Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix-suns Picks and Predictions March 10th 2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix-Suns March 10th 2025

At 8:00 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies (-184) will host the Phoenix Suns (+156) in a Western Conference matchup. The Grizzlies are favored by 4.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 243.

Memphis enters the game on a two-game win streak and is currently 4th in the Western Conference. The Suns are 11th in the West and have a record of 30-34. Tip-off will be at FedExForum, and the game can be seen on FDSS.

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Suns vs. Grizzlies Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies
• Where: Memphis at FedExForum
• Date: Monday, March 10th
• Betting Odds MEM -4.5, PHO +156 | MEM -184 O/U 243

The Suns Can Win If…

The Suns improved to 30-34 on the season with a 125-116 road win over the Mavericks on Sunday. Phoenix, favored by 6.5 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 241 points exceeded the O/U line of 229.5.

A key 13-0 run helped the Suns take control, turning a 26-24 lead into 37-26. They entered the 4th quarter up 97-86, and despite being outscored 30-28 in the final period, they held on for the win.

In their win over the Mavericks, the Suns shot 58.3% from the field, with Devin Booker leading the way with 24 points. Kevin Durant added 21 points, and Bradley Beal contributed 19, hitting 3 threes at a 60% rate.

Phoenix made 10 threes, shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc. Grayson Allen scored 10 of his 17 points in the 2nd quarter, while Beal put up 10 points in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Suns gave up 116 points to the Mavericks, including 30 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Dallas shot 48% from the field.

The Mavericks hit 17 threes at a 40% clip. Phoenix sent Dallas to the free-throw line 16 times, where they made 13. The Suns grabbed 40 defensive rebounds, allowing 5 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 4 blocks.

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 128 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-1.
• Over their last three games, the Suns have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.

The Grizzlies Can Win If…

The Grizzlies improved to 40-24 on the season with a 107-104 win over the Pelicans on Sunday. Memphis, favored by 10 points, didn’t cover the spread, and the game’s total of 211 points fell well short of the 239-point over/under line.

Memphis took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring New Orleans 32-15, but the Pelicans responded with a 10-0 run in the 4th, turning a 91-87 deficit into a 97-91 lead. The Grizzlies rallied to close out the game, holding the Pelicans to just 7 more points while scoring 16 of their own.

Ja Morant and Desmond Bane led the Grizzlies to a win over the Pelicans, with Morant scoring 32 points and Bane adding 30. Morant also contributed 11 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Bane had 12 points in the 1st and 11 more in the 3rd.

Memphis shot 41.4% from the field and struggled from three-point range, hitting just 26.5% of their attempts. They made 13 threes in the game, with Morant connecting on 3 from deep.

Despite a rough 2nd quarter where the Grizzlies gave up 37 points, their defense tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 15 points to help secure a 107-104 win over the Pelicans. Overall, they held New Orleans to 41% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies allowed 13 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent the Pelicans to the line 27 times, where they made 21 free throws. Defensively, Memphis recorded 11 steals and 6 blocks.

• In their last three games at home, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 117 points per game in this stretch.
• The last ten games that Memphis was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 6-4 straight up.
• In their last three games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Grizzlies, with a final score of 145-135, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Grizzlies at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 243 and given that our model is projecting 280 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Suns Look to Continue Sharp Shooting in Clash vs. Grizzlies

The Phoenix Suns are making a late push for the playoffs—or at least the play-in tournament—as they prepare to face the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday night.

Suns Heating Up at the Right Time

Phoenix has won three of its past five games, including a 125-116 victory over the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. The win pulled the Suns within 1.5 games of 10th-place Dallas in the Western Conference, the final play-in spot. With the Mavericks struggling amid a five-game losing streak following Kyrie Irving’s season-ending knee injury, Phoenix sees an opportunity.

The Suns put up playoff-caliber numbers against Dallas, shooting 58.3% from the field and outrebounding the Mavericks 46-32. Devin Booker led the way with 24 points, while Kevin Durant added 21 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists.

“We put ourselves in this situation, so we have to deal with it, and everyone in the locker room understands that,” Booker said of the team’s fight to secure a postseason berth.

Phoenix is trying to avoid missing the playoffs for the first time since the 2019-20 season. Monday’s contest is the third of a four-game road trip and a rematch of the Suns’ 151-148 overtime loss to Memphis on Feb. 25.

Grizzlies Searching for Consistency

Memphis is looking to carry momentum from back-to-back road wins following a four-game home skid. However, the Grizzlies’ struggles from beyond the arc remain a concern. They shot just 13-of-49 from deep in Sunday’s 107-104 win over the New Orleans Pelicans.

Two-time All-Star Ja Morant, recently back from a shoulder injury, has particularly struggled from three-point range, making just 10 of his last 60 attempts over the past nine games.

“It’s difficult right now,” Grizzlies coach Taylor Jenkins said. “We’re not knocking down shots like we need to. It’s (created) a lot of pressure.”

Despite those struggles, Morant and Desmond Bane have taken over in the fourth quarter of recent games, helping Memphis survive off shooting nights. Morant scored seven of his 31 points in the final 1:35 to seal a 122-111 win over Dallas on Friday. Bane added 27 points and a career-high 16 rebounds in that game.

On Sunday, Bane nearly posted a triple-double with 30 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists, while Morant matched his season-high with 32 points.

“I know the work he puts in,” Morant said of Bane’s clutch play. “I know the talks we have with each other. He’s built for it, and he’s been showing it night in and night out.”

With both teams battling for postseason positioning, Monday’s matchup could be crucial in the Western Conference standings.

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