Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Picks and Predictions November 27th 2024

Mavericks vs Knicks November 27th 2024

At 7:30 ET, the New York Knicks (-171) will travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (+144) in a non-conference matchup. The Knicks are currently 10-7 and 4th in the Eastern Conference, while the Mavericks are 10-8 and 9th in the Western Conference. The over/under line for this game is 233.5.

This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and will be televised on ESPN.

Knicks vs. Mavericks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks
• Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
• Date: Wednesday, November 27th
• Betting Odds NY -4, NY -171 | DAL +144 O/U 233.5

The Knicks Can Win If…

The Knicks improved to 10-7 this season with a dominant 145-118 win over the Nuggets on Monday. New York, who entered the game as +2 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread in style. The game’s total points of 263 exceeded the O/U line of 235 by 28 points.

New York’s 11-0 run turned the game around, as they went from trailing 41-29 to pulling within a point at 41-40. They took control by outscoring Denver 40-29 in the 2nd quarter and entered the 4th quarter with a commanding 113-87 lead.

The Knicks put up 145 points in their win over the Nuggets, shooting 60.9% from the field and hitting 19 threes at a 52.8% rate. OG Anunoby led the way with 40 points, including 18 in the 3rd quarter, and knocked down 5 threes at 71.4%.

Karl-Anthony Towns added 30 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 80% from the field, while Jalen Brunson contributed 23 points and 17 assists, hitting 4 threes at 80%. Brunson and Anunoby each scored 12 points in the 1st quarter.

Defensively, the Knicks gave up 118 points to the Nuggets but still managed to come away with the win. They allowed 24 points in the 1st quarter, 29 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 31 in the 4th. Overall, New York held Denver to 44% shooting from the field.

The Knicks did well in limiting the Nuggets’ three-point shooting, allowing just 11 made threes on 33% shooting. Denver also went to the line 27 times, making 25 free throws. New York finished with 35 defensive rebounds, while giving up 10 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 4 blocks.

• When looking at their past five road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 124 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
• The last ten games that New York was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 6-4 straight up.
• Over their last three games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Mavericks Can Win If…

Dallas improved to 10-8 on the season with a 129-119 road win over Atlanta on Monday. The Mavericks, who entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, not only picked up the win but also covered the spread. The game’s total of 248 points exceeded the O/U line of 236.5 by 11.5 points.

After trailing 67-61 at halftime, the Mavericks turned things around in the 2nd half. They outscored the Hawks 35-28 in the 3rd quarter and 33-24 in the 4th. A key moment came when Dallas went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 31-20 to 41-20.

The Mavericks shot 50% from the field and made 16 threes at a 45.7% clip in their win over the Hawks. Kyrie Irving led the way with 32 points, hitting 6 threes despite shooting just 39.3% overall.

Irving scored 16 points in the 4th quarter, while Jaden Hardy added 10 of his 23 in the 2nd. Naji Marshall also contributed 22 points, shooting 75% from the field and 66.7% from deep.

Despite a rough 2nd quarter where the Mavericks gave up 36 points, they tightened up defensively in the 4th, allowing just 24 points to help secure the win over the Hawks. Overall, Dallas allowed 119 points on 47% shooting from the field.

The Mavericks did an excellent job defending the three, holding Atlanta to just 9 made threes on 29% shooting. Dallas also sent the Hawks to the line 16 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 41 defensive rebounds, while allowing 9 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 8 blocks.

• In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
• Through their last three games as the underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
• In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Knicks is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 125-109. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Knicks at -4.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 233.5, and our model predicts the Knicks and Mavericks to score a combined 234 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Daily NBA Picks

Mavericks Battle Knicks as Role Players Shine in Luka Doncic’s Absence

The Dallas Mavericks look to extend their strong run as they host the New York Knicks Wednesday night, continuing to adapt without their superstar, Luka Doncic.

Doncic has been sidelined for three games due to a sprained wrist and is set to be reevaluated later this week. Despite his absence, the Mavericks have shown impressive resilience, winning five of their last six games and maintaining a 2-1 record without him. Currently ninth in the Western Conference standings, Dallas is finding ways to stay competitive.

Kyrie Irving Leads the Charge

Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving has emerged as a leader, stepping up with standout performances like his 32-point game in Monday’s victory over Atlanta. Irving emphasized the team’s grit and determination:

“We’ve got a lot of competitors in this locker room, guys that want to win and put their body on the line,” Irving said. “We’re not sure who is going to be healthy day-in, day-out, but those who suit up are going to be ready to play.”

The Rise of Daniel Gafford

A significant contributor to the Mavericks’ success has been Daniel Gafford, who has found his stride since being acquired at last year’s trade deadline. The 7-footer added 10 points against Atlanta and is averaging a career-best 12.3 points per game while leading the NBA in field goal percentage (72%).

Gafford credits patience and an expanding offensive game for his improvement:
“It’s about having patience and trying to expand my offensive game to make more plays. Teams are blitzing and switching more, so I’m figuring out how to make the right passes and take advantage of mismatches.”

Knicks Riding a Hot Streak

The Knicks enter the matchup in fine form, having won four of their last five games. They are averaging 123 points per game over that stretch, highlighted by a season-high 145-point performance in their recent win against Denver.

Karl-Anthony Towns has been a transformative addition for the Knicks, leading the team with 26.3 points per game. Complementing him is Jalen Brunson, averaging 24.9 points per game, solidifying the Knicks’ position as one of the league’s top offenses.

Knicks head coach Tom Thibodeau is pleased with his team’s defensive metrics as well.

“You look at what the markers are telling you,” Thibodeau said. “Over the last five games, we’ve averaged 123 points and given up 115. Net rating is the most important stat to me. Then I look at how many points we’re giving up in the paint and second-chance points, and we’re top five in both categories.”

This balance of offensive firepower and defensive physicality has propelled the Knicks to fourth in the Eastern Conference standings.

Key Injuries on Both Sides

Both teams are navigating injuries to key players.

• Dallas Mavericks: Luka Doncic, Quentin Grimes, and Klay Thompson have missed time, but the Mavericks’ depth has been a saving grace.
• New York Knicks: The team continues to be without Precious Achiuwa and Mitchell Robinson, both of whom are recovering from injuries and are unlikely to feature on this road trip.

Head-to-Head Matchup

Dallas has dominated the Knicks in recent years, sweeping the season series in each of the last two campaigns. However, this game presents a unique challenge with Doncic sidelined and the Knicks playing at a high level.

Game Outlook

The Mavericks’ success hinges on Irving’s leadership, Gafford’s consistency, and contributions from other role players. Meanwhile, the Knicks will aim to maintain their offensive and defensive balance, led by Towns and Brunson.

With both teams showing strong recent form, this matchup promises to be a thrilling clash of grit and talent.