Kings vs Jazz November 16th 2024
At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-420) will host the Utah Jazz (+326) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are 9.5-point favorites and the over/under line is 228.5.
This game will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on NBCS.
Jazz vs. Kings Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Utah Jazz at Sacramento Kings
- Where: Sacramento at Golden 1 Center
- Date: Saturday, November 16th
- Betting Odds SAC -9.5, UTA +326 | SAC -420 O/U 228.5
The Jazz Can Win If…
The Jazz improved to 3-8 on the season with a 115-113 win over the Mavericks on Thursday. Utah, who were +7.5 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The total points for the game were 228, just under the line of 230.
Utah went on an 11-0 run, taking the score from 73-72 to 83-73, and dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Dallas 38-21. However, the Mavericks made a push in the 4th, outscoring the Jazz 28-16, but Utah held on for the win.
John Collins led the Jazz to a win over the Mavericks with 28 points, scoring 13 of those in the 3rd quarter. He shot 50% from the field, while the team hit 50.6% overall and 38.2% from three, making 13 threes.
Jordan Clarkson added 20 points, including 8 in the 4th quarter. Collin Sexton contributed 16 points, with 8 coming in the 2nd quarter. Kyle Filipowski also scored 11 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter.
Despite giving up 36 points in the 2nd quarter, the Jazz tightened up defensively in the 3rd, allowing just 21 points to help secure the win. Overall, they gave up 113 points on 50% shooting from the field.
Utah did a good job defending the three, holding the Mavericks to 12 made threes on 30% shooting. They also sent Dallas to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Jazz finished with 11 steals and 2 blocks.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Utah has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Through their last five games as the underdog, the Jazz have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
- Over their last five games, the Jazz have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Kings Can Win If…
The Kings fell to 7-6 on the season after a 130-126 home loss to the Timberwolves on Friday. Sacramento entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 256 points exceeded the pre-game over/under line of 223 by 33 points.
After a 14-0 run by the Timberwolves, the Kings found themselves down 98-82 heading into the 4th quarter. Sacramento responded by holding Minnesota to just 17 points in the final period while scoring 33 points of their own, but their comeback fell short.
De’Aaron Fox was electric in the Kings’ 130-126 loss to the Timberwolves, pouring in 60 points and 7 assists, hitting 6 threes at a 60% clip. He scored 20 points in the 4th quarter and added 6 more in overtime. Fox shot 62.9% from the field overall.
Domantas Sabonis contributed 23 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 66.7%. Keegan Murray added 14 points and 10 boards, though he struggled from deep, hitting just 28.6% of his threes. The Kings made 12 threes as a team, shooting 32.4% from beyond the arc, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 50%.
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Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th quarter, where they held the Timberwolves to just 17 points, the Kings couldn’t overcome their earlier struggles, allowing 130 points in the loss. Sacramento gave up 32 points in the 1st quarter and 36 in the 3rd, with Minnesota shooting 47% from the field.
The Kings had trouble defending the three, as the Timberwolves hit 20 threes at a 40% clip. Sacramento sent Minnesota to the line 16 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Kings finished with 40 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 7 blocks.
- Sacramento has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 118. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Kings have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
- In their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +9.5, the Jazz is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 224 points between the teams, we like the under.