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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets March 23rd 2025
The Miami Heat (-168) will host the Charlotte Hornets (+143) at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Tip-off for this Eastern Southeast Division matchup is scheduled for 6:00 ET. The Heat (-4) are favored by four points over the Hornets.
Charlotte is 14th in the Eastern Conference with an 18-52 record. Miami is 10th in the East and has dropped 10 straight games. The over/under line for this game is 212 points. You can watch this game on FDSS.
Hornets vs. Heat Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at Kaseya Center
- Date: Sunday, March 23rd
- Betting Odds MIA -4, CHA +143 | MIA -168 O/U 212
The Hornets Can Win If…
The Hornets fell to 18-52 on the season after a 141-106 road loss to the Thunder on Friday. Charlotte entered the game as +20.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread, losing by 35 points. The combined score of 247 points exceeded the O/U line of 220 by 27 points.
Charlotte struggled early, as the Thunder went on a 14-0 run, extending the score from 14-6 to 28-6. The Hornets bounced back in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Thunder 35-32, but Oklahoma City regained control in the 3rd, outscoring Charlotte 37-27. Heading into the 4th quarter down 103-76, the Hornets were outscored 38-30 in the final period.
Despite hitting 19 threes at a 46.3% clip, the Hornets managed just 106 points in their loss to the Thunder. Miles Bridges led the way with 20 points, knocking down 4 threes at 40% efficiency.
Nick Smith added 14 points, also hitting 4 threes, while Josh Green and Moussa Diabaté each contributed 12 points. Bridges scored 8 points in the 3rd quarter, and another 7 in the 4th.
The Hornets struggled defensively against the Thunder, giving up 141 points on Friday. Charlotte allowed 34 points in the 1st quarter, 32 in the 2nd, 37 in the 3rd, and 38 in the 4th.
Oklahoma City shot 57% from the field, including 53% from three, where they made 21 threes. The Thunder went 12/17 from the free-throw line. Charlotte finished with 23 defensive rebounds, 6 steals, and 4 blocks.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Charlotte has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Charlotte has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
- Over their last five games, the Hornets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
The Heat Can Win If…
Miami’s season record dropped to 29-41 after a 102-98 home loss to the Rockets on Friday. The Heat were +4.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 200, falling short of the 212.5-point line.
Miami led 59-51 at halftime but struggled in the second half, being outscored 51-39. They entered the 4th quarter with an 80-78 lead but were outscored 24-18 in the final period.
Andrew Wiggins poured in 20 of his 30 points in the 2nd quarter, finishing the game with a 76.9% shooting performance, including 2 threes at 50% efficiency. Kel’el Ware added 16 points and 14 rebounds, hitting 2 threes at 100% from deep, while Bam Adebayo also contributed 16 points, with 7 coming in the 4th quarter.
Miami shot 52.1% from the field and 41.7% from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes in the game. Wiggins was held to 2 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, while Ware added 7 points in the 3rd.
Defensively, the Heat held the Rockets to 102 points on Friday, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win. Miami gave up 23 points in the 1st quarter, 28 in the 2nd, 27 in the 3rd, and 24 in the 4th. Houston shot 46% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Rockets hit 14 threes at a 50% clip. Miami sent Houston to the line 21 times, where they made 10 free throws. The Heat recorded 8 steals and 5 blocks in the game.
- Across their ten previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 3-6-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 102 points per game.
- Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Not only do we have the Heat winning this one by a score of 129-112, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Heat at -4.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 212, and our model predicts the Hornets and Heat to score a combined 241 points. We recommend betting on the over.
Every Dunk, Every Three
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Miami Heat Seek Redemption After 10-Game Losing Streak
It’s almost unthinkable.
The Miami Heat — who made it to the NBA Finals as recently as 2023 — are now carrying the weight of a 10-game losing streak as they prepare to host the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday night. This skid marks the longest drought for Miami since the 2007-08 season, and the team is desperate to find some positive momentum.
Despite their struggles, the Heat have a shot at ending their nightmare stretch, mainly because they are up against a team that has had its own set of issues — the Charlotte Hornets. Charlotte holds one of the three worst records in the league at 18-52 and has been abysmal on the road, going 7-27 away from home.
Then again, the Heat aren’t exactly thriving at home either, holding a 15-19 record at FTX Arena.
Tyler Herro’s Struggles and Miami’s Offensive Woes
In their latest defeat, a 102-98 loss to the Houston Rockets on Friday, Miami’s top scorer Tyler Herro managed just eight points while shooting 3-for-11 from the floor. The Rockets’ defense made it their mission to shut him down, limiting him to just one three-point attempt.
Heat coach Erik Spoelstra acknowledged the challenge, saying:
"They are up and into him. We have to find different ways to get him cleaner looks. But this is an incredible growth opportunity for him. He is seeing all the different schemes that the very good players get night in and night out."
Despite the setback, Andrew Wiggins was a bright spot for Miami, scoring 30 points, including a career-best 20-point second quarter. Wiggins, acquired as part of the Jimmy Butler trade, showcased his scoring versatility and his ability to fit into the Heat’s system.
For those looking to capitalize on the Heat’s potential comeback, check out the latest betting odds and expert predictions on NBA Picks and Predictions.
Can Charlotte Sustain Their Recent Success?
Oddly enough, despite their dismal season, the Hornets are coming off one of their best stretches of the year, going 4-4 in their last eight games. This includes an impressive upset against the New York Knicks and a 119-114 victory over Miami on March 10.
In that win against the Heat, Miles Bridges exploded for 35 points, helping Charlotte erase a 17-point deficit. In their recent 128-93 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Hornets struggled in the paint, being outscored 64-26.
Ball leads the Hornets in both scoring (25.4 points per game) and assists (7.2). However, his health remains a question mark, as he has only played in 46 of 70 games this season. Injuries have plagued Charlotte throughout the year, including the loss of Brandon Miller to a season-ending wrist injury.
Key Players to Watch
Miami Heat
- Tyler Herro: Needs to bounce back and find a way to shake off defensive pressure.
- Andrew Wiggins: Coming off a 30-point performance, showing his potential as a versatile scorer.
- Bam Adebayo: Always a critical factor in maintaining the Heat’s defensive integrity.
Charlotte Hornets
- LaMelo Ball: The playmaker who makes the offense tick.
- Miles Bridges: Can he replicate his 35-point explosion from the last meeting with Miami?
- Mark Williams: Protecting the paint and grabbing boards will be essential.
For more insights on player performances and betting trends, visit NBA Expert Betting Guide.
Prediction and Betting Tips
The Heat are looking to redeem themselves and should have the upper hand, especially with Andrew Wiggins hitting his stride. However, Miami’s struggles to defend transition plays could give the Hornets a fighting chance if LaMelo Ball finds his groove.
Prediction: Miami Heat 111, Charlotte Hornets 102
For updated odds and more detailed breakdowns, head over to NBA Championship Odds & Predictions. Stay ahead of the game with expert analysis and insights.
