Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions March 31st 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings March 31st 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Pacers (-219) will host the Kings (+183) in a non-conference matchup. Indiana is favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 234.5.

Currently, the Pacers are 43-31 and 4th in the Eastern Conference. On the other side, the Kings are 36-38 and 10th in the Western Conference.

Kings vs. Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers
• Where: Indianapolis at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Monday, March 31st
• Betting Odds IND -5.5, SAC +183 | IND -219 O/U 234.5

The Kings Can Win If…

The Kings dropped to 36-38 on the season after a 121-91 road loss to the Magic on Saturday. Sacramento entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were set at 213, but the teams combined for 212, just missing the over/under line.

Sacramento fell behind early, trailing 38-21 after the 1st quarter. They tightened up in the 2nd and 4th quarters, outscoring Orlando 25-23 in both periods, but a 37-20 3rd quarter by the Magic put the game out of reach.

In their 121-91 loss to the Magic, the Kings struggled offensively, shooting just 42% from the field and connecting on only 7 three-pointers at a 25% clip. DeMar DeRozan led the way with 21 points, hitting 66.7% of his threes, while Domantas Sabonis added 14 points and 13 rebounds despite shooting 33.3%.

DeRozan scored 12 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Sabonis contributed 11 of his 14 points in the opening period. Zach LaVine finished with 10 points, shooting 37.5% from the floor.

The Kings struggled defensively in the 1st and 3rd quarters, giving up 38 and 37 points, respectively, in their 121-91 loss to the Magic. They did manage to tighten up in the 2nd and 4th quarters, allowing just 23 points in each. Overall, Sacramento allowed Orlando to shoot 49% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Magic hit 18 threes at a 46% clip. The Kings sent Orlando to the line 24 times, where they made 15 free throws. On the boards, Sacramento gave up 13 offensive rebounds while recording 6 steals and 6 blocks.

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 100 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Kings have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Sacramento posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
• Over their last three games, the Kings have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

NBA Championship Contenders & Betting Odds! – Find out which teams have the best value.

The Pacers Can Win If…

The Pacers fell to 43-31 on the season after a 132-111 road loss to the Thunder on Saturday. Indiana entered the game as +8.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 243 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 234.

After an 11-0 run by the Thunder, Indiana struggled to keep up, scoring just 22 points in the 2nd quarter while allowing 32. The Thunder extended their lead by outscoring the Pacers 41-31 in the 3rd quarter, and despite a 31-point 4th quarter from Indiana, the game was already out of reach.

In their 132-111 loss to the Thunder, the Pacers shot 44.8% from the field and connected on 14 threes at a 33.3% rate. Tyrese Haliburton led Indiana with 18 points, hitting 4 threes at 44.4% efficiency, while also adding 3 assists and 4 rebounds.

Andrew Nembhard contributed 16 points and 7 assists, and Obi Toppin chipped in 12 points, 5 assists, and 2 made threes. Haliburton scored 9 points in the 1st quarter, and added 7 more in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Pacers struggled against the Thunder, giving up 132 points while allowing Oklahoma City to shoot 51% from the field. Indiana’s toughest stretch came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed 41 points.

The Pacers also had a hard time defending the perimeter, as the Thunder hit 17 threes at a 47% clip. Indiana sent Oklahoma City to the line 23 times, where they made 19 free throws. The Pacers finished with 6 steals and 6 blocks.

• In their last three home games, Indiana has averaged 135 points per game while allowing 123. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
• Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Pacers have an overall record of 5-0 while going 1-4 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Kings is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 234.5 and our model has the Kings and Pacers finishing with a combined 241 points. Our pick is to take the over.

Real-Time NBA Scores

Don’t Miss the Action

Get Free Trial

Kings and Pacers Face Off in Crucial Playoff Clash

As the NBA season enters its final stretch, every game is crucial for teams fighting for playoff positioning. On Monday, the Indiana Pacers will host the Sacramento Kings in a game that could shape the playoff race in both the Eastern and Western Conferences.

Pacers Seeking to Rebound After Setback

The Indiana Pacers (43-31) have experienced a slight dip in form, losing two of their last three games, including a tough 132-111 defeat to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday. The Pacers hung with the Thunder for most of the first half but were outscored 71-45 in the second half, leading to a blowout loss.

