Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions October 25th 2024

Jazz vs Warriors NBA Fri, Oct 25, 21:30 pm.
Jazz
ML: 135
0
0
Warriors
ML: -160

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At 9:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-149) will take on the Utah Jazz (+125) in Salt Lake City. The Warriors are favored by 3 points and the over/under line is set at 232.5.

This Western Conference matchup will be played at the Delta Center and can be seen on NBCS.

Warriors vs. Jazz Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz
  • Where: Salt Lake City at Delta Center
  • Date: Friday, October 25th
  • Betting Odds GS -3, GS -149 | UTA +125 O/U 232.5

The Warriors Can Win If…

Golden State opened their season with a dominant 140-104 win over the Trail Blazers on Wednesday, moving to 1-0. The Warriors, favored by 7.5 points, easily covered the spread with the 36-point victory. The game’s total of 244 points exceeded the O/U line of 221.5 by 22.5 points.

After a 21-21 tie in the 1st quarter, the Warriors went on a decisive 15-0 run, turning a 77-63 deficit into a 78-77 lead. They took control by outscoring Portland 41-29 in the 2nd quarter, 38-22 in the 3rd, and 40-32 in the 4th.

The Warriors put up 140 points in their win over the Trail Blazers, shooting 51.6% from the field and hitting 20 threes at a 41.7% clip. Buddy Hield led the way with 22 points, knocking down 5 threes at 71.4%, while Andrew Wiggins added 20 points and 4 threes.

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Stephen Curry contributed 17 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds, with 9 of his points coming in the 3rd quarter. Moses Moody added 12 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, and Trayce Jackson-Davis chipped in 8 of his 14 points in the final period.

The Warriors put on a strong defensive performance against the Trail Blazers, holding them to 104 points on 39% shooting. Golden State limited Portland to 21 points in the 1st and 22 in the 3rd quarter, though they gave up 32 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Warriors were excellent, allowing just 8 threes on 23% shooting. They also recorded 13 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

  • Through their last ten road games, Golden State has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Warriors have an overall record of 3-2 while going 1-4 against the spread.
  • Over their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Jazz Can Win If…

The Jazz dropped their season opener on Wednesday, falling 126-124 to the Grizzlies at home. Utah, who entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread with the narrow loss. The total points soared past the 229.5 O/U line, finishing 20.5 points over.

A 13-0 run by Memphis, taking the score from 43-37 to 50-43, put Utah on their heels. The Jazz fought back, outscoring the Grizzlies 36-32 in the 3rd and 38-33 in the 4th, but couldn’t complete the comeback.

The Warriors put up 140 points in their win over the Trail Blazers, shooting 51.6% from the field and hitting 20 threes at a 41.7% clip. Buddy Hield led the way with 22 points, knocking down 5 threes at 71.4%, while Andrew Wiggins added 20 points and 4 made threes.

Stephen Curry contributed 17 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds, hitting 3 threes. Moses Moody scored 12 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, and Trayce Jackson-Davis added 8 of his 14 points in the final period.

The Jazz struggled defensively, giving up 126 points to the Grizzlies, who shot 47% from the field. Utah allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter and 32 in both the 2nd and 3rd before giving up 33 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Jazz allowed Memphis to hit 17 threes at a 37% clip. The Grizzlies also went to the line 32 times, converting 23 free throws. Utah gave up 13 offensive rebounds but recorded 7 steals and 9 blocks.

  • Utah has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 112 points per game while allowing 116. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Jazz have a strong record vs the spread going 4-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
  • In their last five games, the Jazz have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Jazz come in as the underdog at +3, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 232.5 and given that our model is projecting 270 points between the teams, we like the over.

Warriors’ Spread-Out Attack to Challenge Jazz in Salt Lake City

The Golden State Warriors bring a fresh, dynamic lineup to face the Utah Jazz on Friday night, looking to build on a spectacular opening night win over Portland. In their season debut, the Warriors set franchise records for points in a road opener and margin of victory in any season debut with a 139-104 triumph. Now, they’ll see if their newfound depth and high-paced game can withstand a Jazz team that’s also showed potential in the early going.

