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Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs February 3rd 2025
At 8:00 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies will host the San Antonio Spurs in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Grizzlies (-228) are favored by 6 over the Spurs (+190). The over/under line is currently sitting at 240.
Memphis is currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 33-16 and is on a 2-game win streak. San Antonio is 12th in the West at 21-25.
Spurs vs. Grizzlies Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies
- Where: Memphis at FedExForum
- Date: Monday, February 3rd
- Betting Odds MEM -6, SA +190 | MEM -228 O/U 240
The Spurs Can Win If…
The Spurs dropped to 21-25 on the season after a narrow 105-103 loss to the Heat on Saturday. San Antonio, who were +3 point underdogs, covered the spread in the loss. The game’s total points of 208 fell short of the 223-point over/under line.
Miami went on an 11-0 run after the teams were tied 33-33, but the Spurs fought back, winning the 3rd and 4th quarters 26-25 and 21-20, respectively. San Antonio entered the 4th quarter trailing 85-82 but couldn’t complete the comeback.
The Spurs shot 41.8% from the field in their 105-103 loss to the Heat, hitting 12 threes at a 33.3% clip. Keldon Johnson led the way with 19 points, 11 of which came in the opening quarter.
Devin Vassell added 18 points, scoring 11 in the 3rd quarter. Harrison Barnes and Chris Paul each contributed 12 points, with Barnes shooting 57.1% and hitting 2 threes at 50% efficiency.
Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th quarter, where the Spurs allowed just 20 points, they couldn’t overcome their 1st quarter struggles, giving up 33 points in a 105-103 loss to the Heat. San Antonio’s defense tightened up as the game went on, conceding 27 points in the 2nd quarter and 25 in the 3rd.
The Spurs held Miami to 31% shooting from beyond the arc, with the Heat making 13 threes. San Antonio also sent Miami to the line 17 times, where they hit 10 free throws. The Spurs finished with 8 steals and 3 blocks.
- Through their last five road contests, the Spurs offense has averaged 117 points per game while allowing an average of 115. San Antonio posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
- Over their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Grizzlies Can Win If…
The Grizzlies improved to 33-16 on the season with a 132-119 road win over the Bucks on Sunday. Memphis, who entered the game as +4 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total points of 251.5 narrowly exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 248.5.
Memphis went on an 11-0 run to break a 35-35 tie, taking a 46-35 lead. After falling behind 99-93 by the end of the 3rd quarter, the Grizzlies dominated the 4th, outscoring the Bucks 39-20 to secure the win.
Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies to a 132-point performance in their win over the Bucks, hitting 7 threes at 53.8% and finishing with 37 points. Memphis shot 48.6% from the field, connecting on 14 threes at a 35.9% rate.
Jackson dropped 16 points in the 4th quarter, while Santi Aldama added 11 of his 23 points late. Desmond Bane contributed 22 points, scoring 10 in the 3rd quarter.
Despite a rough 3rd quarter where the Grizzlies gave up 41 points, they tightened up defensively in the 4th, allowing just 20 points to help secure the win. Overall, Memphis allowed 119 points on 48% shooting from the field.
The Grizzlies struggled to defend the three, as the Bucks hit 20 threes at a 44% clip. However, Memphis limited Milwaukee’s trips to the free-throw line, where they went 11/19. The Grizzlies also recorded 9 steals and 5 blocks.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 122 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 6-3-1.
- In their last three games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
The Lean
We’re calling a win for the Grizzlies, with a final score of 159-123, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Grizzlies at -6.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 240, and our model projects the Spurs and Grizzlies to reach a combined total of 282 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
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Wembanyama Set to Return as Spurs Face Red-Hot Grizzlies
San Antonio Welcomes Wembanyama Back Following Illness
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to have star rookie Victor Wembanyama back in the lineup when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday night.
Wembanyama was a late scratch in Saturday’s 105-103 loss to the Miami Heat due to illness but is not expected to miss additional time. The 7-foot-3 forward continues to impress, averaging:
- 24.6 points
- 10.9 rebounds
- 3.7 assists
- 4.0 blocks per game (leads NBA)
His presence will be critical as the Spurs aim to snap a two-game losing streak, having won just two of their last eight games.
Interim head coach Mitch Johnson downplayed concerns about Wembanyama’s availability:
“It didn’t sound like anything drastic or extreme. We expect it to be minor.”
The Spurs have struggled to find consistency but showcased their potential in Friday’s dominant 144-118 win over the Milwaukee Bucks, a game in which Wembanyama posted 30 points, 14 rebounds, and six blocks.
De’Aaron Fox Trade Speculation Looms Over San Antonio
The Spurs may soon receive a significant backcourt upgrade, as multiple reports indicate that Sacramento’s De’Aaron Fox will be heading to San Antonio in a three-team trade involving Chicago’s Zach LaVine.
Fox is one of the NBA’s premier guards, averaging:
- 25.0 points per game
- 6.1 assists per game
- 5.0 rebounds per game
If finalized, Fox’s presence would provide an immediate boost to the Spurs’ offensive efficiency and complement Wembanyama’s skill set. However, it remains uncertain if Fox will be available for Monday’s game.
Memphis Grizzlies: A Team on the Rise
The Grizzlies have emerged as one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning eight of their last nine games, including back-to-back victories without Ja Morant (shoulder injury).
Sunday’s Victory Over Milwaukee
Memphis continued its dominant stretch with a 132-119 win over the Bucks, fueled by:
- Jaren Jackson Jr.’s 37 points (7 three-pointers)
- Desmond Bane’s all-around performance (22 points, nine rebounds)
- Zach Edey’s interior presence (14 points, 11 rebounds)
- A decisive fourth-quarter run (outscoring Milwaukee 39-20)
Scotty Pippen Jr. Making an Impact
With Morant missing 21 games this season, Scotty Pippen Jr. has stepped up significantly:
- 10 assists, nine points, five rebounds, and four steals in Sunday’s win.
- A game-best plus-22 rating in just 23 minutes.
Key Storylines Heading into Monday’s Matchup
- Wembanyama’s Return: His presence gives San Antonio a strong defensive anchor and interior scoring option.
- Memphis’ Home Dominance: The Grizzlies boast a 20-5 home record, among the league’s best.
- Fox’s Trade Status: If confirmed, his arrival in San Antonio could signal a major shift in the Spurs’ offensive capabilities.
- Grizzlies’ Winning Momentum: Memphis will aim to extend its strong form and maintain its playoff push.
With two teams heading in different directions, Monday’s matchup presents an intriguing battle between youth, emerging stars, and trade market speculation.
