Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Picks and Predictions October 28th 2024

Heat vs Pistons NBA Mon, Oct 28, 19:30 pm.
Heat
ML: -170
0
0
Pistons
ML: 145

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The Detroit Pistons (0-3) will travel to take on the Miami Heat (1-1) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 ET and will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami.

The Heat are currently favored by 8 points and are -339 on the moneyline. The Pistons are +270 on the moneyline. The over/under line for the game is 219. This game will be televised on FDSS.

Pistons vs. Heat Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at Kaseya Center
  • Date: Monday, October 28th
  • Betting Odds MIA -8, DET +270 | MIA -339 O/U 219

The Pistons Can Win If…

Detroit fell to 0-3 on the season after a 124-118 loss to the Celtics on Saturday. The Pistons, who were +12.5 point underdogs, kept things closer than expected. The game’s total of 242 points went over the pre-game line of 225.

After a rough start, where they trailed 42-31 after the 1st quarter, the Pistons went on an 11-0 run to cut the deficit from 67-47 to 67-58. They won the 3rd quarter 31-21, pulling within 94-93 heading into the 4th, but were outscored 30-25 in the final period.

Jaden Ivey led the Pistons with 26 points and 6 assists in their 124-118 loss to the Celtics, shooting 55.6% from the field and 40% from three. Cade Cunningham added 21 points and 10 assists, despite hitting only 25% of his threes.

Malik Beasley knocked down 5 threes at a 62.5% clip, finishing with 17 points. The Pistons hit 14 threes as a team, shooting 35.9% from deep and 48.9% overall from the field.

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The Pistons struggled defensively in the 1st quarter, giving up 42 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 21. Overall, they allowed 124 points on 42% shooting from the Celtics.

Detroit had trouble defending the three, as Boston hit 22 threes at a 45% clip. The Celtics also went 26/30 from the line. The Pistons gave up 13 offensive rebounds while recording 4 steals and 7 blocks.

  • Across the Pistons last three road games, the team averaged 101 points per game while allowing 108. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • Over their last three games, the Pistons have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Heat Can Win If…

The Heat evened their record at 1-1 with a 114-106 victory over the Hornets on Saturday. Miami, favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread with the win. The game’s total points of 220 fell just short of the 223.5 O/U line.

After a 23-23 tie in the 1st quarter, Miami pulled ahead by winning the 2nd quarter 33-25 and the 3rd quarter 27-24. They entered the 4th quarter with an 83-72 lead, and although Charlotte outscored them 34-31 in the final period, the Heat held on for the win.

Jaden Ivey led the Pistons with 26 points and 6 assists, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40% in their 124-118 loss to the Celtics. Cade Cunningham added 21 points and 10 assists, though he shot just 40.9% and made 2 threes at 25%.

Malik Beasley contributed 17 points, connecting on 5 threes at 62.5%. The Pistons made 14 threes as a team, shooting 35.9% from deep and 48.9% overall. Ivey scored 12 points in the 2nd quarter, while Beasley added 9 in the 4th.

The Heat put together a strong defensive performance against the Hornets, allowing just 106 points in the win. They held Charlotte to 23 points in the 1st quarter, 25 in the 2nd, and 24 in the 3rd, but the Hornets managed 34 points in the 4th. Overall, Miami limited Charlotte to 43% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat held the Hornets to 31% shooting, with Charlotte making 13 threes. The Hornets also went 15/21 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Miami recorded 8 steals and 6 blocks.

  • Across their last three home contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 103 points per game.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • In their last three games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 139-124, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -8.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 219 and given that our model is projecting 263 points between the teams, we like the over.

Winless Pistons Look to Rebound on the Road Against Heat

The Detroit Pistons are still seeking their first win of the season as they head into their Monday night matchup against the Miami Heat. Despite their 0-3 record, the Pistons have shown signs of improvement, particularly in competitiveness against top-tier opponents, and remain optimistic as they continue their road trip.

