Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers Picks and Predictions March 26th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers March 26th 2025

At 7:30 ET on ESPN, the Pacers will host the Lakers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Lakers (-122) are favored by 1.5 points over the Pacers (+103), with the over/under line set at 235.

Los Angeles (43-28) is currently fifth in the Western Conference and on a three-game losing streak, while Indiana (42-29) is fourth in the East and has won five straight.

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Lakers vs. Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers
• Where: Indianapolis at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Wednesday, March 26th
• Betting Odds LAL -1.5, LAL -122 | IND +103 O/U 235

The Lakers Can Win If…

The Lakers fell to 43-28 on the season after a 118-106 road loss to the Magic on Monday. Los Angeles, favored by four points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 224 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 217.5 by 6.5 points.

After an 11-0 run pushed the Lakers’ lead from 44-40 to 55-40, the Magic responded by winning the 2nd quarter 32-30 and dominating the 3rd quarter 34-18. The Lakers entered the 4th quarter trailing 92-78 and couldn’t mount a comeback, despite outscoring the Magic 28-26 in the final period.

In the Lakers’ 118-106 loss to the Magic, Luka Dončić led the way with 32 points, 7 assists, and 7 rebounds, hitting 4 threes at a 40% clip. LeBron James added 24 points, 7 assists, and 6 rebounds, shooting 50% from the field, while Austin Reaves contributed 18 points and 6 boards.

The Lakers struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes at 31.2%, and finished with a 46.2% overall shooting percentage. Dončić scored 11 points in the 1st quarter and added 10 more in the 2nd, while Reaves and Dorian Finney-Smith each chipped in 6 points in the 4th.

The Lakers gave up 118 points to the Magic, allowing 32 points in the 2nd quarter and 34 in the 3rd. They held Orlando to 26 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters. The Magic shot 49% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Lakers allowed 15 threes on 37% shooting. Orlando also went 19/23 from the free-throw line. Defensively, the Lakers recorded 7 steals and 1 block.

• Through their last three road contests, the Lakers offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 125. Los Angeles posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Lakers have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
• Over their last three games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

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The Pacers Can Win If…

With a 119-103 victory over the Timberwolves on Monday, the Pacers improved to 42-29 for the season. Indiana, who were +1.5 point underdogs at home, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game were 222, falling short of the 230.5 O/U line.

A key moment came when the Pacers went on a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 67-57 to 79-57. They dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Minnesota 41-25, and entered the 4th with a 95-73 lead, allowing them to coast to victory despite being outscored 30-24 in the final period.

Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers to a win over the Timberwolves with 24 points and 11 assists, shooting 56.2% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 42.9%. Obi Toppin added 20 points, knocking down 6 threes at 66.7% efficiency, while Aaron Nesmith chipped in 17 points, making 3 threes without a miss.

Indiana shot 48.9% from the field and 37.1% from deep, connecting on 13 threes. Haliburton scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, and Toppin added 9 in the same period.

The Pacers’ defense held the Timberwolves to 103 points, giving up 23 in the 1st quarter and 25 in both the 2nd and 3rd. They allowed 30 points in the 4th but still secured the win.

Indiana limited Minnesota’s three-point shooting, allowing just 9 made threes on 25% shooting. The Timberwolves went 6/10 from the free-throw line. The Pacers grabbed 37 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and added 9 steals and 5 blocks.

• Through their last five home contests, the Pacers offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 119. Indiana posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 1-4 ATS.
• The Pacers have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re backing the Lakers for a victory, with the projected score at 136-131. Additionally, we favor them to cover the spread, so we recommend placing a bet on the Lakers at -1.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 235, and our model predicts the Lakers and Pacers to score a combined 267 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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Lakers Look to End Slide Against Streaking Pacers

The Los Angeles Lakers are in need of a turnaround, and they’ll hope to find it Wednesday night when they visit the red-hot Indiana Pacers in a pivotal late-season clash.

Los Angeles (43-28) has dropped three straight games and seven of its last 10, slipping dangerously close to the Western Conference play-in zone. With just a few games separating them from teams like the Clippers and Timberwolves, every outing now carries heightened postseason implications.

The Lakers opened a four-game road trip Monday with a 118-106 loss to the Orlando Magic, despite strong performances from their superstar duo. Luka Doncic poured in 32 points, while LeBron James added 24, combining for over half of the team’s offense.

“We’ve just got to get into the playoffs first. There’s nothing guaranteed in this league,” Doncic said. “I’ve got to talk more. I need to get everybody in position and be a good leader.”

Doncic has been prolific since arriving in Los Angeles, averaging 27.2 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 7.8 assists in 18 games with the team. James, listed as probable with a groin strain, continues to deliver nearly a triple-double each night at 24.9 points, 8.4 assists, and 8.1 rebounds per game.

Pacers Riding Momentum and Defensive Identity

On the other side, Indiana (42-29) has surged at just the right time, winning five straight games and pushing to secure a playoff spot in the crowded Eastern Conference. A win Wednesday would match their longest winning streak of the season.

After edging out close wins over contenders, the Pacers made a statement in Monday’s 119-103 victory over the Timberwolves. Obi Toppin lit it up from beyond the arc with 20 points on six made threes and has quietly become a key contributor during the streak.

“He’s a winner… He’s a team guy,” Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle said of Toppin. “He’s also really worked hard on his defense and rebounding.”

While Indiana has long been known for its offense, it’s the defensive improvement that’s made the biggest difference this season. The team has shaved its points allowed per game down to 115.2 from 120.2 a year ago. A big reason for that? Guard Andrew Nembhard.

“He’s an All-NBA defense guy,” said Tyrese Haliburton. “He spearheads our defense, and the big jump we’ve had over the last 12 months has been because of him.”

Nembhard has emerged as the team’s primary stopper, often tasked with defending the opponent’s best scorer. That includes holding Minnesota’s Anthony Edwards to just 17 points on 1-for-11 from three on Monday.

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Meanwhile, Haliburton and Pascal Siakam continue to lead the Pacers offensively. Siakam is averaging 20.8 points and 7 rebounds per game, while Haliburton contributes 18.5 points and a team-best 1.5 steals.

As the Lakers try to avoid slipping into play-in territory and the Pacers look to extend their hot streak, this inter-conference matchup could have playoff-like intensity.

Want more clarity on games with postseason implications? Check out our expert NBA picks and predictions to sharpen your edge.