 steals and 2 blocks.

• Across their ten previous road games, Toronto has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 104 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Raptors have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
• Over their last three games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

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The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 40-29 this season with a 104-93 win over the Bucks on Tuesday. Golden State, who were +1.5 point underdogs, covered the spread at home. The game’s total of 197 points was well under the 225-point line.

Golden State took control early, leading 58-44 at halftime after a strong 2nd quarter. However, the Bucks went on a 14-0 run, turning a 62-49 deficit into a 76-62 lead. The Warriors responded by holding Milwaukee to just 17 points in the 4th quarter while scoring 26 to seal the win.

In their win over the Bucks, the Warriors shot 41.6% from the field, but connected on 17 threes at a 38.6% rate. Jimmy Butler led the way with 24 points, 10 assists, and 8 rebounds, shooting 46.2% from the floor.

Brandin Podziemski added 17 points, hitting 4 threes at 57.1%, while Buddy Hield also made 4 threes, shooting 66.7% and finishing with 15 points. Butler scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, with Podziemski adding 6 in the final period.

The Warriors’ defense shined in their 104-93 win over the Bucks, especially in the 2nd and 4th quarters, where they allowed just 17 points in each. Overall, they held Milwaukee to 39% shooting from the field.

Golden State also did well defending the three, as the Bucks made only 12 threes on 31% shooting. The Warriors gave up 27 free throws, with Milwaukee hitting 19. Defensively, the Warriors grabbed 43 rebounds, allowed 4 offensive boards, and added 7 steals and 6 blocks.

• When looking at their past three matchups at home, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Golden State has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 8-2 straight up.
• In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re putting our money on the Warriors to win, and have the projected score sitting at 132-96. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Warriors at -14.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 224.5, and our model predicts the Raptors and Warriors to score a combined 228 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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Jimmy Butler, Warriors Look to Keep Momentum Rolling Against Raptors

The Golden State Warriors (40-29) are riding high since acquiring Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat on Feb. 6. With a stellar 15-3 record since his arrival, the Warriors are looking to build on their impressive form as they host the struggling Toronto Raptors (24-45) on Thursday in San Francisco.

Golden State’s playoff hopes are looking strong as they hold the sixth seed in the Western Conference, and they aim to continue climbing the standings. The acquisition of Butler has proven to be a game-changer, as his presence on the floor not only boosts scoring but also opens up opportunities for his teammates.

With Stephen Curry resting, Butler took control in the Warriors’ most recent outing, tallying 24 points, 10 assists, and 8 rebounds in a 104-93 home win over the Milwaukee Bucks. Curry is expected to return against the Raptors, adding another dynamic to an already surging squad.

“It’s why (Butler) is who he is,” said Warriors forward Draymond Green. “He commands so much attention. For us, that’s great because he’s allowing everybody else to get in their spots where they’re comfortable and either get layups or open jump shots.”

Butler’s Impact on the Warriors’ Success

Since joining Golden State, Jimmy Butler has averaged 17.2 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 6.1 assists across 17 games. His ability to both score and facilitate has made the Warriors more balanced and versatile offensively.

Butler’s leadership has also been crucial for younger players like Brandin Podziemski, who scored 17 points against Milwaukee, and Buddy Hield, who added 15 points off the bench.

Draymond Green: Defensive Force

A key piece in the Warriors’ recent success has been Draymond Green, who is making a strong case for his second NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award. Green held Giannis Antetokounmpo to just 20 points on 5-of-16 shooting in Tuesday’s win and has posted nine blocks in his past two games.

“Draymond, that defense tonight on Giannis was incredible,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. “To hold him to five field goals, Draymond showed why he is still one of the great defenders in the world. It wasn’t just the defense; it was the leadership, the energy.”

Raptors Reeling After Blowout Loss

On the other side, the Toronto Raptors are struggling, coming off a 129-89 blowout loss to the Phoenix Suns. The defeat marked their 25th road loss of the season. With injuries piling up, including RJ Barrett (illness), Gradey Dick (right knee bruise), and Jakob Poeltl (rest), Toronto couldn’t keep up with the Suns’ firepower.

Coach Darko Rajakovic tried to remain positive despite the defeat:
“It’s been awhile since we’ve had a game like this,” he said. “All we’ve got to do is forget this one, fill the cup, bring the energy for the next one and continue competing.”

One positive sign for the Raptors was the performance of center Orlando Robinson, who came off the bench to post 12 points and 8 rebounds in 21 minutes. Robinson has been a consistent presence for Toronto lately, notching three double-doubles earlier this month.

“I love my teammates; they’re all nice and funny guys,” Robinson said. “As a unit, we just love competing. We’re all young, running around, guarding teams. We take joy in that. We feed off each other.”

NBA Championship Contenders & Betting Odds! – Find out which teams have the best value.

Key Matchup: Butler vs. Barnes

The battle between Jimmy Butler and Scottie Barnes will be critical. Butler’s scoring and playmaking abilities will test Barnes’ defensive skills, while Barnes will need to shoulder much of the Raptors’ offensive load with several key players out.

Betting Insights and Playoff Picture

• The Warriors are currently sixth in the Western Conference, looking to solidify their spot and climb higher.
• The Raptors are well out of the playoff picture, looking to develop young talent and build momentum for next season.
• NBA Championship Odds and Western Conference Odds favor the Warriors, given their recent form and Butler’s impact.
• The Expert Betting Guide suggests focusing on the Warriors’ depth and home-court advantage, especially with Curry’s expected return.

Final Thoughts

Can the Warriors maintain their momentum with Curry back in the lineup and Butler continuing to shine? Or will the Raptors surprise everyone and bounce back from their latest blowout loss? Expect a competitive clash as the Warriors aim to tighten their grip on a playoff spot while the Raptors try to regain some pride on the road.