Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets Picks and Predictions March 22nd 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets March 22nd 2025

At 5:00 ET, the Indiana Pacers (-383) will host the Brooklyn Nets (+302) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Pacers are favored by 9 points, and the over/under line is set at 220.5.

Indiana has won three straight and is currently 4th in the East, while Brooklyn has dropped two in a row and is 12th in the conference. Tip-off will take place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, and FDSI will have the TV coverage.

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Nets vs. Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers
• Where: Indianapolis at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Saturday, March 22nd
• Betting Odds IND -9, BKN +302 | IND -383 O/U 220.5

The Nets Can Win If…

The Nets dropped to 23-47 on the season after a 105-99 road loss to the Pacers on Thursday. Brooklyn entered the game as +8 point underdogs but managed to keep it closer than expected, losing by six. The total points for the game finished at 204, well under the 222.5-point line.

Brooklyn took control early, going on an 11-0 run to stretch their lead from 25-23 to 34-25. They led 71-67 going into the 4th quarter but were outscored 24-20 in the final period, allowing the Pacers to complete the comeback.

In their 99-point effort against the Pacers, the Nets shot just 35.6% from the field and 28% from three-point range, making 14 threes. Ziaire Williams and D’Angelo Russell each scored 22 points, with Williams hitting 6 threes at a 50% rate.

Russell added 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Williams contributed 3 points in both the 4th and overtime. Trendon Watford finished with 15 points, including 8 in the opening quarter.

Defensively, the Nets were solid, holding the Pacers to 105 points, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win. Brooklyn limited Indiana to just 23 points in the 1st quarter and 19 in the 2nd, while giving up 25 in the 3rd and 24 in the 4th.

The Nets did a great job defending the three, allowing just 8 made threes on 25% shooting. They also recorded 11 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

• In their last five road games, Brooklyn has averaged 102 points per game while allowing 107. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-5 while going 3-2.
• The last ten games that Brooklyn was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 2-8 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Nets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Pacers Can Win If…

With a 105-99 win over the Nets on Thursday, the Pacers improved to 40-29 this season. Indiana was favored by 8 points at home but didn’t cover the spread, and the total score of 204 points fell short of the 222.5-point over/under line.

Brooklyn went on an 11-0 run early, but the Pacers rallied in the 2nd half. They held the Nets to 19 points in the 3rd quarter and outscored them 24-20 in the 4th to secure the win.

In their win over the Nets, the Pacers shot just 43.2% from the field and made only 8 threes at a 25.8% clip. Bennedict Mathurin led the way with 28 points and 16 rebounds, hitting 50% of his threes.

Myles Turner added 23 points on 72.7% shooting, and Aaron Nesmith chipped in 14 points, with 7 coming in the 1st and 3rd quarters. Mathurin scored 11 points in the 4th quarter and added 6 more in overtime.

The Pacers put together a strong defensive performance on Thursday, holding the Nets to 99 points on 35% shooting. Indiana tightened up in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 19 points, and gave up only 20 in the 4th to secure the win.

From beyond the arc, the Pacers limited Brooklyn to 28% shooting, with the Nets hitting 14 threes. Indiana also sent Brooklyn to the line 18 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Pacers finished with 10 steals and 8 blocks.

• Across the Pacers last three home games, the team averaged 121 points per game while allowing 118. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
• Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Pacers have an overall record of 4-1 while going 0-4-1 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 0-2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Pacers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 132-102. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Pacers at -9.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 220.5, and our model predicts the Nets and Pacers to score a combined 234 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Pacers Eye Back-to-Back Wins as Nets Struggle to Find Answers

The Indiana Pacers aim to keep their homestand flawless and extend their winning streak when they host the Brooklyn Nets for the second time in three days on Saturday night.

Indiana Riding Momentum, Even Without Haliburton

The Pacers (40-29) edged the Nets 105-99 in overtime on Thursday behind Bennedict Mathurin’s 28-point, 16-rebound performance — his second straight game leading a late surge. Mathurin has emerged as a crucial weapon with All-Star point guard Tyrese Haliburton sidelined due to lower back soreness.

Indiana has now won five of its last six, improving to 2-0 on a five-game homestand. Though the team committed a season-high 25 turnovers on Thursday, coach Rick Carlisle praised Mathurin’s determination while acknowledging the team still has plenty to clean up.

Despite Haliburton’s absence, Indiana’s bench continues to provide a spark. Obi Toppin’s recent 34-point outburst in Minnesota and the continued growth of Mathurin offer a glimpse into the Pacers’ considerable depth, which has helped lift Indiana into fourth place in the Eastern Conference standings.

Nets Slip Further Out of Contention

The Nets (23-47) have dropped 13 of their last 16 since the All-Star break, spiraling out of the Eastern Conference play-in race. Thursday’s OT loss marked Brooklyn’s sixth defeat in March alone decided by six points or fewer, reinforcing the team’s late-game woes.

Free throws proved costly once again. While Indiana hit 27 of 31 from the line, Brooklyn went just 13-for-18. That disparity came back to haunt the Nets in a game otherwise defined by grit and physicality.

Trendon Watford, who was ejected following a scuffle with Myles Turner in the fourth quarter, contributed 15 points off the bench before his exit. D’Angelo Russell and Ziaire Williams each had 22 points to lead Brooklyn, which was without top scorer Cameron Johnson (rest). With Cam Thomas out for the season, Johnson’s return Saturday would be a welcome boost.

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Setting the Stage for Saturday

With tempers flaring late in Thursday’s contest and both teams matching each other in effort, Saturday’s rematch could bring added intensity. For Indiana, staying focused and cutting down on turnovers will be key as they try to solidify their playoff position.

Brooklyn, on the other hand, will need to close out more efficiently and capitalize on free-throw opportunities if they hope to break their slump and avoid a season sweep in Indiana.

Looking to wager on the rematch? Check out our latest analysis and projections on our NBA Picks Today page.