Indiana is still firmly in the mix for home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. They currently hold the No. 4 seed in the East, but the competition is fierce, with teams like the Detroit Pistons and others closing in on their position. Fortunately for the Pacers, the schedule down the stretch is favorable. With five of their last eight games against teams with losing records, Indiana has a solid chance to secure that coveted home-court spot.

Free NBA Picks & Betting Analysis! – Discover the best bets for tonight’s games.

The key to the Pacers’ success lies in the performance of their star players. Pascal Siakam, the team’s leading scorer, has been in a slump, scoring under 15 points in his last four games. The Pacers need Siakam to break out of his cold streak and provide the offensive spark that has been lacking in recent games. Tyrese Haliburton, who leads the team in assists and averages 18.6 points per game, will also be crucial for Indiana’s success in this matchup.

Kings Striving to Stay in the Play-In Race

For the Sacramento Kings (36-38), the stakes are even higher. The Kings are currently sitting in 10th place in the Western Conference, just one game ahead of the Phoenix Suns. After losing five of their last six games, they are at risk of falling out of the play-in tournament altogether if they don’t turn things around.

Their most recent game, a 121-91 loss to the Orlando Magic, was a wake-up call. The Kings were never competitive in the matchup, as they struggled with turnovers, missed shots, and lackluster defense. Interim head coach Doug Christie expressed his frustration with the team’s performance, citing a lack of energy and execution.

Despite the recent struggles, the Kings still have some key players who can turn things around. DeMar DeRozan continues to lead the team, averaging 22 points per game. His scoring has been a constant source of offense for Sacramento, and he will need to keep up his solid play for the Kings to have a chance. Zach LaVine, who was traded to Sacramento from Chicago earlier this season, has been a reliable contributor, averaging 21.0 points per game since joining the Kings.

Another player to watch is Domantas Sabonis. The big man is putting up impressive numbers, including 18.9 points and a league-leading 14.0 rebounds per game. His ability to dominate the glass and create opportunities on both ends of the floor will be crucial for Sacramento’s success.

What’s at Stake for Both Teams

For the Pacers, the goal is clear: secure home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. They are currently in a tight battle for the No. 4 seed and need to continue winning to ensure they stay ahead of the competition. A win against the Kings would be a big step in that direction, especially as they aim to get their offense back on track with the help of Siakam and Haliburton.

For the Kings, the game is a must-win if they want to stay alive in the playoff race. With only a few weeks left in the season, Sacramento cannot afford to keep dropping games. Their struggles on both ends of the floor need to be addressed quickly if they hope to avoid falling out of the play-in picture. A strong performance from DeRozan, LaVine, and Sabonis could be the key to getting them back on track.

A Closer Look at Key Matchups

This game will feature some exciting individual matchups. On one side, Tyrese Haliburton’s playmaking and scoring will be put to the test against a Sacramento defense that has shown vulnerability in recent games. On the other side, DeRozan and LaVine will need to find ways to break down the Pacers’ defense, which can be tough when they’re at their best.

Sabonis will also be crucial for the Kings. His rebounding and scoring ability in the paint will be important, as the Pacers are a solid team defensively but can struggle to contain dominant big men. Sabonis will need to impose his will inside to give Sacramento a fighting chance.

For Indiana, the key will be improving their overall game plan. If they can cut down on turnovers, generate easy scoring opportunities, and get their star players back in rhythm, they’ll be in a good position to secure a victory. But they cannot afford to take the Kings lightly, especially with the urgency that Sacramento is playing with.

Conclusion: High Stakes and High Drama

As both teams continue to fight for postseason positioning, Monday’s game will be a crucial test for the Pacers and Kings. For Indiana, it’s a chance to get back on track after their blowout loss to the Thunder and solidify their spot in the playoffs. For Sacramento, it’s a must-win game if they want to stay in the playoff hunt.

This game promises to be high-stakes, with plenty on the line for both teams. Who will rise to the occasion and come out on top? Be sure to tune in to see who takes a step closer to securing their playoff fate.