La Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions April 5th 2025

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks April 5th 2025

At 10:30 ET, the Clippers (-343) will host the Mavericks (+273) in a Western Conference matchup. The Clippers are favored by 8 points and have won three in a row, while the Mavericks are 9th in the West with a record of 38-40.

This game will be played at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood and can be seen on KTLA.

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Mavericks vs. Clippers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers
• Where: Inglewood at Intuit Dome
• Date: Saturday, April 5th
• Betting Odds LAC -8, DAL +273 | LAC -343 O/U 221.5

The Mavericks Can Win If…

Dallas fell to 38-40 on the season after a 114-91 loss to the Clippers on Friday. The Mavericks were +12 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 205 points was well below the O/U line of 225.5.

The Clippers took control early, going on a 10-0 run to extend their lead from 37-20 to 47-20. Dallas struggled in the first half, scoring just 35 points. While they outscored the Clippers 25-23 in the third quarter, they entered the fourth down 81-60 and couldn’t mount a comeback.

The Mavericks struggled offensively in their 114-91 loss to the Clippers, shooting just 20% from beyond the arc, making only 4 threes. Their overall field goal percentage was 45.5%, which was below average.

Naji Marshall led Dallas with 22 points, 12 of which came in the 4th quarter. Spencer Dinwiddie added 18 points, hitting 2 threes at 33.3%, while Jaden Hardy contributed 16 points, with 7 coming in the 3rd quarter.

Defensively, the Mavericks gave up 114 points to the Clippers, who shot 49% from the field. Dallas allowed 29 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters but tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 23 points before allowing 33 in the final period.

The Mavericks struggled to defend the three, as the Clippers hit 14 threes on 46% shooting. Dallas sent the Clippers to the line 16 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 33 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals.

• Dallas has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 110. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
• Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Clippers Can Win If…

The Clippers improved to 45-32 on the season with a dominant 114-91 win over the Mavericks on Friday. Playing at home, Los Angeles entered the game as -12 point favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game came in at 205, well below the O/U line of 225.5.

Los Angeles set the tone early, outscoring Dallas 29-16 in the 1st quarter and going on a 10-0 run to extend their lead from 37-20 to 47-20. The Clippers held an 81-60 lead going into the 4th quarter, where they outscored the Mavericks 33-31 to close out the game.

The Clippers shot 49.4% from the field and hit 14 threes at a 46.7% clip in their win over the Mavericks on Friday. Kawhi Leonard led the way with 20 points, scoring 9 in the 1st quarter and adding 6 more in the 3rd.

Norman Powell and Ivica Zubac each contributed 14 points, with Zubac also grabbing 13 rebounds. Bogdan Bogdanović scored 9 of his 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Drew Eubanks added 6 of his 12 points in the final period as well.

The Clippers’ defense was on point against the Mavericks, holding them to just 91 points. They set the tone early, allowing only 16 points in the 1st quarter and 19 in the 2nd. The Mavericks scored 25 in the 3rd and 31 in the 4th, but it wasn’t enough to threaten the Clippers’ lead.

Los Angeles was especially effective at defending the three, limiting Dallas to just 4 made threes on 20% shooting. The Clippers also controlled the boards, giving up only 6 offensive rebounds, and they added 11 steals and 4 blocks.

• Los Angeles has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 119 points per game while allowing 105. The team also performed well vs the spread at 5-0.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Clippers have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
• In their last three games, the Clippers have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re putting our money on the Clippers to win, and have the projected score sitting at 120-105. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Clippers at -8.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 221.5 and our model has the Mavericks and Clippers finishing with a combined 225 points. Our pick is to take the over.

L.A. Eyes Top-Six Slot While Dallas Fights to Stay in Play-In Picture

The Los Angeles Clippers will try to tighten their grip on a top-six seed in the Western Conference when they face the Dallas Mavericks for the second straight night Saturday at Intuit Dome.

The Clippers (45-32) rolled to a dominant 114-91 win over Dallas on Friday behind another strong outing from Kawhi Leonard, who scored 20 points in just 24 minutes. However, Leonard’s status for the rematch is up in the air, as he has yet to play in back-to-back games since returning from knee discomfort in January.

Los Angeles has gone 13-3 over its past 16 games and is surging at the right time. The defense has been elite — ranking top-five in the league in points allowed — and the Clippers have found their footing at home. After a rocky start at their new arena, they’ve won 27 of their last 34 games there, including 10 of the last 11.

“Our fans have been incredible,” head coach Tyronn Lue said Friday. “We just have to keep it going.”

The Clippers got balanced scoring on Friday, with six players scoring at least 12 points and Ivica Zubac collecting his 20th double-double in his last 21 games.

Mavericks Dealing With Injuries and Urgency

The Mavericks (38-40), now ninth in the West, are clinging to their play-in position after Friday’s loss. With four games left, including matchups against the Lakers and Grizzlies, Dallas needs wins — fast.

Anthony Davis sat out Friday for injury management, and Dereck Lively II also didn’t play due to an ankle issue. Klay Thompson exited midgame with an illness, further complicating Dallas’ injury picture.

Naji Marshall led the Mavs with 22 points, Spencer Dinwiddie added 18, and Jaden Hardy had 16 before injuring his right ankle. His availability for Saturday is in question.

Despite the setbacks, Mavericks coach Jason Kidd isn’t looking past the Clippers.

“Right now, we’re not worried about the play-in tournament,” Kidd said. “We’re worried about the Clippers.”

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What to Watch

If Leonard sits, the Clippers will rely more heavily on Paul George, Norman Powell, and Zubac to continue the recent momentum. Dallas may get Davis back, though Kidd labeled him only a “possibility.”

The Clippers’ defense has been the story — holding opponents to 108 points per game — and Friday’s performance showcased their ability to limit a fast-paced Dallas team. The Mavs will need more production from their bench and a better shooting night to avoid being swept in the back-to-back.