Pistons: Close, But Not Quite There

Detroit’s season has started with challenges, but each game has been relatively competitive, with two of their three losses coming by only six points. On Saturday, the Pistons held a six-point lead over the defending champion Boston Celtics with just over five minutes left before the Celtics rallied to win 124-118. The Pistons’ struggles to finish strong are reflected in their scoring: they average 30.3 points in the first quarter but just 22 in the fourth.

This issue is a familiar one, but Pistons forward Isaiah Stewart is optimistic, saying, “It’s completely different than last season. We have good chemistry. We have confidence. It’s just a different feeling.” The revamped roster and leadership have played a big part in the team’s renewed spirit.

With new team president Trajan Langdon and coach J.B. Bickerstaff, Detroit is looking to build a cohesive identity around young stars Cade Cunningham and Jaden Ivey, both of whom are off to hot starts. Cunningham, averaging 27.3 points, 8.0 assists, and 5.0 rebounds, has been especially effective at creating opportunities, while Ivey has contributed 21.7 points, 4.7 assists, and 5.0 rebounds per game.

New Additions Make an Impact

Detroit’s offseason additions, including Tim Hardaway Jr., Malik Beasley, and Tobias Harris, have added experience and depth to the roster. Hardaway, the son of former Heat star Tim Hardaway Sr., is scoring 10.7 points per game and relishes his return to Miami. Beasley, Detroit’s top-scoring newcomer at 14.7 points per game, has already made his mark, offering a consistent outside threat that complements the team’s youth-focused core.

Heat: Finding Rhythm Amid Change

The Miami Heat have split their first two games, with a season-opening loss to the Orlando Magic followed by a win over the Charlotte Hornets. In their 114-106 victory over Charlotte, the Heat demonstrated the depth and balance they hope will carry them throughout the season. Center Bam Adebayo praised the team effort, stating, “Everybody had an impact.”

Miami’s lineup has seen some adjustments due to the absence of power forward Kevin Love, who has been out for personal reasons. Guards Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro join a frontcourt that includes Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, and Adebayo, while the bench rotation includes Jaime Jaquez Jr., sharpshooter Duncan Robinson, and newcomer Alec Burks, who has quickly gained praise from Herro for his consistent 3-point shooting.

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Butler, now in his 13th NBA season at age 35, leads the team’s offensive push. After a slow start in their loss to Orlando, he bounced back with a near triple-double against the Hornets, scoring 26 points, grabbing eight rebounds, and dishing out eight assists. The Heat relied on Butler’s playmaking as he led the team in touches, underscoring his role as the primary facilitator.

While Butler thrives, Adebayo has had a slower start, averaging 10.5 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 2.0 assists through two games, significantly down from his previous season’s averages. However, Jovic, a promising 21-year-old forward, has stepped up with his versatility and energy, averaging 12.5 points, 3.5 assists, and 4.5 rebounds in 27 minutes per game.

Key Matchups and Outlook

  • Cade Cunningham vs. Jimmy Butler: Cunningham’s playmaking and Butler’s leadership will be central to each team’s success, with both players capable of dominating the game through their scoring and court vision.
  • Bam Adebayo vs. Jalen Duren/Isaiah Stewart: Adebayo needs to shake off his early-season rust and establish himself on both ends against Detroit’s young, energetic frontcourt.
  • Jaden Ivey vs. Tyler Herro: With Ivey’s aggressive play style and Herro’s sharpshooting, this matchup could swing the game’s momentum.

The Pistons aim to capitalize on their steady offense, while the Heat will look to leverage their depth and experience, especially if Adebayo can reclaim his typical level of performance.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Oct 28, 11:02 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Heat
-4
-110
-170
O 106.5
-115
Pistons
+4
-110
145
U 106.5
-105
Ryan Davis
Ryan Davis | Handicapper

Blazing trails in science and on the court.

Ryan Davis, from Eugene, merges his passion for the Portland Trail Blazers with a keen expertise in environmental science, focusing on innovative projects that enhance both the community and the fan experience. His work demonstrates that dedication and innovation can lead to significant impacts. Trailblazing solutions for a better tomorrow.

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