Golden State’s Dynamic Depth Shines in Opener

The Warriors’ opening night displayed the deep talent pool they’ve assembled, with seven players hitting double figures. New addition Buddy Hield led the charge from the bench with 22 points, the second-highest in franchise history by a player debuting off the bench for the team. Veteran stars like Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins, and a talented mix of new contributors, including Kyle Anderson, Lindy Waters III, and De’Anthony Melton, made a collective impact that’s raising eyebrows around the league.

“I think we got the deepest team in the league,” Warriors forward Andrew Wiggins remarked. “When you play fast, guys are going to get tired. I feel like when the bench comes in, they’re not going to miss a beat.”

The Warriors’ 20-for-48 shooting from beyond the arc — a 41.7 percent success rate — showed the firepower of their offensive strategy. Hield and Wiggins led the deep shooting effort, but with six Warriors hitting at least two triples, Golden State’s sharpshooting prowess seems well-distributed across the roster, putting added pressure on any opposing defense.

Jazz Show Promise in Narrow Loss to Memphis

While the Jazz fell short in their opener, losing 126-124 to the Memphis Grizzlies, the young squad showed a lot of upside. Lauri Markkanen, one of the offseason’s most talked-about players, was at his best, putting up 35 points and demonstrating why he’s considered a key piece of the Jazz’s future. Walker Kessler and rookie Taylor Hendricks also put up solid performances, with Kessler notching 16 points and 14 rebounds, while Hendricks contributed 12 points and hit three of his five attempts from deep.

“You lose by two and it doesn’t feel good, but I truly did feel like there was more good than bad in that game,” Jazz head coach Will Hardy said. “Lauri was a beast tonight. … We’ll get back to the gym, watch some film, and off we go.”

The Jazz were competitive with Memphis until the final minutes, tied at 116 with under three minutes to go, but they’ll need to tighten up defensively to keep pace with the Warriors. After allowing Memphis to hit 17 3-pointers at a 37.8 percent rate, the Jazz will face an even greater test from Golden State’s potent long-range shooting.

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Key Matchups to Watch

  1. Warriors’ Depth vs. Jazz’s Perimeter Defense: Golden State’s bench outscored Portland significantly in the opener, and with a second unit full of effective 3-point shooters, the Jazz’s defense will need to step up and contest shots to prevent the Warriors from pulling ahead. Buddy Hield, Andrew Wiggins, and the Warriors’ rotation will test Utah’s ability to defend the arc.
  2. Curry’s Facilitation and Jazz Defense: Stephen Curry posted 10 assists and nearly had a triple-double in limited minutes against Portland. With Utah struggling against Memphis’s backcourt, Curry’s playmaking abilities will be a constant threat to create open looks for Golden State’s shooters, and Utah’s defensive adjustments could be crucial to keeping the game close.
  3. Lauri Markkanen’s Scoring vs. Warriors’ Defense: Markkanen’s scoring was a highlight in Utah’s season opener, but with Golden State’s defense likely focused on him, it will be critical for Markkanen to continue scoring efficiently. If he can perform well against the Warriors’ aggressive defense, Utah’s offense could find more opportunities, keeping the game competitive.

Final Thoughts

Golden State’s strong start and deep roster give them an edge heading into Friday’s game, but Utah’s young talent and solid offensive potential could keep things interesting. If the Jazz can address their perimeter defense and find ways to limit the Warriors’ fast-paced attack, this could be a close, entertaining matchup.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Fri, Oct 25, 10:15 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Jazz
+3
-105
135
O 119
-110
Warriors
-3
-115
-160
U 119
-110
Ryan Davis
Ryan Davis | Handicapper

Blazing trails in science and on the court.

Ryan Davis, from Eugene, merges his passion for the Portland Trail Blazers with a keen expertise in environmental science, focusing on innovative projects that enhance both the community and the fan experience. His work demonstrates that dedication and innovation can lead to significant impacts. Trailblazing solutions for a better tomorrow.

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