Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions April 1st 2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors April 1st 2025

At 8:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-210) will travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies (+176). The Warriors are favored by 5.5, and the over/under line is set at 237.5.

Golden State is currently 6th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Pacific Division with a record of 43-31. They have won their last two games. Memphis (-210) is 5th in the West and 2nd in the Southwest Division with a record of 44-31. They have lost their last three games.

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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies
• Where: Memphis at FedExForum
• Date: Tuesday, April 1st
• Betting Odds GS -5.5, GS -210 | MEM +176 O/U 237.5

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 43-31 this season with a dominant 148-106 win over the Spurs on Sunday. Golden State, favored by -11.5 points, easily covered the spread with the 42-point victory. The total score of 254 points exceeded the O/U line of 231.5 by 22.5 points.

Golden State took control early, leading 44-27 after the 1st quarter. An 11-0 run helped them pull away, and they held the Spurs to 17 points in the 2nd quarter. The Warriors entered the 4th quarter up 111-73 and outscored the Spurs 37-33 in the final period.

The Warriors put up 148 points in their win over the Spurs, shooting 57.7% from the field and hitting 21 threes at a 47.7% clip. Brandin Podziemski led the way, knocking down 7 threes and finishing with 27 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 assists.

Moses Moody added 20 points, while Buddy Hield contributed 19. Podziemski and Moody each scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, with Hield adding 10 in the 4th.

The Warriors held the Spurs to 106 points on Sunday, with a standout defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 17 points. Overall, Golden State gave up 27 points in the 1st, 29 in the 3rd, and 33 in the 4th. Despite the Spurs shooting 47% from the field, the Warriors’ defense did enough to secure the win.

From beyond the arc, the Spurs hit 16 threes at a 38% clip. The Warriors sent San Antonio to the line 16 times, where they made 10 free throws. Golden State also grabbed 34 defensive rebounds, allowing 7 offensive boards, and recorded 17 steals and 3 blocks.

• In their last three games away from home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 115 points per game in this stretch.
• The last ten games that Golden State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 2-6-2 while going 7-3 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-3-1 vs. the spread.

The Grizzlies Can Win If…

Memphis fell to 44-31 on the season after a 117-103 home loss to the Celtics on Monday. The Grizzlies entered the game as +4 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 220 points was well below the O/U line of 236.

Memphis started strong, leading 32-25 after the 1st quarter, but Boston responded with a 41-point 2nd quarter. The Grizzlies went on a 12-0 run to take the lead, but the Celtics regained control, outscoring Memphis 25-18 in the 4th quarter.

In their loss to the Celtics, the Grizzlies struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 25% of their threes and making 11 overall. Their field goal percentage was 44.6%, and they finished with 103 points.

Ja Morant led the way with 26 points, including 12 in the 2nd quarter. Santi Aldama added 21, scoring 7 in the 4th, while Jaren Jackson contributed 20 points and 15 rebounds, with 8 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

The Grizzlies gave up 41 points in the 2nd quarter, which was their worst defensive period, but they held the Celtics to 25 points in the 1st and 4th quarters and 26 in the 3rd. Overall, Memphis allowed 117 points while Boston shot 40% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Celtics hit 21 threes at a 33% clip. Boston also went 18/19 from the free-throw line. The Grizzlies finished with 40 defensive rebounds, giving up 12 offensive boards, and recorded 9 steals and 3 blocks.

• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 2-7-1 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have an ATS mark of just 0-5 in their last five games. Memphis posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
• In their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Lean

As the underdogs with a spread of +5.5, we recommend going with the Grizzlies on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 237.5 and our model has the Warriors and Grizzlies finishing with a combined 279 points. Our pick is to take the over.

Warriors Aim to Extend Hot Streak Against Struggling Grizzlies

MEMPHIS — As the playoff picture sharpens in the Western Conference, the Golden State Warriors are peaking at just the right time. Winners of 15 of their last 19 games, the Warriors look to climb the standings and extend their surge when they visit the slumping Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday night.

Warriors Rolling Into Postseason Form

Golden State (43-31) has flipped the script since the All-Star break, going 15-4 to not only secure a postseason berth but to put pressure on teams above them in the standings. With a win Tuesday, the Warriors would leapfrog the Grizzlies (44-31) for fifth place in the West by percentage points and hold the head-to-head tiebreaker.

Steph Curry’s return from a pelvic injury added fuel to the Warriors’ recent charge. Golden State has won back-to-back games, including a 148-106 demolition of San Antonio on Sunday in which no starter played more than 30 minutes. Coach Steve Kerr lauded the rhythm and rest heading into a pivotal final stretch of the season.

“Our last eight games are tough,” Kerr said. “We’re right there with the Clippers and not far behind the Lakers. Every game matters.”

Jonathan Kuminga is questionable for Tuesday with a pelvic contusion, but Kerr emphasized his importance as a high-energy contributor off the bench. Kevon Looney echoed the urgency, calling every game a must-win from here on out.

Grizzlies Reeling as Postseason Nears

Memphis enters Tuesday’s matchup trying to stabilize under interim coach Tuomas Iisalo, who replaced Taylor Jenkins last Friday. The Grizzlies have lost six of seven and are 8-13 since the break, dropping from second to fifth in the West in the process.

Their 117-103 home loss to Boston on Monday exposed familiar issues — mainly defensive lapses and a lack of second-chance efforts on the boards. Memphis has now lost 11 straight games against teams above .500.

Still, Iisalo saw positives in the Grizzlies’ effort, particularly their ball movement and willingness to play for each other. He stressed the need for consistency and effort over the full 48 minutes.

“We can be very satisfied with the effort,” Iisalo said. “But we’ve got to put in a full game defensively to beat a team like Golden State.”

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Playoff Implications Loom Large

With the Warriors in a tie with the Clippers and chasing both the Lakers and Grizzlies, Tuesday’s matchup could be a pivotal swing in the playoff race. Golden State is not only playing its best basketball of the season but doing so with momentum and health aligning at the right time.

The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are fighting to rediscover their early-season identity under new leadership with time running short.