Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics Picks and Predictions March 31st 2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics NBA Mon, Mar 31, 18:30 pm.
Memphis Grizzlies
ML: 160
0
0
Boston Celtics
ML: -185

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At 7:30 ET, the Celtics (-189) will travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies (+159) at FedExForum. Boston is currently favored by 4.5 points and has won eight straight games. The over/under line for this non-conference matchup is set at 236.5.

This game will be shown on TNT and can be seen in the Boston area on NBC Sports Boston. The Celtics (55-19) are currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the Atlantic Division. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies (44-30) are 5th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Southwest Division. Memphis has lost two straight games.

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Celtics vs. Grizzlies Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies
  • Where: Memphis at FedExForum
  • Date: Monday, March 31st
  • Betting Odds BOS -4.5, BOS -189 | MEM +159 O/U 236.5

The Celtics Can Win If…

On Saturday, March 29th, the Celtics improved to 55-19 with a 121-111 road win over the Spurs. Boston entered the game as -12.5 point favorites but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 232, just over the 230.5 O/U line.

Boston took control early, leading 36-27 after the 1st quarter and extending their lead by outscoring the Spurs 28-25 in the 2nd quarter. They went into the 4th quarter with a 94-81 lead but were outscored 30-27 in the final period.

Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 8 assists in their win over the Spurs, scoring 11 points in the 3rd quarter. Jrue Holiday added 21 points, hitting 5 threes at a 71.4% rate, with 11 points in the 1st quarter. Luke Kornet contributed 15 points and 16 rebounds, shooting 70% from the field.

Boston made 17 threes, shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc and 47.9% overall. Derrick White scored 7 of his 13 points in the 4th quarter, while Jaylen Brown added 6 of his 14 points in the final period.

Defensively, the Celtics held the Spurs to 111 points on Saturday, giving up 27 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 4th, but they limited San Antonio to 25 points in the 2nd quarter.

Boston allowed the Spurs to shoot 43% from the field and 35% from three-point range, with San Antonio hitting 14 threes. The Celtics also sent the Spurs to the line 27 times, where they made 21 free throws.

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Boston has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Celtics have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.
  • Over their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
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The Grizzlies Can Win If…

The Grizzlies fell to 44-30 on the season after a 134-127 loss to the Lakers on Saturday. Memphis, who were -1.5 point favorites, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 261 points exceeded the O/U line of 239.5 by 21.5 points.

Memphis got off to a slow start, trailing 39-28 after the 1st quarter. The Lakers went on an 11-0 run, closing the gap to 42-41. Although the Grizzlies outscored the Lakers 38-30 in the 3rd quarter, they couldn’t complete the comeback, as the Lakers edged them 32-28 in the 4th.

Desmond Bane led the Grizzlies with 29 points, hitting 5 threes at 62.5% in their 134-127 loss to the Lakers. Jaren Jackson contributed 24 points, making 3 threes at 75%, while Ja Morant added 22 points and 10 assists, despite shooting 39.1% from the field.

The Grizzlies shot 52.6% overall and 43.8% from three, connecting on 14 threes. Bane and Jackson both scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, with Bane adding 10 more in the 2nd.

Defensively, the Grizzlies struggled against the Lakers, giving up 134 points on 50% shooting. Memphis allowed 39 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 2nd, putting them in a hole early. They gave up 30 points in the 3rd and 32 in the 4th, unable to slow down the Lakers’ offense.

The Grizzlies had a tough time defending the three, with the Lakers hitting 19 threes at a 44% clip. Memphis also sent the Lakers to the line 27 times, where they made 25 free throws. The Grizzlies recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

  • Across the Grizzlies last five home games, the team averaged 114 points per game while allowing 120. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • The last ten games that Memphis was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-8-1 while going 1-9 straight up.
  • In their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Grizzlies come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 236.5 and given that our model is projecting 292 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Celtics Aim to Cap Off Road Trip with Sixth Straight Win Against Struggling Grizzlies

The Boston Celtics are locked in and rolling as they approach the final game of a six-game road trip, taking on a Memphis Grizzlies squad trying to find its footing. With eight straight wins and a league-best road record, Boston (55-19) enters Monday night’s contest in top form and eyeing a complete road sweep.

Their latest performance — a 121-111 win over the San Antonio Spurs — improved their road record to 31-7, the best in the NBA. Boston’s success on the road, combined with 13 wins in their last 14 games overall, is a testament to the consistency head coach Joe Mazzulla continues to preach.

“We haven’t changed our approach and our process throughout the entire season. We just continue to build habits and the proper mindset,” Mazzulla said. “There’s nothing more important than everything that goes into the process of winning and we have a chance to do that every night.”

A key factor in the Celtics’ recent dominance has been their unique big-man duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Luke Kornet. The twin towers powered a 54-35 rebounding advantage over San Antonio, with Kornet notching a career-high 16 boards to go along with 15 points.

Grizzlies Search for Answers Amid Turmoil

Things aren’t quite as steady in Memphis. Despite sitting fifth in the Western Conference standings, the Grizzlies (44-30) have dropped five of their last six games. Saturday’s 134-127 loss to the Lakers marked their first game under interim head coach Tuomas Iisalo, who stepped in after the firing of Taylor Jenkins.

“We failed at the basics in the first half,” Iisalo said postgame. “That’s something we have to work on. We got to get better. We know time is of the essence.”

Ja Morant returned from a six-game absence and showed little rust, delivering 22 points, 10 assists, and 8 rebounds. Still, Memphis needs more than star power — it needs stability. The team recently made headlines for an on-court dust-up between Desmond Bane and Santi Aldama, who had to be separated during a timeout against Utah.

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“Definitely not a good look,” Aldama admitted. “We want to win. We’re competitive. We just said what we said and then moved on.”

Memphis must find chemistry fast if it hopes to remain a threat in the postseason.

Final Tune-Ups, Playoff Mentality

As the regular season winds down, both teams are playing for different kinds of momentum. Boston looks to lock in their playoff rotations and tighten their grip on the No. 1 seed in the East, while Memphis fights to avoid a late-season slide that could affect their postseason seeding.

For bettors and basketball fans keeping an eye on late-season performance, these matchups can be gold. If you’re chasing accuracy with your NBA predictions, now’s the time to get on board with expert analysis that tracks every stat and storyline.

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spread
moneyline
over/under
Memphis Grizzlies
+4.5
-105
160
O 235.5
-110
Boston Celtics
-4.5
-115
-185
U 235.5
-110
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