Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets February 27th 2025

At 8:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-147) will travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks (+124) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets are currently favored by 3 points and have a record of 38-20, which is good for 3rd in the Western Conference. The Bucks are 5th in the East with a record of 32-25.

This game can be seen on TNT and will be played at Fiserv Forum. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 240 points.

Nuggets vs. Bucks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks
• Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
• Date: Thursday, February 27th
• Betting Odds DEN -3, DEN -147 | MIL +124 O/U 240

The Nuggets Can Win If…

The Nuggets improved to 38-20 this season with a 125-116 win over the Pacers on Monday. Denver, favored by 3.5 points, covered the spread on the road. The game’s total points of 241 fell short of the 246.5 O/U line.

Denver took control early, leading 36-28 after the 1st quarter. Although the Pacers edged the Nuggets 30-28 in the 2nd quarter, Denver responded with a strong 3rd quarter, outscoring Indiana 36-25. The Nuggets entered the 4th quarter with a 100-83 lead, and despite being outscored 33-25 in the final period, they held on for the win.

The Nuggets shot 56.4% from the field in their win over the Pacers, with Aaron Gordon leading the way with 25 points, including 12 in the opening quarter. Denver struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 8 threes, but connected at an average rate of 38.1%.

Nikola Jokić contributed 18 points and 19 assists, scoring 10 points in the 3rd quarter. Christian Braun also added 10 of his 17 points in the final period.

Defensively, the Nuggets gave up 116 points to the Pacers but managed to secure the win. They allowed 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd. Their best defensive effort came in the 3rd quarter, where they held Indiana to 25 points, but they gave up 33 in the 4th.

Denver held the Pacers to 32% shooting from three, with Indiana making 14 threes. The Nuggets also sent the Pacers to the line 27 times, where they hit 22 free throws. Denver finished with 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks.

• The Nuggets are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
• Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Bucks Can Win If…

The Bucks fell to 32-25 on the season after a 100-97 road loss to the Rockets on Tuesday. Milwaukee, who entered as +2.5 point underdogs, didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 197 fell well short of the 228-point O/U line.

Milwaukee went on a 10-0 run early, but Houston responded, and the game was tied at 85 going into the 4th quarter. The Bucks were held to just 12 points in the final frame, while the Rockets scored 15 to close out the game.

In their 100-97 loss to the Rockets, the Bucks struggled offensively, shooting just 40% from the field. Their three-point shooting was also below average, hitting 12 threes at a 32.4% rate.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 27 points and 10 rebounds, while Damian Lillard added 22 points, making 4 threes at 36.4%. Brook Lopez and AJ Green contributed 12 points each, with Green scoring 6 of his points in the 3rd quarter.

Despite a strong defensive effort, the Bucks couldn’t pull out the win, allowing 100 points to the Rockets. Milwaukee’s defense tightened up in the 4th quarter, giving up just 15 points. Overall, they held Houston to 40% shooting from the field.

The Bucks limited the Rockets to 12 made threes on 34% shooting from beyond the arc. Houston also went 14/18 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Milwaukee recorded 11 steals and 5 blocks.

• In their last five games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team averaged 105 points per game in this stretch.
• The Bucks have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3, the Bucks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 240, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Bucks to score a combined 251 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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Jokic, Giannis Set for MVP Showdown as Nuggets Visit Bucks

The stage is set for a battle of MVP contenders as Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets visit Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night.

This is the first meeting of the season between these two teams, and it comes at a critical point as both are looking to solidify their positioning in their respective conferences. Denver has been one of the hottest teams in the NBA, while Milwaukee is coming off a rare setback and looking to rebound at home.

With two of the best players in the league going head-to-head, this game has all the makings of a must-watch showdown.

Nuggets Finding Their Groove After Tough Loss

Denver heads into Milwaukee riding the momentum of a 125-116 win over Indiana on Monday, a strong response after being blown out by the Lakers in their previous game.

Head coach Mike Malone knew this four-game road trip would be a challenge, but he was proud of how his team bounced back against the Pacers.

“We knew this road trip was going to be a challenge,” Malone said. “To respond to a tough home loss to the Lakers speaks a lot to our guys’ understanding of what time of the year it is and handling their business.”

The win over Indiana was a true team effort, with six Nuggets scoring in double figures. Aaron Gordon led the way with 25 points, while Jokic showcased his playmaking skills, finishing with 18 points and a career-high 19 assists.

The Nuggets have now won 10 of their last 11 games, and a win over Milwaukee would further solidify their status as one of the best teams in the league heading into the final stretch of the season.

Bucks Looking to Bounce Back After Rare Loss

Milwaukee saw its four-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday night, falling 100-97 to the Houston Rockets in a game that came down to the final minute.

Damian Lillard had two chances to tie the game from beyond the arc in the final minute but missed both shots, finishing with 22 points on just 7-of-22 shooting.

Head coach Doc Rivers acknowledged that the team struggled to create offensive opportunities, particularly for Kyle Kuzma, who has taken on a bigger role since Khris Middleton was traded at the deadline.

“I didn’t think we used Kuz enough tonight,” Rivers said. “We ran two or three plays for him (in the fourth quarter), and he didn’t get it. … tells you the ball wasn’t moving.”

Despite the loss, Giannis continues to dominate, leading the team with 31 points and 12 rebounds per game. Brook Lopez has also been a defensive anchor, averaging two blocks per game for the third straight season.

MVP Matchup: Jokic vs. Giannis

Both Jokic and Giannis are putting up MVP-caliber seasons, making this one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the year.

• Jokic: 29.2 PPG, 12.6 RPG, 10.4 APG, 1.8 SPG
• Giannis: 31.0 PPG, 12.0 RPG, 6.0 APG

Jokic ranks third in scoring, second in assists, and third in both rebounds and steals, proving once again that he is one of the most versatile and impactful players in the game.

Meanwhile, Giannis has been playing through a calf injury, but his minutes have been increasing. He played 31 minutes on Tuesday, a sign that he is getting closer to full strength.

A Rivalry of Recent Parity

The past few seasons have seen Milwaukee and Denver evenly matched, with the teams splitting their two-game series in each of the last four seasons.

• The last meeting was over a year ago, when the Bucks won 112-95 at home
• Giannis dominated that game with 36 points and 18 rebounds, while Jokic put up 29 points and 12 rebounds

With both teams looking to make a statement in the playoff race, this game could set the tone for another tight season series.

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What’s at Stake?

For Denver, a win would keep them rolling after their recent hot streak and build confidence on a tough road trip.

For Milwaukee, this game presents an opportunity to bounce back and show they can compete with the league’s elite despite recent lineup changes.

With two MVPs battling, two title contenders clashing, and playoff positioning on the line, this game has all the ingredients to be one of the best matchups of the season. The action tips off Thursday night in Milwaukee.